South Carolina

2-0

SEC · Shane Beamer, year 6 (35-30) · Williams-Brice Stadium · 80,250 · 77,979 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#15 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #19 (+16.7) · FPI #21
The marketSouth Carolina by 3.5vs Mississippi State · our model 83% South Carolina · a number, not a pick

LastW 45–9 vs Towson · Sat Sep 12 · Matthew Fuller 125 rush yds, 1 TD, 8 rec yds

Nextvs Mississippi State · Sat Sep 19 · 4:15 pm ET · Williams-Brice Stadium · South Carolina by 3.5 · series 10-7 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
51.0
Pts allowed/game
4.5
Total yards/gm#9 / 138 · 94th pct
573.5
Rush yards/gm#3 / 138 · 98th pct
341.5
Pass yards/gm#68 / 138 · 51st pct
232.0
Yards allowed/gm#8 / 138 · 95th pct
191.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#11 / 138 · 92nd pct
60.5
SacksT-#38 / 138 · 65th pct
5
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down convT-#7 / 138 · 95th pct
63.6%
All 80 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
1147573.5/gm8.25/play#9 / 138 · 94th pct#6 / 69 · 92nd pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
382191.0/gm3.44/play#8 / 138 · 95th pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
683341.5/gm4.91/play#3 / 138 · 98th pct#1 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
12160.5/gm1.09/play#11 / 138 · 92nd pct#10 / 69 · 86th pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
8040.0/gmT-#48 / 138 · 65th pctT-#23 / 69 · 67th pct#8 / 16 · 53rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5427.0/gmT-#14 / 138 · 89th pctT-#9 / 69 · 85th pctT-#2 / 16 · 84th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
84.0/gmT-#9 / 138 · 91st pctT-#6 / 69 · 88th pctT-#1 / 16 · 88th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#1 / 69 · 88th pctT-#1 / 16 · 84th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
464232.0/gm3.34/play#68 / 138 · 51st pct#43 / 69 · 38th pct#10 / 16 · 41st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
261130.5/gm2.35/play#16 / 138 · 89th pct#13 / 69 · 82nd pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5929.5/gmT-#67 / 138 · 51st pctT-#39 / 69 · 43rd pctT-#9 / 16 · 44th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5728.5/gmT-#56 / 138 · 58th pctT-#34 / 69 · 50th pctT-#8 / 16 · 50th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3819.0/gmT-#70 / 138 · 49th pctT-#42 / 69 · 39th pct#11 / 16 · 34th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3216.0/gmT-#43 / 138 · 67th pctT-#26 / 69 · 60th pctT-#7 / 16 · 56th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
42.0/gmT-#48 / 138 · 57th pctT-#33 / 69 · 46th pctT-#10 / 16 · 34th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#13 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#2 / 16 · 72nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
149.5149.5#50 / 115 · 57th pct#35 / 59 · 42nd pct#7 / 14 · 54th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Opp
96.996.9#13 / 91 · 86th pct#9 / 41 · 79th pct#3 / 11 · 77th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 69 · 53rd pctT-#8 / 16 · 44th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 69 · 64th pctT-#3 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
52.5/gmT-#38 / 138 · 65th pctT-#21 / 69 · 60th pctT-#7 / 16 · 50th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#33 / 138 · 67th pctT-#20 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#6 / 16 · 62nd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
115.5/gmT-#63 / 138 · 49th pctT-#37 / 69 · 42nd pctT-#12 / 16 · 22nd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#14 / 138 · 88th pctT-#10 / 69 · 83rd pct#2 / 16 · 91st pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
5728.5/gmT-#17 / 138 · 87th pctT-#10 / 69 · 85th pct#3 / 16 · 84th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2211.0/gm#11 / 138 · 92nd pct#10 / 69 · 86th pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
147.0/gmT-#28 / 138 · 77th pctT-#14 / 69 · 78th pct#5 / 16 · 72nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
84.0/gmT-#40 / 138 · 67th pctT-#27 / 69 · 56th pct#9 / 16 · 47th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2211.0/gmT-#105 / 138 · 21st pctT-#50 / 69 · 24th pctT-#11 / 16 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3015.0/gmT-#89 / 138 · 31st pctT-#45 / 69 · 29th pctT-#12 / 16 · 25th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
21.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 51st pctT-#28 / 69 · 49th pctT-#10 / 16 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#3 / 16 · 69th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 69 · 43rd pctT-#9 / 16 · 44th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#3 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#2 / 69 · 93rd pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
60:5530:28/gm#75 / 138 · 46th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#8 / 16 · 53rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
59:0529:32/gm#66 / 138 · 53rd pct#37 / 69 · 47th pct#9 / 16 · 47th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.25 EPA/play16229 / 4663.03668.03
#60 FBS
1147.145
-0.69 EPA/play1227 / 1163.6746.710150.1
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.31 EPA/play28221199
#24 FBS
9.52
#43 FBS
55
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.06 EPA/play82710515034
-0.03 EPA/play325428.4118

2026 stat leaders · South Carolina

through 2 games

Matthew Fuller leads South Carolina with 199 rushing yards through 2 games.

1. Matthew Fuller RB 199 rushing yards
2. Lanorris Sellers QB 366 passing yards
3. Nyck Harbor WR 105 receiving yards
4. Julian Walker DE 1 sacks
5. Donovan Murph WR 92 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

South Carolina fields a struggling explosive, big-play offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.

Offense
27th pct EPA/play
Tempo
81st pct explosiveness
Defense
78th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
83rd pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · South Carolina · 2025

South Carolina reads strongest in rushing epa allowed (top 3%) and explosive plays allowed (top 18%); the crux lives in success rate, where South Carolina sits at the 15th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.10
27th
Success Rate +0.38
16th
Explosive Plays +1.34
81st
Rushing EPA +0.06
36th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.08
78th
Success Rate Allowed +0.42
44th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.17
83rd
Passing EPA Allowed +0.23
54th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.20
31st
Rushing EPA Allowed -0.08
97th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · South Carolina · 2018–present · FBS opponents

South Carolina is worth +4.6 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 62nd percentile of 133 programs

54% at home, 32% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (26–22 home, 12–25 away). Interval ±4.3.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, South Carolina has beaten the number by −2.2 more at home than away over 71 games — inside the ±7.1 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Williams-Brice Stadium seats 80,250 and has averaged 97% full (78,064, 30 games reported). Visitors cover a median 333 miles to get here since 2018 — 47th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 35% of the 2026 roster (36 of 104 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 56 home games since 2018.

Home26–22Away12–25Edge+4.6 ±4.3Visitor trip333 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How South Carolina’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Defense: Clayton White (2021–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2021: 37% → 2026: 45% · 13-pt range · #62 of 203 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2021: 36% → 2026: 67% · 37-pt range · #3 of 200 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2021: 38% → 2025: 45% · 14-pt range · #106 of 189 · a typical amount
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank South Carolina

CFB Zeitgeist

#15

+7.8

SP+

#19

+16.7

FPI

#21

+14.7

Elo

#19

1763

The national models put South Carolina between 19th and 21st nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 15th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · South Carolina

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

72°F average kickoff temp; 8% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.

Based on 84 home games with weather data.

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