Mississippi State

4-4

Week 10 · updated Wednesday, Nov 4

Mississippi State has lost four in a row and is 4-4.

Fan mood in the week of the Texas game: sour, sourer than usual for them

Fan mood in each Mississippi State game week this season

Compared with other fanbases in r/CFB game threads that week. Each row is a week, named for its game; the further right the dot, the brighter the talk.

sourerbrighterat Minnesota W 38-13on the bright sideat South Carolina W 41-34middle of the packvs Missouri W 31-24on the bright sidevs Alabama L 23-56on the bright sideat LSU L 0-31not enough talk to readvs Oklahoma L 15-23middle of the packat Texas L 3-31soursourerbrighterSep 12at MinnesotaW 38-13on the bright sideSep 19at South CarolinaW 41-34middle of the packSep 26vs MissouriW 31-24on the bright sideOct 3vs AlabamaL 23-56on the bright sideOct 17at LSUL 0-31not enough talk to readOct 24vs OklahomaL 15-23middle of the packOct 31at TexasL 3-31sour
  • W 62-13 vs UL Monroe
  • W 38-13 at Minnesota
  • W 41-34 at South Carolina
  • W 31-24 vs Missouri
  • L 23-56 vs Alabama
  • L 0-31 at LSU
  • L 15-23 vs Oklahoma
  • L 3-31 at Texas
  • Next: vs Vanderbilt, Saturday, Nov 7

Scores ours first.

Since the last game

Mississippi State lost 3-31 at Texas.

The whole Texas game

Before Vanderbilt

Mississippi State has won 10 of the last 12 meetings, including the last five; Vanderbilt's last win was 31-13 in 2004.

Jeff Lebby and Clark Lea meet as head coaches for the first time.

The playoff simulation gives Mississippi State a 59% chance at home against Vanderbilt on Saturday, Nov 7.

Jeff Lebby's seat is the 17th-hottest of 132 in the hot-seat model.

In the playoff simulation, the Vanderbilt game has a bowl on it for Mississippi State.

Vanderbilt game on Now

What the Vanderbilt game is worth

How fan mood is read

Fan mood compares what Mississippi State fans wrote in r/CFB game threads with every FBS fanbase with enough talk that week. A week runs Monday to Sunday and is named for the game in it. The read is redrawn 300 times from the same commenters, re-ranking every fanbase each time. Sour or all in means the read sat in the bottom or top fifth in at least 70 of every 100 draws; on the sour side or on the bright side, in the bottom or top two fifths in at least 80; anything less settled is middle of the pack. A bright label also needs more positive talk than negative, and a sour one the reverse. Brighter or sourer than usual compares the week with the team's own earlier weeks, after taking out how every fanbase read that week. Each dot sits at the read's rank that week. A week read before these labels keeps the word it was first given, the fifth it sat in (sour, uneasy, mixed, hopeful or all in). Season averages are the mean of a season's reads, in fifths from sour to all in, and seasons before 2026 were read from each week's wider talk, so a comparison across seasons is rough.

Fan mood, week by week

Mood over time

Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling

What the reporters say

What reporters say

10 quotes collected this season

What the beat said, in their own words.

The biggest thing is that the culture and the coaching staff and the team all feel right to me
Kellow · On32 days before Mississippi State's 2026 game against Texas
Over the last few weeks, I've worked every day with our medical staff and done everything possible to be out there with my teammates. Missing the rest of this season is hard to accept, but I know God has a plan. I love this team and I love Mississippi State. My role will look different these next several weeks, but my commitment to this team won't change
Taylor · FOX Sports3 days after the 15-23 game
Nobody wants to be on that field more than Kamario. I know how much this team means to him, and how much he means to this team. We'll be right there with him throughout his recovery
Lebby · FOX Sports3 days after the 15-23 game

More in this tab

Fan chatter

Fan chatterThe loudest night of the season and what a usual night looks like.

Fan chatter this season

Busy

The loudest night was the 3-31 loss to Texas.

FirstSecondThirdFourthTexas fansMississippi State fansusual

A usual night for Mississippi State fans is steady.

Arguments

The argumentThe one thing this fanbase can't agree on, with receipts.

