cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Byrum Brown /South Florida

Byrum Brown

QB · South Florida · Sr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

3,158 PASS YDS · 28 PASS TD · 1,008 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred South Florida → Auburn for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Auburn

2025South Florida
2026Auburn

QB · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Byrum Brown

  • 4
  • #17
  • 6-3 | 231 lb
  • Raleigh, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

80

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1831

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -9aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 86th percentile of QBs; the tape says 95th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception86th pctl
Production — on-field95th pctl
n=54 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing
In Their Words 1,067 windows · 2025 fan posts
auburn×10.4byrum×113.0tigers×34.8golesh×91.8usf×31.1day×9.9sec×18.8able×19.8

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

South Florida · QB

2023

South Florida · QB

2025

South Florida · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
4042022
3,2922023
3,1582025

+682%

Up 682% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1178 national
CFB
College
South Florida
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey17
Measurements6-3 | 231 lb
HometownRaleigh, NC
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1178 recruit
Composite rating 0.8530 HighSchool
Signed with South Florida 2022
Origin Rolesville Rolesville, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8530 No. 1178 recruit | HighSchool | South Florida

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Auburn 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 South Florida -> Auburn 4-star | 0.9400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1831Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2143Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3158 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1008).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NIL Valuation · On3

$1.55M

#41 nationally · Jun 2026

Whisper Rate

$3.00M

per-deal market estimate

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to South Florida

Composite

0.8530

#1178 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Byrum Brown

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

56

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 42 mentions
Confidence HIGH

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 42 mentions · belief +12 · "Josh Pate proves he's a sensible man with measured take on Auburn QB Byrum Brown"Own fansRivals: 16 mentions · belief +12 · "si.com ‘Let’s Win a Natty:’ Why Byrum Brown is High on Auburn’s Team Chemistry B"RivalsNational: 8 mentions · belief +0 · "Most total yards/game vs. FBS Byrum Brown, USF - 347.3 Haynes King, GT - 340.7 S"National
  • Own fans · n=42
  • Rivals · n=16
  • National · n=8

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Byrum Brown

Obsession score 10
Rival mentions 16
Weeks on radar 4
Peak moment Week 0 · 8 mentions
Grudging respect 12% Neutral 88% Mockery 0%

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
3,158Pass yards
28Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
263.2Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,421Pass yards
30Pass TDs
8INT

✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,158.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,158): needs 842/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 28.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 28): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 28): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Byrum Brown's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For South Florida, he has 3,158 passing yards and 28 touchdown passes, but he also adds 1,008 rushing yards and 14 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #1831 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 57.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,158 28 TD | 7 INT | #28/382 (93rd pct)
Completion rate 66.3% 226/341 completions | #111/383 (71st pct)
Yards/attempt 9.3 Explosiveness through the air | #42/382 (89th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientVertical threatDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
226 87th
ATT
341 86th
CMP%
66.3% 71st
Y/A
9.3 89th

Passing Production

YDS
3,158 93rd
TD
28 97th
INT
7 23rd

Rushing

CAR
175 98th
YDS
1,008 99th
YPC
5.8 83rd
TD
14 98th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State16/24210008.858.8
Wk 2W 18-16@ Florida23/36263107.374.6
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami20/36274117.637.7
Wk 4W 63-14vs South Carolina State14/202364111.855.04 TD passes
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte19/34211426.247.24 TD passes
Wk 7W 63-36@ North Texas22/28245318.872.63 TD passes
Wk 8W 48-13vs Florida Atlantic14/242563010.790.33 TD passes
Wk 9L 31-34@ Memphis26/43269116.372.9
Wk 11W 55-23vs UTSA14/152392015.999.8
Wk 12L 38-41@ Navy23/323272110.278.1
Wk 13W 48-18@ UAB19/253533014.179.3Season-high 353 yds
Wk 14W 52-3vs Rice16/242754011.595.64 TD passes
Total226/34131582879.971.8
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022South Florida1-11HC: Jeff Scott · Run-leaning
2023South Florida7-6HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida22634166.3%3,1589.3287167.1----
2023South Florida27642664.8%3,2927.72611144.7----
2022South Florida365072.0%4048.151168.9----
Career3 loaded seasons53881765.9%6,8548.45919155.5----
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida1751,0085.814--
2023South Florida2038094.011--
2022South Florida311795.83--
Career3 loaded seasons4091,9964.928--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 1,008 14 rush TD | #5/408 (99th pct)
Usage 57.4% 90.9% pass share | 32.1% rush share | #25/428 (94th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.47 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #8/200 (96th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,158 #28/382 93rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 28 #12/407 97th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 226 #49/383 87th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 66.3% #111/383 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 9.3 #42/382 89th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 1,008 #5/408 99th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.47 #8/200 96th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 341 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 57.4% #25/428 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 341 #56/407 86th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 7 #316/407 23rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 175 #9/408 98th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 60 #21/391 95th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 14 #8/408 98th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.8 #69/407 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 90.9% #53/428 88th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 69.5% #40/428 91st pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 68.1% #56/428 87th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 57.1% #8/428 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 53.4% #17/428 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 50.2% #77/428 82nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 32.1% #13/428 97th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.31 #37/140 74th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 161 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #237/258 9th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g2382.810.80.5
Road6g2881.89.00.7

