CFB Zeitgeist Score
2
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 6th percentile.
Marquis Crosby
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
4 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 3 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Oregon State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Oregon State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Oregon State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #60 · 2026 recruiting class #64
RB · OREGON STATE · PAC-12
CFB Zeitgeist Score
2
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 6th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#3809
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025Sharp dropoff (-100%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8115 | No. 2215 recruit | HighSchool | Louisiana Tech |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisiana Tech -> Oregon State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Louisiana Tech
Composite
0.8115
#2215 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 4): needs 74.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 4): needs 99.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 4): needs 149.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 10.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Marquis Crosby's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 5 | L 24-27vs Houston | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | Season-high 3 yds |
| Wk 7 | L 14-39vs Wake Forest | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 14 | L 8-32@ Washington State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 3 | 4 | 1.8 | 0 | 3 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Louisiana Tech | 183 | 917 | 5.0 | 9 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 187 | 941 | 5.0 | 9 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Louisiana Tech | 9 | 65 | 7.2 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 11 | 76 | 6.9 | 1 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 4 | #693/735 | 6th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.3 | #711/735 | 3rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 2 | #414/552 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 11 | #447/548 | 19th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 3.4% | #620/738 | 16th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #640/739 | 14th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 3 | #695/733 | 5th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 6 | #471/540 | 13th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.5 | #370/548 | 33rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 24.0 | #34/199 | 83rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 24 | #137/200 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.0% | #425/738 | 43rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.0% | #345/738 | 53rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.3% | #208/738 | 72nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.5% | #705/738 | 5th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 1.9% | #694/738 | 6th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 1.6% | #692/738 | 6th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 0.0% | #622/738 | 16th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Losses3g | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+1g | — | — | — |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Trent Bray
Pass share
51.7%
431 pass / 403 run
Plays / game
69.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.0%
369 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Jonathan Smith → Trent Bray. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Louisiana Tech | RB4 | #3809 | #4052 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | RB4 | #3444 | #3936 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | Louisiana Tech | RB4 | #898 | #1438 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2021 | Louisiana Tech | RB4 | #3991 | #4040 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS |
| 2024 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS |
| 2022 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS |
| 2021 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS |