Pac-12 · JaMarcus Shephard, year 1 (0-2) · Reser Stadium · 43,363 · 30,539 avg in 2026
LastL 24–35 vs Texas Tech · Sat Sep 12 · Jesse Legree 240 rec yds, 2 TD, 1 tackles
Nextvs Montana · Sat Sep 19 · 11 pm ET · Reser Stadium · series 12-2-2, lost the last 2 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #69 | #20 | +21✓ | @Houston | L 20–33 145 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #65 | #7 | +25.5✓ | Texas Tech | L 24–35 145 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 20 | #60 | #106 | Montana | ||||
| 4 | Sep 27 | #60 | #194 | @UTEP | ||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | @Colorado State | ||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | San Diego State | ||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | Washington State | ||||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @Fresno State | ||||||
| 10 | Nov 8 | Texas State | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Boise State | ||||||
| 12 | Nov 22 | Utah State |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | Texas Tech | L 24–35 | 472 | 1 | 30:25 | +0.283 | 29.6% | 205.5% | |
| Sep 5 | @Houston | L 20–33 | 402 | 0 | 29:10 | +0.183 | 40.5% | 134.1% | |
| Season average (2 games) | 437 | 0.5 | +0.233 | 35.1% | 169.8% | ||||
Oregon State is the program the Pac-12 left behind — ten schools sprinted for the exits and the Beavers were handed the keys to the wreckage, then went 2-10 trying to rebuild a league from two.
Oregon walked into the Big Ten and left the Civil War behind without a backward glance. The fanbase in Corvallis hasn't forgotten which neighbor abandoned the rivalry — or that the Beavers stayed when…
The season in chapters
What fans said
Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown
What it is like to watch them2025 · 2-10 · last season
✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Pac-12 teams the same season
Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025
Hibernating. 2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last five.
Courts across the country granting relief to ineligible athletes who already had every opportunity to compete in college — sometimes without even having a hearing — are failing to appreciate the destabilizing effect their rulings are having on college sports
Next Sep 20
vs Montana · at home
~ our read on style
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
Trent Bray's second season opens with a 2-10 losing record, underscoring the challenge of rebuilding a program that must avoid Pac-12 collapse while navigating a transitional schedule.
our readfront page
Anthony Hankerson converts 3rd/4th-and-short at an elite rate, and he also gets a real share of the team's goal-line carries.
our readdeveloping
David Wells Jr. produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
our readdeveloping
JaMarcus Shephard inherits a 2-10 losing record and a program at a crossroads, with fans uneasy about whether the Pac-12 collapse survivor can avoid another downturn.
our readdeveloping
Cornell Hatcher Jr. sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
our readbackground
David Wells Jr.: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
our readbackground
Oregon State dropped 29 spots in SP+ — the steepest decline in the Pac-12, and Trent Bray's second season opens with a 2-10 record to overcome.
our readbackground
Oregon State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
our readbackground
Trent Bray's second season opens with a 2-10 losing record and a 4.5-win total projection — the program's survival hinges on whether this talent-ranked #60 roster can avoid another collapse.
our readdeveloping
JaMarcus Shephard inherits a 2-10 roster and a program identity built on survival — the third head coach in five years faces the challenge of proving Oregon State can still.
our readbackground
JaMarcus Shephard begins his tenure with a 2-10 losing record hanging over Oregon State, a program clinging to relevance in a collapsing Pac-12.
our readbackground
Outcome band · Oregon State · 2026
Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.
Oregon State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
This event was in 203 of 2006 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Oregon State: an outside ruling reshaping the program's season.
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
This event was in 203 of 2006 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
More in this tab
Oregon State is the Pac-12-collapse survivor — Reser Stadium, 2024 transitional independent schedule, and Jonathan Smith / Trent Bray rebuild that proved a P5 program can refuse to disappear.
The program ledger
since 2025Pac-12 announces bowl tie-ins
Bowl tie-ins matter more when the win total's already crept from 4 to 4.5 — Shephard's crew now has a destination on the board, and a WR room ranked outside the top 100 needs that carrot dangling.
Court grants restraining order for players
Players winning in court while the roster sits at #100 nationally and WR depth is still thin — the legal clock and the depth chart are both working against Shephard's first fall.
Braden Atkinson named Oregon State QB1
FCS transfer out of Mercer wins the starting job under a first-year head coach at a program ranked #100 in class — Atkinson's ceiling is the whole Oregon State story right now.
OT Broderick Shull transfer commits from Auburn
SEC tackle drops to PNW — Beavers' line was the offseason's biggest open question.
Jesse Legree: 8 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD vs Texas Tech
Top 0.1% receiving yards game since 2021. vs Texas Tech (FBS) L 24-35.
Oregon State releases projected defensive depth chart
Shephard's first public depth chart drops on a roster ranked #100 nationally — the defensive side tells you where the Beavers are thin and where the rebuild is still a work in progress.
Top 3 commits
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
CA leads the 2026 class with 10 commits. National footprint reaching 10 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
84 signees across 19 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.
Miles from home · 2026 roster
The median Oregon State player grew up 761 miles from campus.
Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.
Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Reser Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 134 of 142 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
57th percentile among FBS programs
Recovering 40% of the fumbles they've forced — running cold vs. the ~46% league rate.
2 of 5 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 8% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.
1 interceptions of 12 disrupted passes (11 deflected, 1 intercepted), 2026 only.
Winning the penalty battle: 12 penalties committed vs. 17 drawn on opponents, a 33-yard edge.
102 penalty yards committed vs. 135 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Outcome band · Oregon State · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026