Idaho

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The Boise State rivalryIdaho: the fanbase's identity shifting.our read

Big Sky · Kibbie Dome · 16,000 · 9,015 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetvs Abilene Christian · our model 46% Idaho · a number, not a pick

LastL 17–23 vs Lamar · Sat Sep 12 · Joshua Wood 205 pass yds, 50 rush yds, 1 TD

Nextvs Abilene Christian · Sat Sep 19 · 4 pm ET · Kibbie Dome · series 1-0 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

How They Play · 2025

Idaho fields a strong offense behind a leaky defense.

Offense
74th pct EPA/play
Defense
39th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Idaho · 2025

Idaho reads strongest in rushing epa (top 16%) and epa / play (top 26%); the crux lives in passing epa allowed, where Idaho sits at the 20th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.22
74th
Success Rate +0.43
63rd
Explosive Plays +1.26
55th
Rushing EPA +0.21
84th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.17
39th
Success Rate Allowed +0.43
32nd
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.25
50th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.34
20th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.28
57th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.06
58th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 130 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Idaho · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Idaho is worth +6.8 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 92nd percentile of 133 programs

50% at home, 12% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1–1 home, 2–15 away). Interval ±13.1.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Idaho has beaten the number by −3.0 more at home than away over 52 games — inside the ±8.1 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Kibbie Dome seats 16,000 and has averaged 61% full (9,822, 13 games reported). Visitors cover a median 615 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 40 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1–1Away2–15Edge+6.8 ±13.1Visitor trip615 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Idaho’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Kris Cinkovich (2014–2017)
1st-down pass rate
2014: 46% → 2017: 46% · 8-pt range · #109 of 184 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2014: 32% → 2017: 51% · 19-pt range · #35 of 182 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2014: 54% → 2017: 40% · 34-pt range · #14 of 172 · more than most
Defense: Mike Breske (2015–2017)
1st-down pass rate
2015: 52% → 2017: 46% · 8-pt range · #122 of 203 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2015: 31% → 2017: 51% · 19-pt range · #47 of 200 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2015: 26% → 2017: 40% · 20-pt range · #67 of 189 · a typical amount
Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.109
5th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.108
86th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.071
23rd
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.038
23rd
Stuff Rate (D) 0.150
41st
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.168
68th
Line Yards (O) 2.903
41st
Line Yards Allowed (D) 3.424
14th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.390
5th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.532
23rd
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.324
68th
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.464
5th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Idaho

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Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

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