SEC South Carolina

Head coach Shane Beamer · 6th season · 38-33 at South Carolina

Record5-33-3 SEC · T-9th
CFPNo. 21week 10 poll
Playoff8%to make the field
Nextvs Texas A&MSat Nov 7 · 3 pm ET · ESPN2

The rest of the season

Three real tests left: No. 2 Georgia 33%, Texas A&M 45%, Clemson 60%

Win out 8% · expect 2.3 of 4 more wins

South Carolina's chance to win each game left, from our model: Texas A&M 45%, Arkansas 88%, Georgia 33%, Clemson 60%

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.

Playoff chance went from 15% to 8%, peaking at 30% before a game

15%30%W13%L6%L2%L5%W6%W8%W

Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.

StandingTied for 9th in the SEC · 3-3 in conference play · All standings

LeadersPassing Lanorris Sellers 1,849 · Rushing Lanorris Sellers 603 · Receiving Mazeo Bennett 431 All player stats

The nationAP #23 · CFP #21week 10 poll
The model#24 CFB ZeitgeistPublic ratings: SP+ #28 (+11.0) · FPI #25
The marketSouth Carolina by 7Betting line vs Texas A&M · our model 45% South Carolina

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9

Follow South Carolina:athletics siteSECX

Schedule and results

South Carolina · 2026 schedule and results5-3Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 55% · 4 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now. 2 wins over a team ranked at kickoff.Our rank entering each game: #16 to #29
WkDateOur rankOpp rankLineOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
1Sep 5#16#122−35.5✓ +21.5Kent StateW 57-0 120South Carolina won 57-0 vs Kent State. Chance to win started at 99%, low 98%, high better than 99%.1-00-0Pass Sellers 270 · Rush Coleman 77 · Rec Murph 92
2Sep 12#17#173−44.5✗ −8.5TowsonW 45-9 67South Carolina won 45-9 vs Towson. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.2-00-0Pass Sellers 96 · Rush Fuller 125 · Rec Harbor 35
3Sep 19#16#106−3✗ −10Mississippi StateL 34-41 140South Carolina lost 34-41 vs Mississippi State. Chance to win started at 66%, low under 1%, high 98%.2-10-1Pass Sellers 282 · Rush Fuller 73 · Rec Fuller 85
4Sep 26#22#16+12.5✗ −18.5@AlabamaL 18-49 130South Carolina lost 18-49 at Alabama. Chance to win started at 22%, low under 1%, high 24%.2-20-2Pass Sellers 185 · Rush Fuller 112 · Rec Harbor 42
5Oct 3#31#69−2.5✗ −3.5KentuckyL 34-35 152South Carolina lost 34-35 vs Kentucky. Chance to win started at 67%, low under 1%, high better than 99%.2-30-3Pass Sellers 226 · Rush Sellers 147 · Rec Bennett 92
6Oct 10#40#16+10.5✓ +29.5@FloridaTop 25 winW 38-19 146South Carolina won 38-19 at Florida. Chance to win started at 17%, low 7%, high better than 99%.3-31-3Pass Sellers 279 · Rush Fuller 52 · Rec Harbor 83
7Bye week
8Oct 24#32#18−2.5✓ +0.5TennesseeTop 25 winW 27-24 136South Carolina won 27-24 vs Tennessee. Chance to win started at 67%, low 9%, high better than 99%.4-32-3Pass Sellers 210 · Rush Sellers 96 · Rec Bennett 88
9Oct 31#29#28+3.5✓ +20.5@OklahomaW 42-25 145South Carolina won 42-25 at Oklahoma. Chance to win started at 36%, low 33%, high better than 99%.5-33-3Pass Sellers 301 · Rush Sellers 96 · Rec Bennett 107
10Nov 7#25#26−7Texas A&M3 pm ET · ESPN245% to win
11Nov 14#24#120@Arkansastime TBA · SEC Network88% to win
12Nov 21Georgiatime TBA33% to win
13Nov 28+3@Clemsontime TBA
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for South Carolina, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Line is the closing point spread for South Carolina: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 31@OklahomaW 42-25521332:14+0.25041.4%1.64Most explosive
Oct 24TennesseeW 27-24344125:48+0.13741.5%1.36One-score win
Oct 10@FloridaW 38-19393030:37+0.29543.1%1.33
Oct 3KentuckyL 34-35458226:31+0.08649.4%1.06One-score loss
Sep 26@AlabamaL 18-49419229:40-0.06436.0%1.18Season-low EPA/play
Sep 19Mississippi StateL 34-41431234:15+0.12438.0%1.30One-score loss
Sep 12TowsonW 45-9502226:08+0.17248.5%1.23Best defensive stand
Sep 5Kent StateW 57-0645034:47+0.68368.9%1.21Season-high EPA/play
Season average (8 games)4641.5+0.21045.8%1.29

South Carolina's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses

What’s ahead

The forecast
Season line5.5 winsover -159
Offense strongDefense soft

Season expectations

Win total1 bookOver/under 5.5
CFP championship#24 in field+20,000
SEC title#11 in market+20,000

Sportsbook odds · Oct 19. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.

Today’s games across college football

What fans said

What fans said

W 42-25 at Oklahoma

South Carolina fans
r/Gamecocks
“just took this team 5 weeks longer to figure it out than it should have”
3d ago
r/Gamecocks
“and that is what has been the most acutely exasperating about Shane Beamer’s tenure here, for as much as I want him to succeed. these slow starts to the season…”
3d ago
Oklahoma fans on South Carolina
r/sooners
“Game Thread: Oklahoma vs. South Carolina (3:15 p.m. CT)”
4d ago

W 27-24 vs Tennessee

South Carolina fans
r/Gamecocks
“Please excuse me while I go delete all my comments about firing Beamer”
1w ago
r/CFB
“No hate for Tennessee this week. Our family’s retired racing greyhound got really sick last month and eventually ended up at UT’s vet hospital after three…”
1w ago
Tennessee fans on South Carolina
r/CFB
“One of these days South Carolina & Oregon State will play and it will be glorious”
1w ago

Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 21South Carolina-Georgiavs AP #2 Georgia · at home
Sat Nov 28Palmetto Bowlat Clemson · on the road

Recent form · last 10 games

South Carolina has won three of its last five.

6-4 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
All the bull crap conspiracy theories from the past four years… hopefully we can put that crap to bed
Beamer · On3the day after South Carolina's 2026 game against Tennessee

Playoff chance, day by day

8% now · ▲ 2 points in the last week

040%8%High 30%, Sep 6Aug 31Nov 4

Our simulation, 20,000 seasons a night, counted from the first full week of games.

Range of outcomes · South Carolina · 2026

South Carolina’s most likely regular season is 7-5. 90% of outcomes land from 6-6 to 8-4.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

5 wins 2%; 6 wins 18%; 7 wins 41%; 8 wins 32%; 9 wins 8%
What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor7-6A bowl game, 2 fewer wins.
Base9-4A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 1 more win.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.

More in this tab

This week and this season

Worth watchingGames average 62 combined points, shootouts

What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-3

Game feel62shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 8)6th most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+11.6competitiveavg scoring margin8th best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo71uptempooffensive plays / game3rd fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.29some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)5th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd78,264avg attendance10th biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

Measured from 8 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

South Carolina is the SEC's hardest-luck believer — a program that has never won a conference championship in over a century, fights like it might at any moment, and watched a preseason-No.-13 season with a Heisman-hyped quarterback crater to 4-8.

AP Top 25#23 AP

Gamecock fans have spent generations as the SEC's welcome mat for Georgia, Clemson, and the rest — and they wear the grievance like a badge. They'll tell you nobody fights harder for less, and that…

Read the full program story ↓
Game-day weatherKickoff-time weather at home, and the forecast in game week.

South Carolina · Game-day weather

Typical at Williams-Brice Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 95, noon and 3:30 pm Saturdays 87

  • noon: 87, Mixed
  • 3:30 pm: 87, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 95, Comfortable

Typical weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read it.

At kickoff, 112 regular-season Saturdays at each kickoff time, 2018 to 2025. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Game dayOffense: Strong, defense: Soft
The experience

South Carolina is the program waiting for its second 11-win season since 1903.

Offense: StrongDefense: Soft
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.

Active arcs

Cooling
South Carolina owes North Carolina $1 million for canceled football series
How will this financial penalty impact future scheduling decisions?
Cooling
South Carolina dismisses former Ohio State running back Sam Williams-Dixon…
How will South Carolina's roster adjust following the dismissal of its starting running back?
Read the South Carolina story →
Program ledgerLatest: Entered the AP Top 25 (2026, week 10)

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026 · Wk 10Entered the AP Top 25Week 9 · Won 42-25 at Oklahomaat No. 23
  • 2025 · Wk 4Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 3 · Lost 7-31 at home to Vanderbiltwas No. 11