Inside the fanbase: all 7 corners

Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
LLocked On
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
6 outlets & communities talking

The split, staged

Warmest corner+0.25
Local
Most bought-in cohort
vs
Coldest corner+0.05
National take
Coolest cohort

How Mississippi State fans actually talk

Rr/CFBFan talk

Uhhhhhh idk what to say because we never win away SEC games. How tf did we win that.

open ↗

One of the crowd’s most upvoted takes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.

From the team’s own coverage

▶

Locked On

Reality Check: Jeff Lebby Has to Fix Mississippi State’s Offense Now | Vanderbilt Is a Must-Win

listen ↗

All 7 corners of the fanbase

negative
0
positive
National take+0.05 to Local+0.25

Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.

What this fanbase keeps coming back to

fan energy
34%
recent results
21%
where the program is headed
12%
the coaching staff
7%
the schedule
6%

Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.

week 10. The sources and the divergence rank are measured. Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model estimate, never a quote attributed to a person.
ArgumentsRecurring arguments this fanbase keeps returning to.

What fans are saying

program directionLimited signal that season

fans believe the team has better players this season

The defense is still very questionable. The D Line isn't getting any kind of pressure. That said, this team is far better than last season.

We look better but idk if we will survive in the SEC slate

Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Aug 30, 2025–Sep 21, 2025 · via CFB

player performanceOne fan's take that season

One fan believes the offensive line has improved pass protection

The kamario heisman campaign begins tonight. But all jokes aside, the less he has to run tonight, the better I’ll feel about the o line play

Yes sir. O line looks much improved. Finally getting some real push in the run game. Protected kamario well.

Based on 2 comments from 1 poster across 2 threads · Sep 5, 2026–Sep 12, 2026 · via CFB

Show all 4
program directionOne fan's take that season

One fan argues coaching changes have happened too quickly

I hate this expression. We hear it every time we fire a coach. We heard it after firing Joe Moorhead after two seasons, and we went and hired Mike Leach.

We got a lot of flack when we fired Joe Moorhead after only two seasons. People were saying this all over the place.

Based on 2 comments from 1 poster across 2 threads · Sep 12, 2026–Sep 13, 2026 · via CFB

schedule expectationOne fan's take that season

One fan believes ULM is a weaker opponent than typical competition

I am trying to not overreact to how we’ve done so far, because it’s ULM, but this team does feel better than last year.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Sep 6, 2026 · via CFB

Rival talk

The obsessionThe rival this fanbase can't stop bringing up.
Rent Free · r/CFB fan posts, 2026 season
Mississippi State fans 54% of posts bring up another team▲1pp saltier#35 of 77 saltiest · mostly about Alabama
Who Mississippi State fans can’t stop bringing up
  1. Alabama17%
  2. Minnesota7%
  3. Texas7%
  4. Missouri5%
  5. Oklahoma4%
share of Mississippi State’s football posts that mention each team
Rivalry wordsNumbers from Words for this program and its tier-1 rival, staged side by side.
What the sport says about this rivalry 2026 season · from Words

The watchlist words in play for this rivalry, Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss, staged head to head. A number is how much a program uses that word against the average FBS program — above or below 1.0× — not raw volume, and not a claim about who says it about whom.

Mississippi State Ole Miss
The whole board →

How Mississippi State fans talk

What they're calledThe slang the sport reaches for about this program more than most.
What the sport calls them 2026 season · from Words

How often college football reaches for these watchlist words about Mississippi State — against the average FBS program, or against their own usual rate — said by rival fans and national media as readily as by their own people.

The whole board →
Voice profileHow this fanbase sounds vs. every other fanbase.
Doomers
Optimism
64th
Joy
83rd
Anger
36th
Doom
82nd
Sarcasm
38th
Vs the 127 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
Vocabulary by eraThe words that defined each chapter of this program.

Season vocabulary

2026alabama
alabamalsukamariotopcollegeminnesota
Mississippi State quarterback don’t run like Russell alabama All Day 💯💯
2025defense
defenseshapenfuckingkickerlineplease
Now to see how far our defense has risen
2024recruiting
recruitingburenvan
Reminder that Miami's biggest recruiting scandal was hooker and cocaine parties for croots on a mega yacht. They got plenty of money.
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