cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Zachary Card /Oregon State

Zachary Card

WR · Oregon State · So · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

83 REC YDS · 10 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Oregon State

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -15 net (20 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #60 · 2026 recruiting class #64

WR · OREGON STATE · PAC-12

Zachary Card

  • 2
  • #12
  • 5-9 | 162 lb
  • Brentwood, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

6

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 39th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3301

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
35.02023
83.02025

+137%

Up 137% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1305 national
CFB
College
Oregon State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey12
Measurements5-9 | 162 lb
HometownBrentwood, CA
Primary teamOregon State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1305 recruit
Composite rating 0.8536 HighSchool
Signed with Oregon State 2023
Origin Pittsburg Pittsburg, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8536 No. 1305 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3301Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3239Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Oregon State

Composite

0.8536

#1305 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Zachary Card

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Zachary Card

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
83Rec yards
10Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
11.9Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
154.1Rec yards
19Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 83): needs 102.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 83): needs 152.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 10): needs 8.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 10): needs 11.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Zachary Card's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3301 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 10 0 rec TD | #578/1110 (48th pct)
Receiving yards 83 8.3 per catch | #682/1107 (38th pct)
Scrimmage yards 79 Total offensive yardage | #682/1107 (38th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
10 48th
YDS
83 38th
YPR
8.3 18th
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
-4 10th
YPC
-4.0 7th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 15-34vs California11919.0019
Wk 2L 27-36vs Fresno State166.006
Wk 6L 23-27@ App State33311.0016Season-high 33 yds
Wk 7L 14-39vs Wake Forest133.003
Wk 10W 10-7vs Washington State
Wk 11L 17-21vs Sam Houston133.003
Wk 14L 8-32@ Washington State3196.3015
Total10838.0019
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Oregon State8-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2025Oregon State2-10HC: Trent Bray · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State10838.30--
2023Oregon State5357.00--
Career2 loaded seasons151187.90--
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State1-4------
2023Oregon State------13--
Career2 loaded seasons1-4--13--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.9% 4.9% pass-game share | #866/1137 (24th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 10 #578/1110 48th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 83 #682/1107 38th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.3 #903/1106 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 4.9% #866/1137 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -4 #358/397 10th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -4.0 #366/393 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 19 #783/1105 29th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.8% #420/1137 63rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.3% #880/1137 23rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.9% #789/1137 31st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.6% #852/1137 25th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #751/1137 34th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.1% #995/1137 13th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.6% #259/1137 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g0.86.27.80.0
Road2g3.026.08.70.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g
Losses6g1.713.88.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.515.29.80.0
Weeks 8+3g1.37.34.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

6Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#260 / 287 · 9th pct
-4rush
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Yards / catch#528 / 558 · 5th pct
8.3rece
Long catch#543 / 558 · 3rd pct
19rece
Rec yards#556 / 558 · 1st pct
83rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
10rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Zachary CardOregon StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 56% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 46% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 45% sim
Rush TDs
39
Card
39
III
39
Cobb
39
Gibson
Rush yards
9
Card
6
III
12
Cobb
76
Gibson
Rec TDs
7
Card
24
III
24
Cobb
7
Gibson
Yards / catch
5
Card
9
III
25
Cobb
15
Gibson
Long catch
3
Card
16
III
58
Cobb
56
Gibson
Rec yards
1
Card
70
III
87
Cobb
74
Gibson
Receptions
0
Card
92
III
98
Cobb
92
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Trent Bray

Pass share

51.7%

431 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

69.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

369 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2025
Trent Bray
Oregon State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jonathan Smith → Trent Bray. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBrentwood, CA
Height5'9"
Weight162 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon State WR2 #3301 #3239 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12
2023 Oregon State WR2 #2402 #2192 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon State Pac-12 WR 2 No. 12 | 5-9 | 162 lb | Brentwood, CA
2024 Oregon State Pac-12 WR 2 No. 12 | 5-9 | 162 lb | Brentwood, CA
2023 Oregon State Pac-12 WR 2 No. 12 | 5-9 | 162 lb | Brentwood, CA