cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Avery Sledge /Southern Miss

Avery Sledge

LB · Southern Miss · Jr · #33

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

15 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Southern Miss

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +9 net (37 in / 28 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Southern Miss · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #83 · 2026 recruiting class #105

LB · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT

Avery Sledge

  • 3
  • #33
  • 6-2 | 220 lb
  • Hattiesburg, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

23

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by forced fumbles at the 47th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15250

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#870 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey33
Measurements6-2 | 220 lb
HometownHattiesburg, MS
Primary teamSouthern Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 870 recruit
Composite rating 0.8656 HighSchool
Signed with Mississippi State 2022
Origin Forrest County Agricultural Brooklyn, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8656 No. 870 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15250Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15406Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Mississippi State

Composite

0.8656

#870 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Avery Sledge

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Avery Sledge

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
15Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
24Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 15): needs 13/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 15): needs 17/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Avery Sledge is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Southern Miss's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15250 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 15 6 solo | #2386/4942 (52nd pct)
TFL 0.5 Backfield disruption | #2658/4972 (47th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
15 52nd
SOLO
6 43rd
TFL
0.5 47th
SACK
0.0 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3W 38-22vs App State220.00.00
Wk 4L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech100.00.00
Wk 5W 42-25vs Jacksonville State210.00.00
Wk 8W 22-10@ Louisiana210.50.00
Wk 9W 49-21vs UL Monroe100.00.00
Wk 11W 27-21@ Arkansas State220.00.00
Wk 13L 35-42@ South Alabama400.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 14L 18-28vs Troy100.00.00
Total1560.50.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Mississippi State9-4HC: Mike Leach · Pass-heavy
2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Southern Miss1560.50.0------
2023Mississippi State2--0.00.0------
2022Mississippi State1--0.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons1860.50.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 15 #2386/4942 52nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.5 #2658/4972 47th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 6 #2592/4584 43rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g1.50.00.00.0
Road4g2.20.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g1.80.10.00.0
Losses3g2.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.70.00.00.0
Weeks 8+5g2.00.10.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

23Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (11th).

Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles#2386 / 2975 · 18th pct
15defe
Tackles for loss#2332 / 2975 · 18th pct
0.5defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2560 / 2975 · 12th pct
6defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Avery SledgeSouthern MissTyler MartinMassachusetts· 52% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 46% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 45% sim
Forced fumbles
47
Sledge
47
Martin
47
Vaughns
47
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Sledge
24
Martin
63
Vaughns
24
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Sledge
22
Martin
22
Vaughns
22
Ra-El
Tackles
18
Sledge
98
Martin
99
Vaughns
99
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
18
Sledge
63
Martin
85
Vaughns
56
Ra-El
Passes defended
18
Sledge
67
Martin
48
Vaughns
91
Ra-El
Solo tackles
12
Sledge
87
Martin
96
Vaughns
100
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Derrick Smith’s 2021 season.

Derrick Smith

87%match

Illinois · 2021

#2

RJ Edwards

Massachusetts · 2024

87%
#3

Bryce Edmondson

Memphis · 2023

86%
#4

Anthony Brackenridge

Western Kentucky · 2023

85%
#5

Jayden Flaker

Memphis · 2025

85%

Matches Derrick on

Tackle volume
PD rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Sayyid Stevens's senior season at Old Dominion (2023).

Sayyid Stevens

89%match

Old Dominion · 2023

#2

Ben Bolton

Tennessee · 2025

81%
#3

Jeff Pietrowski

Wisconsin · 2023

77%
#4

Marc Pretto

Northern Illinois · 2025

75%
#5

Dwight Toombs II

Florida Atlantic · 2023

75%

Matches Sayyid on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Huff

Pass share

49.9%

454 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2023
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2025
Charles Huff
Southern Miss
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Will Hall → Charles Huff. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHattiesburg, MS
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey33

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Southern Miss LB3 #15250 #15406 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Mississippi State LB3 #11745 #11838 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Mississippi State LB3 #9989 #9646 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Southern Miss Sun Belt LB 3 No. 33 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hattiesburg, MS
2024 Southern Miss Sun Belt LB 3 No. 33 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hattiesburg, MS
2023 Mississippi State SEC LB 3 No. 33 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hattiesburg, MS
2022 Mississippi State SEC LB 3 No. 33 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hattiesburg, MS