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins9g2542.710.60.4
Losses3g2901.38.01.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g2402.28.40.8
Weeks 8+6g2862.511.50.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

80All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (97th). Strength: yards / att (96th). Concern: fumbles lost (8th).

Rush yards#5 / 183 · 98th pct
1008rush
Yards / att#6 / 183 · 97th pct
9.3pass
Rush TDs#8 / 183 · 96th pct
14rush
Pass TDs#12 / 183 · 93rd pct
28pass
Pass yards#28 / 183 · 85th pct
3158pass
Completion %#37 / 183 · 80th pct
66.3%pass
Interceptions#92 / 183 · 44th pct
7pass
Fumbles lost#154 / 174 · 8th pct
4fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

124/198 (62.6%) · 16 TD · 5 INT

Short

0–9 yds
54%of completions
67 comp5.3 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
23%of completions
29 comp14.1 yds avg5 TD

Deep

20+ yds
23%of completions
28 comp35.2 yds avg9 TD

Overall 62.6% completion on 198 attempts · 28 deep completions averaging 35.2 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Elite: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.470
92th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.47Elite (≥p90) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.31Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Byrum BrownSouth FloridaAnthony ColandreaUNLV· 89% simDemond Williams Jr.Washington· 89% simDiego PaviaVanderbilt· 87% sim
Rush yards
98
Brown
90
Colandrea
88
Jr.
95
Pavia
Yards / att
97
Brown
84
Colandrea
91
Jr.
98
Pavia
Rush TDs
96
Brown
91
Colandrea
74
Jr.
91
Pavia
Pass TDs
93
Brown
82
Colandrea
89
Jr.
95
Pavia
Pass yards
85
Brown
91
Colandrea
83
Jr.
93
Pavia
Completion %
80
Brown
77
Colandrea
94
Jr.
96
Pavia
Interceptions
44
Brown
22
Colandrea
32
Jr.
32
Pavia
Fumbles lost
8
Brown
18
Colandrea
18
Jr.
38
Pavia

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Dual Threat

Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brendan Sorsby’s 2025 season.

Brendan Sorsby

78%match

Cincinnati · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

KJ Jefferson

Arkansas · 2022

64%
#3

Michael Pratt

Tulane · 2022

All-AACNFL Rd 7
62%
#4

KJ Jefferson

Arkansas · 2021

59%
#5

Sawyer Robertson

Baylor · 2024

58%

Matches Brendan on

Completion %
INT rate
EPA / dropback (adj)

Differs from Brendan on

Rush usage (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Seth Henigan’s path through Memphis.

Seth Henigan

88%match

Memphis · 2024

All-AAC
#2

Anthony Brown

Oregon · 2021

87%
#3

Sean Clifford

Penn State · 2022

NFL Rd 5
87%
#4

Gunnar Watson

Troy · 2023

All-Sun Belt
86%
#5

Cameron Friel

UNLV · 2022

86%

Matches Seth on

Height
Recruiting rating
Yards per attempt

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brendan Sorsby's senior season at Cincinnati (2025).

Brendan Sorsby

68%match

Cincinnati · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

Michael Pratt

Tulane · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 7
60%
#3

Dequan Finn

Toledo · 2023

All-MAC
51%
#4

Garrett Shrader

Syracuse · 2023

51%
#5

Ben Wooldridge

Louisiana · 2024

All-Sun Belt
50%

Matches Brendan on

Completion %
EPA / dropback (adj)

Differs from Brendan on

Class year (higher)
Rush usage (higher)
INT rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
era →
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Scott → Alex Golesh. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRaleigh, NC
Height6'3"
Weight231 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-AAC all_conference South Florida | AAC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Florida QB4 #1831 #2143 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 South Florida QB4 #98 #210 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 South Florida QB4 #765 #1207 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic QB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 231 lb | Raleigh, NC
2024 South Florida American Athletic QB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 231 lb | Raleigh, NC
2023 South Florida American Athletic QB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 231 lb | Raleigh, NC
2022 South Florida American Athletic QB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 231 lb | Raleigh, NC