CFB Zeitgeist Score
34
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.
Lucian Anderson III
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
245 PASS YDS · 2 PASS TD · 138 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to South Carolina
2025Bowling Green
2026South Carolina
QB · BOWLING GREEN · MID-AMERICAN
Lucian Anderson III
- 2
- #3
- 6-3 | 200 lb
- Athens, GA
Heisman Heat
#2048
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Bowling Green
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Bowling Green -> South Carolina | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Lucian Anderson III
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Lucian Anderson III
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 4g
245Pass yards
2Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
61.2Pass yards
0Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
796.2Pass yards
6Pass TDs
10INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 245): needs 306.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 245): needs 417.2/game over remaining 9.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.7/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Lucian Anderson III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Bowling Green, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
26 46th
ATT
41 48th
CMP%
63.4% 60th
Y/A
6.0 31st
Passing Production
YDS
245 44th
TD
2 52nd
INT
3 43rd
Rushing
CAR
30 56th
YDS
138 73rd
YPC
4.6 72nd
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | L 17-40@ Louisville | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 5 | L 20-35@ Ohio | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | W 28-23vs Toledo | 9/16 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 5.8 | 47.8 | |
| Wk 8 | L 6-27vs Central Michigan | 17/25 | 153 | 0 | 2 | 6.1 | 9.3 | Season-high 153 yds |
| Total | 26/41 | 245 | 2 | 3 | 5.9 | 28.5 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Bowling Green7-6HC: Scot Loeffler · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Bowling Green4-8HC: Eddie George · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Bowling Green | 26 | 41 | 63.4% | 245 | 6.0 | 2 | 3 | 115.1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Bowling Green | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 26 | 41 | 63.4% | 245 | 6.0 | 2 | 3 | 115.1 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Bowling Green | 30 | 138 | 4.6 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Bowling Green | 8 | 28 | 3.5 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 38 | 166 | 4.4 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 245 | #215/382 | 44th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 2 | #198/407 | 52nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 26 | #208/383 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.4% | #155/383 | 60th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.0 | #265/382 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 138 | #111/408 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 29.5% | #180/428 | 58th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 41 | #212/407 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 3 | #234/407 | 43rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 75 | #4/391 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 30 | #179/408 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.6 | #115/407 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 44.8% | #192/428 | 55th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 44.2% | #168/428 | 61st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 40.3% | #183/428 | 57th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 30.9% | #176/428 | 59th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 24.0% | #185/428 | 57th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 22.2% | #192/428 | 55th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.5% | #75/428 | 83rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 122 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| Road2g | — | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 92.0 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 1.0 |
| Losses3g | 51.0 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 30.7 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 153 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 2.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
34Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (82nd). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Lucian Anderson IIIBowling GreenNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 65% simRyan BrownePurdue· 60% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 59% sim
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Completion %
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Yards / att
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Eddie George
Pass share
37.7%
281 pass / 465 run
Plays / game
62.2
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.9%
265 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Scot Loeffler
Bowling Green
2025era →
Eddie George
Bowling Green
Coaching transition mid-career: Scot Loeffler → Eddie George. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAthens, GA
Height6'3"
Weight200 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBowling Green
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Bowling Green | QB2 | #2048 | #2402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Bowling Green | QB2 | #1624 | #1467 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | QB | 2 | No. 3 | 6-3 | 200 lb | Athens, GA |
| 2024 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | QB | 2 | No. 3 | 6-3 | 200 lb | Athens, GA |
| 2023 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | QB | 2 | No. 3 | 6-3 | 200 lb | Athens, GA |