Idaho

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The Boise State rivalryIdaho: the fanbase's identity shifting.our read

Big Sky · Kibbie Dome · 16,000 · 9,015 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetvs Abilene Christian · our model 46% Idaho · a number, not a pick

LastL 17–23 vs Lamar · Sat Sep 12 · Joshua Wood 205 pass yds, 50 rush yds, 1 TD

Nextvs Abilene Christian · Sat Sep 19 · 4 pm ET · Kibbie Dome · series 1-0 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Idaho · 2026 schedule & results0-3
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Aug 29#171#199-5.5@Cal PolyL 34–380-10-1
1Sep 4#171#25+38.5@UtahL 14–66 1360-20-1
2Sep 12#162#140-4.5LamarL 17–230-30-1
3Sep 19#163#111Abilene Christian
5Oct 3Montana State
6Oct 10@Weber State
7Oct 17@Montana
8Oct 24Southern Utah
9Oct 31@Portland State
10Nov 7Eastern Washington
11Nov 14UC Davis
12Nov 21@Idaho State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12LamarL 17–23-0.03235.9%101.3%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 4@UtahL 14–66225225:40+0.13733.9%126.2%Defense's roughest night
Aug 29@Cal PolyL 34–38+0.40238.3%165.6%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)2252.0+0.16936.0%131.0%
Verdict Begins·Live

Idaho once commanded the I-AA postseason and left behind by Boise State's rise — now rebuilding in the Big Sky with the Kibbie Dome and Moscow's unwavering faith as anchors.

Standard GapA program that once made 10 NCAA Division I-AA playoff appearances in 11…

Boise State rose to national relevance while Idaho fell. The Broncos won every Governor's Trophy matchup since 2001 (12 straight) after Idaho owned them 1982–1993. When the rivalry resumes in 2031, Id…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19Next: Abilene Christianvs Abilene Christian · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 4-8 · last season

Game feel52rock fightscombined pts / game11th highest-scoring of 12 in the Big Sky
Heart rate2-4white-knucklein one-score games (6 of 12)1st most one-score games of 12 in the Big Sky
Margin-1.2competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 12 in the Big Sky
Tempo70average paceoffensive plays / game2nd fastest of 4 in the Big Sky
Big plays1.26some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)7th most explosive of 12 in the Big Sky
Home crowd8,971avg attendance5th biggest crowds of 12 in the Big Sky

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big Sky teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Idaho has lost five straight.

Hibernating. 2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last six.

Streak L6Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Abilene Christian · at home

StrongSoft

~ our read on style

Idaho · the story right now 1 storyline developing

What Idaho's identity shift is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

identitythis cycle~readnew

Paul Petrino enters his fourth season at Idaho with a 4-8 losing record, navigating a program that once dominated I-AA but now rebuilds in the Sun Belt with deep institutional.

what happenedIdaho: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

Outcome band · Idaho · 2026

Idaho's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 3-9; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor3-9No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 3 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Where it stands · Idaho · Developing Confidence

Idaho: the fanbase's identity shifting.

Idaho: the fanbase's identity shifting.

CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Paul Petrino enters his fourth season at Idaho with a 4-8 losing record, navigating a program that once dominated I-AA but now rebuilds in the Sun Belt with deep institutional.
Source of record: Idaho: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Where things stand — tap to expand
Skeptics no dissentThe Boards thin
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards5 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.

Only 5 of 55 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

"This isn’t true in Idaho. It’s broadly true for the neighboring states. You see BSU shirts, stickers, etc. around Central and North Idaho in a way you didn’t when I was a kid. Thes"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"I'm rather saddened he had to leave Idaho, but I'm happy to see him thrive when the Lobos got written off in the preseason. Would be nice for them to go to the conference champions"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Boise State
Uneasy
-8
Idaho-Boise State

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Idaho football is a program that once commanded the I-AA postseason, fell behind its in-state rival, could not sustain FBS economics, and now rebuilds in the Big Sky with one advantage: deep institutional memory and a city that believes in them.

Offense: StrongDefense: Soft
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Idaho

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning ProductionNAContinuity signal unavailable
Portal Additions3Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses7Primary pressure: ATH
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting ReloadNARecruiting class signal unavailable
EDGEin 2 - Darrell Gipson3.49out 1 - Matyus McLain2.00Upgrade
LBin 0out 2 - Dylan Layne3.50Starter Risk
ATHin 0out 2 - Hayden John3.49Starter Risk
CBin 1 - Ishaan Daniels3.00out 1 - Caleb Ricks3.40Even
Sin 0out 1 - Matt Irwin3.60Downgrade
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Idaho

1 verified update · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Tony Harste: 9 rec · 180 yds · 2 TD at Cal Poly

    Top 1% receiving yards game since 2021. at Cal Poly (FCS) L 34-38.

    Aug 29
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-9.4 net portal points
(raw ledger: -13.0 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
LB
-7.0
starter risk
ATH
-7.0
starter risk
EDGE
+5.0
S
-3.6
low confidence
CB
-0.4
Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Community pulse

No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site