CFB Zeitgeist Score
20
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 95th percentile.
Riley Williams
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
15 REC YDS · 1 REC · 0 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Oregon State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Oregon State
Returning around him
- 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -15 net (20 in / 35 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Oregon State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #60 · 2026 recruiting class #64
TE · OREGON STATE · PAC-12
Riley Williams
- 3
- #88
- 6-5 | 273 lb
- Portland, OR
Heisman Heat
#736
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025-79%
Sharp dropoff (-79%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.8998 | No. 325 recruit | HighSchool | Miami |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Miami
Composite
0.8998
#325 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Riley Williams
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Riley Williams
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Riley Williams's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
1 15th
YDS
15 20th
YPR
15.0 90th
TD
0 46th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 1 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | L 27-36vs Fresno State | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | Season-high 15 yds |
| Total | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024Miami10-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Oregon State2-10HC: Trent Bray · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Miami | 7 | 115 | 16.4 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Miami | 8 | 72 | 9.0 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 16 | 202 | 12.6 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 1 | #406/475 | 15th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 15 | #383/475 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #257/475 | 46th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.0 | #48/475 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.0% | #290/468 | 38th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 15 | #324/475 | 32nd pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.4% | #108/468 | 77th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.0% | #188/468 | 60th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 2.9% | #276/468 | 41st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 2.9% | #235/468 | 50th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.9% | #228/468 | 51st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 0.0% | #400/468 | 15th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 1 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 1.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Losses1g | 1.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 1.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
20Below cohort
Elite: yards / catch (94th). Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Riley WilliamsOregon StateLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 51% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 46% simBryce CaufieldOregon State· 44% sim
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Trent Bray
Pass share
51.7%
431 pass / 403 run
Plays / game
69.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.0%
369 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2024era →
Trent Bray
Oregon State
2025
Trent Bray
Oregon State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jonathan Smith → Trent Bray. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPortland, OR
Height6'5"
Weight273 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey88
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOregon State
ConferencePac-12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | TE | 3 | No. 88 | 6-5 | 273 lb | Portland, OR |
| 2024 | Miami | ACC | TE | 3 | No. 88 | 6-5 | 273 lb | Portland, OR |
| 2023 | Miami | ACC | TE | 3 | No. 88 | 6-5 | 273 lb | Portland, OR |