Idaho

4-5

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Biggest plays from Idaho’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Idaho’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q1, 12:40 · Utah tiedDevon Dampier finds Wayshawn Parker for a 9-yard touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q1, 12:40 · Utah 7, Idaho 0Utah opened the scoringUtah opened the scoringD.Dampier pass complete short left to W.Parker caught at IDA08, for 9 yards to the IDA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q2, 4:39 · Utah up 10Devon Dampier finds Braden Pegan for a 7-yard touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q2, 4:39 · Utah 24, Idaho 724-7score after the play24-7score after the playD.Dampier pass complete short right to B.Pegan caught at IDA05, for 7 yards to the IDA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q1, 14:17 · Idaho down 7Trey Reynolds intercepts Joshua WoodIdaho at Utah, week 1Q1, 14:17 · Idaho 0, Utah 77Idaho’s turnover led to a touchdown7Idaho’s turnover led to a touchdownIdaho’s turnover led to a touchdownJ.Wood pass intercepted by T.Reynolds at IDA31 T.Reynolds return 2 yards to the IDA29, out of bounds at IDA29Watch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q1, 12:30 · Idaho down 7I. Carter fumbles and Utah recoversIdaho at Utah, week 1Q1, 12:30 · Idaho 0, Utah 73Idaho’s turnover led to a field goal3Idaho’s turnover led to a field goalIdaho’s turnover led to a field goalI.Carter rush middle for 8 yards loss to the IDA12 fumbled by I.Carter at IDA14 recovered by UTA R.Evans at IDA12, End Of PlayWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 0:32 · Utah up 17Devon Dampier finds Wayshawn Parker for a 3-yard touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q2, 0:32 · Utah 31, Idaho 7Utah scored with 0:32 left in the halfUtah scored with 0:32 left in the halfD.Dampier pass complete short right to W.Parker caught at IDA04, for 3 yards to the IDA00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q3, 13:15 · Utah up 24Braden Pegan runs 12 yards for a touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q3, 13:15 · Utah 38, Idaho 738-7score after the play38-7score after the playNo Huddle B.Pegan rush right for 12 yards gain to the IDA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football

All 10 plays from Idaho’s games

How scary each game got

Idaho lost at Sacramento State after being 96% to win

50%L1L4L12

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Idaho during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

How they play

How they play · 2025

Idaho fields a strong offense behind a leaky defense.

Offense
74th pct EPA/play
Defense
39th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

Player percentiles

Player percentiles · Idaho · 2025

Idaho reads strongest in rushing EPA (top 16%) and EPA / play (top 26%); the crux lives in passing EPA allowed, where Idaho sits at the 20th percentile.

Offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.22
74th
Success Rate +0.43
63rd
Explosive Plays +1.26
55th
Rushing EPA +0.21
84th

Defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.17
39th
Success Rate Allowed +0.43
32nd
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.25
50th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.34
20th

Hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.28
57th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.06
58th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 130 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Idaho is worth +6.8 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 91st percentile of 133 programs

50% at home, 12% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-1 home, 2-15 away). Interval ±13.1.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Idaho has beaten the number by −2.0 more at home than away over 60 games. That is inside the ±7.5 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Kibbie Dome seats 16,000 and has averaged 60% full (9,595, 16 games reported). Visitors cover a median 615 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 43 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1-1Away2-15Edge+6.8 ±13.1Visitor trip615 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of Idaho’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.21; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.27 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.

0.310.15-0.00Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.310.15-0.00Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

How Idaho’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Kris Cinkovich (2014–2017)
1st-down pass rate
2014: 46% → 2017: 46% · 8-pt range · #107 of 184 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2014: 32% → 2017: 51% · 19-pt range · #32 of 184 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2014: 54% → 2017: 40% · 34-pt range · #14 of 184 · more than most
Defense: Mike Breske (2015–2017)
1st-down pass rate
2015: 52% → 2017: 46% · 8-pt range · #118 of 200 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2015: 31% → 2017: 51% · 19-pt range · #41 of 200 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2015: 26% → 2017: 40% · 20-pt range · #73 of 199 · a typical amount
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.128, 12th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.128
12th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.132
74th
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.095
47th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.033
1st
Stuff rate (D) 0.206
58th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.149
85th
Line yards (O) 3.068
60th
Line yards allowed (D) 3.191
11th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.465
43rd
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.520
5th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.373
87th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.364
9th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Idaho

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site