Roster and recruiting

Roster69% of production back, talent #15

Roster reload: South Carolina

2026 snapshot, Nov 4
Returning Production69%High continuity
Talent Composite#15 nationally247 composite 862.9
Portal Additions28Primary repair: RB
Portal Losses25Primary pressure: OT
Draft Loss3NFL Draft departures (3)
Recruiting Reload#14Top-25 recruiting class
IOLin 5 - Emmanuel Poku3.80out 5 - Boaz Stanley3.80Even
current room: 321 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 3 - Jacarrius Peak4.50out 6 - Josiah Thompson4.12Starter Risk
WRin 4 - Nitro Tuggle3.70out 3 - Vandrevius Jacobs4.25Upgrade
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Deep Threat2025 profilebeats you over the top
Former four-star
DLin 3 - Tomiwa Durojaiye4.38out 2 - Zavion Hardy3.50Upgrade
current room: 296 lbs avg (2025 roster)
3-Tech Penetratordisrupts the pocket from the interior
Third program
EDGEin 2 - Caleb Herring3.90out 3 - Desmond Umeozulu3.90Downgrade
Speed Rusherwins the corner before the tackle can set
Junior-college recruit
Kin 3 - Malik Orsan1.00out 1 - Peyton Argent1.00Need Filled
Full roster (113 players)
DBCedric Cisse, Chris Hatfield, Damarcus Leach, David Bucey, Ethan Johnson, Gerald Kilgore, Isaiah McClary, JZavien Currence, Jackson Burger, Jalewis Solomon, Jaquel Holman, Judge Collier, KJ Johnson, Kelvin Hunter, Kendall Daniels Jr., Kosci Barnes, Landon Kurtz, Peyton Williams, Quay'sheed Scott, Tony Brown, Triston Lewis, Vicari Swain, Zahbari Sandy
DEAnthony Addison, Caleb Herring, Drew Collins, Dylan Stewart, Jaquavious Dodd, Julian Walker, Kobby Sakyi-Prah
DLAiden Harris, Christian Ingram, Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy, Jordan Thomas, Kelby Collins, Noah Clark, Tomiwa Durojaiye
DTCaleb Williams, Troy Pikes
LBAJ Holloway, Andrew Harris, Donovan Darden, Fred Johnson, George Wilson, Jamian Risher Jr., Josh Smith, Justin Okoronkwo, Keenan Britt, Shawn Murphy
LSEmmet Rhoades, Gunnar Yocum, Kyler Farrow, Malik Orsan, Matthew Oh
OLAdedamola Ajidahun, Anthony Baxter, Armando Nieves, Ashton Mozone, Blake Franks, Carter Miller, Damola Ajidahun, Darius Gray, Dayne Arnett, Ebubedike Nnabugwu, Emmanuel Poku, Hank Purvis, Jacarrius Peak, Jake Recker, Josiah Thompson, Markee Anderson, Neff Giwa, Nolan Hay, Seth Smith, Shedrick Sarratt Jr., Vincent Chen, Zyon Guiles
PKEthan Sanchez, Mason Love, Max Kelley, Upton Bellenfant
QBBrandon Cunningham, Cutter Woods, Jimmy Francis, Landon Duckworth, Lanorris Sellers, Lucian Anderson III
RBChristian Clark, Ethan Kellum, Isaiah Augustave, Jabree Coleman, Jawarn Howell, Matthew Fuller, Neil Salvage III
TEBrady Hunt, Caden Ramsey, Maurice Brown II, Max Drag, Mike Tyler, Reno Roehm
WRCharly Mullaly, DJ Black, Donovan Murph, Jackson Repp, Jayden Gibson, Jayden Sellers, Jordon Gidron, Lex Cyrus, Malik Clark, Mazeo Bennett, Nitro Tuggle, Nyck Harbor, Sequel Patterson, Stone Furrey
Top commits

Top 1 commits

2027 class
★★★☆☆
Jerry Meyer III
QB · Waxahachie, TX
#1136 national
Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Gamecock Football] South Carolina announces sell out crowd for season opener. 100+ heat index is forecasted for game…
378 upvotes · Sep 2026
[Postgame Thread] South Carolina Defeats Towson 45-9
82 upvotes · Sep 2026

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

Fans and ratings

Fans vs. the lineWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market↑
44th
Fan mood
(percentile among FBS)
5.5
Sportsbook win total
(28th among FBS)
Fans 16pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
Where voters differAP voters range from #15 to #25 (week 9)
Voter spread

45 of 70 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 9 (2026): from #15, Kirk Bohls (Houston Chronicle), to #25, Sarah Hughes (USA Sports). 25 voters left them off the ballot entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 9, 2026, 70 voters tracked.

RivalsRival pulse: Clemson uneasy, Georgia uneasy

Rival pulse

Clemson
Uneasy
-7
Palmetto Bowl
Face-off →
Georgia
Uneasy
-18
South Carolina-Georgia

Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data

More

FollowThe team's own sites, its reporters and its podcasts.

Follow South Carolina

Each link was checked against two outside sites.

From the booth

A recent episode that covers this team
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site