Texas A&M at South Carolina
Texas A&M (4‑4) travels to South Carolina (#23, 5‑3), with South Carolina favored by 7. Texas A&M’s offense is at the 5th percentile on explosive plays; South Carolina’s defense is at the 42nd.
How they got here
Last three games
Texas A&M · 4-4
Rated 6th in our preseason ratings, 26th now, down 20 spots.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Last three games
South Carolina · 5-3
Rated 16th in our preseason ratings, 25th now.
Three straight wins, capped by a 17-point win over Oklahoma as a 3.5-point underdog.
Biggest mismatch: Texas A&M’s explosive plays against South Carolina, 37 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Texas A&M’s explosive plays against South Carolina’s defense
Texas A&M offense, 5th percentile · South Carolina defense, 42nd
South Carolina’s passing EPA against Texas A&M’s defense
South Carolina offense, 44th percentile · Texas A&M defense, 77th
What’s at stake
Make the playoff
Texas A&M projected #7 seed
Win the conference
Win the title
CFP odds as of November 4, 2026
The series
Texas A&M leads the series 10-2
12 meetings since 2014 · Texas A&M won the last meeting
- 2025Texas A&M 31-30
- 2024South Carolina 44-20
- 2023Texas A&M 30-17
- 2022South Carolina 30-24
- 2021Texas A&M 44-14
Each line is South Carolina’s chance to win through that meeting. South Carolina is 1-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Texas A&M
The chip · vs the national mediaFans heard the program written off as all pageantry and no payoff — the place with the best traditions and the most overrated football in America — for a generation. The 2025 Playoff berth was the answer, and they intend to keep delivering it until the narrative stops.
What this game touches
The 2025 stumble at the summit. Texas A&M ripped off its first 11-0 start since 1992 and rose to No. 3 in the Playoff rankings — the highest in program history — then lost the rivalry game to Texas 27-17, missed the SEC Championship despite a 7-1 league record, and fell 10-3 to Miami in the program's first Playoff game. The best season in a generation ended one rung below the mountaintop.
South Carolina
The chip · vs the blue bloodsGamecock fans have spent generations as the SEC's welcome mat for Georgia, Clemson, and the rest — and they wear the grievance like a badge. They'll tell you nobody fights harder for less, and that the program that should never be respected keeps refusing to go quietly.
What this game touches
The 2025 collapse. South Carolina opened 2025 ranked No. 13 with quarterback LaNorris Sellers a Heisman contender and finished 4-8 (1-7 SEC). Sellers regressed and was sacked a career-high 43 times; Shane Beamer fired his offensive coordinator mid-season and enters 2026 squarely on the hot seat. The fanbase's oldest fear — that the ceiling is real — got loud again.
Best players
Texas A&M
- Ray Coney (LB) · 41 tackles
- Noah Mikhail (LB) · 36 tackles
- Dalton Brooks (S) · 35 tackles
South Carolina
- Justin Okoronkwo (LB) · 62 tackles
- Fred Johnson (LB) · 59 tackles
- Lanorris Sellers (QB) · 1,849 passing yards — Heisman odds: 13th (+4400)
What to watch
Player to watch: Lanorris Sellers (QB) — South Carolina’s leading passer (1,849 passing yards) takes on Texas A&M’s pass defense (77th percentile allowed).
The betting line, and the fans
Texas A&M fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (47th percentile among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
- Model · 45%
- Line · 71%
- South Carolina fans · 44th
- Texas A&M fans · 47th
South Carolina favored by 7 · Total 51.5
South Carolina by 7: where a favorite like this usually runs
Half of games8 in 10 games
South Carolina’s chance through the game, if this goes like the 427 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
Weather at kickoff
Typical at Williams-Brice Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 95, noon and 3:30 pm Saturdays 87
Texas A&M at South Carolina · Saturday, Nov. 7 · 3 pm ET · Williams-Brice Stadium.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
If it kicked off at
Typical at Williams-Brice Stadium: noon Saturdays score 87, 3:30 pm 87, 7:30 pm 95.
- noon: 87, Mixed
- 3:30 pm: 87, Mixed
- 7:30 pm: 95, Comfortable
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Typical means the average of regular-season Saturdays at this stadium, 2018 to 2025. It is not a forecast for this game.
Home field
South Carolina is worth +4.2 points (±4.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 51st percentile.
53% at home, 35% on the road against FBS opponents (27-24 home, 14-26 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.3 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 924 miles to get here.
Season profile
Week by week
South Carolina
- Wk 4Lat Alabama18-49
- Wk 5Lvs Kentucky34-35
- Wk 6Wat Florida38-19
- Wk 8Wvs Tennessee27-24
- Wk 9Wat Oklahoma42-25
Texas A&M
- Wk 4Lat LSU6-35
- Wk 5Wvs Arkansas34-7
- Wk 6Lat Missouri6-27
- Wk 7Wvs The Citadel41-0
- Wk 8Lat Alabama20-31
Power rating by week
South Carolina is rated 0.2 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The market
The spread moved 0.5 points toward South Carolina.
Spread: −6.5 → −7
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.
- South Carolina10th3-3
- Texas A&M15th1-4
Last meeting in our History pages
- South Carolina 44, Texas A&M 20Nov 2, 2024