No. 8 Alabama routs South Carolina 49-18

South Carolina2-218
No. 8 Alabama4-049Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Ala. · Crowd 100,077ESPN

No. 8 Alabama routed South Carolina 49-18.

We had Alabama favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

Murderball is back on the table, boys!

Q2 2:20 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26

How it swung

The turning point: Russell 75-yd TD pass to Brooks, Alabama goes ahead 7-0 (Q1, 5:53). Alabama went from 78% to 93% to win. Fans right then: “That was a 4th and inches play not a 4th and 2 play” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Alabama a 72% chance, and the closing betting line (Alabama was a 12.5-point favorite) put it at 84%.

Pick-sixAlabama · Q2 2:20
FinalAlabama 49-18 South CarolinaAlabama wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
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The play that swung it

  1. 1Q1 5:53Russell 75-yd TD pass to Brooks, Alabama goes ahead 7-0Alabama 78% → 93% (+15)

The play that swung it

  1. 1Q1 5:53Russell 75-yd TD pass to Brooks, Alabama goes ahead 7-0South Carolina 22% → 7% (−15)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 6:03South Carolina fans rip Shane Beamer for calling a failed sneak on fourth downIf I see Beamer clapping after a terrible play I’m going to lose itr/CFB game threadThat was a 4th and inches play not a 4th and 2 playr/CFB game thread
  2. Q1 0:00Alabama fans praise Keelon Russell's pocket presence and Ryan Coleman-Williams' gloves after the touchdownRussell looks so good for his age.r/CFB game threadKeelon Russel is so good (x4)r/CFB game thread
  3. Q2 7:22Russell throws deep touchdown to Coleman-Williams as South Carolina fans rage at defenseHow do you keep allowing Coleman-Williams to get behind the defense completely alone? He's the 1 wr that should have eyes and a person near him at all time, make someone else beat…r/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 2:20Alabama fans celebrate murderball as Sellers throws pick-six to MorganQuoted at the top of the page.welcome back joyless murderball, i've missed you dearlyr/CFB game thread
  5. Q3 11:29A player hurdled a defender.like a gazeller/CFB game thread
Alabama’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Alabama -12.5), at 78% for Alabama (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Alabama or South Carolina flair (1,525 and 1,348); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Alabama’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 5:53Russell 75-yd TD pass to BrooksAlabama goes ahead 7-0Q1, 5:53 · Alabama 7, South Carolina 0▲15%Alabama’s chance to win, 78% to 93%▲15%Alabama’s chance to win, 78% to 93%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 0:00Russell 32-yd TD pass to Coleman-WilliamsAlabama leads 14-0Q1, 0:00 · Alabama 14, South Carolina 0▲4%Alabama’s chance to win, 93% to 97%▲4%Alabama’s chance to win, 93% to 97%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 7:22Russell 42-yd TD pass to Coleman-WilliamsAlabama leads 21-3Q2, 7:22 · Alabama 21, South Carolina 3▲2%Alabama’s chance to win, 96% to 98%▲2%Alabama’s chance to win, 96% to 98%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 2:33Russell 3-yd TD pass to FordAlabama leads 28-3Q2, 2:33 · Alabama 28, South Carolina 3▲2%Alabama’s chance to win, 98% to 100%▲2%Alabama’s chance to win, 98% to 100%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 2:20Sellers intercepted by Morgan at the USC23 and returned for a TDAlabama leads 35-3Q2, 2:20 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 335-3score after the play35-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 0:35Sellers 41-yd TD pass to Harborcuts it to 35-10Q2, 0:35 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 1035-10score after the play35-10score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 7:16Sellers sacked for a 4-yd lossQ3, 7:16 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 1035-10score after the play35-10score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q4, 14:29Fuller 9-yd TD runcuts it to 35-18Q4, 14:29 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 1835-18score after the play35-18score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 11:23Russell sacked for a 9-yd lossQ4, 11:23 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 1835-18score after the play35-18score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 7:40Hill 1-yd TD runAlabama leads 42-18Q4, 7:40 · Alabama 42, South Carolina 18▼2%Alabama’s chance to win, 100% to 98%▼2%Alabama’s chance to win, 100% to 98%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  11. Q4, 5:16Sellers 21-yd pass to ClarkfumbledQ4, 5:16 · Alabama 42, South Carolina 1842-18score after the play42-18score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Alabama scored on 6 of its 12 drives; South Carolina on 3 of its 13.

Alabama’s drives are teal, South Carolina’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1South Carolina: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 27Missed FGAlabama: Punt, from 73 yards out to 66PuntSouth Carolina: Turned over on downs, from 84 yards out to 25DownsAlabama: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownSouth Carolina: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntAlabama: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2South Carolina: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 16Field goalAlabama: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownSouth Carolina: Punt, from 75 yards out to 62PuntAlabama: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0TouchdownSouth Carolina: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 80 yards out to 80Interception TDSouth Carolina: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownAlabama: Punt, from 64 yards out to 56PuntSouth Carolina: End of half, from 91 yards out to 85End of halfQ3Alabama: Punt, from 75 yards out to 57PuntSouth Carolina: Punt, from 80 yards out to 65PuntAlabama: Punt, from 69 yards out to 53PuntSouth Carolina: Punt, from 84 yards out to 86PuntAlabama: Punt, from 73 yards out to 67PuntSouth Carolina: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Alabama: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownSouth Carolina: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 43FumbleAlabama: Touchdown, from 49 yards out to 0TouchdownSouth Carolina: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 51DownsAlabama: End of game, from 49 yards out to 51End of game
“Man Keelon has a freak arm”
An Alabama fan

When fans got loud

Busy

The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was busy.

FirstSecondThirdFourthAlabama fansSouth Carolina fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Alabama fans

hit“Oh man I just saw the hit on Dante Moore. The kid that laid that hit shouldn’t play another down this season”

metz“Takeaways: South Carolina should revolt. Russell is a confident team leader for the Tide. Metz is watching tape, and ready to breakout as a star.”

South Carolina fans

beamer“Yes, Beamer, please keep clapping it up at our massively undisciplined team.”

coach“That's Beamer whole problem he's a great recruiter but doesn't actually know how to coach”

fire“Alright boys I had turned it off but I'll fire it back up and take my licks”

secondary“Doesn’t matter. They will probably score a TD before half with how bad our secondary has been”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, ball, back, every.

What it cost

Alabama’s chance to make the playoff rose from 68% to 73%.

Make the playoff

South Carolina · lost12% → ▼9%12%▼ 9%
Alabama · won68% → ▲73%68%▲ 73%

Win the conference

South Carolina · lost1% → ▼0%
Alabama · won15% → ▲18%15%▲ 18%

Win the title

South Carolina · lost1% → ▼0%
Alabama · won9% → 9%9%

Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Alabama 49, South Carolina 18

Alabama covered −12.5 by 18.5. The total, 67, went over 53.5.

South CarolinaAlabamaTotal yardsSouth Carolina 419Alabama 489419489Passing yardsSouth Carolina 203Alabama 365203365Rushing yardsSouth Carolina 216Alabama 124216124First downsSouth Carolina 22Alabama 202220TurnoversSouth Carolina 2Alabama 020Time of possessionSouth Carolina 29:40Alabama 30:2029:4030:20
Team totalsSouth CarolinaAlabama
Total yards419489
Passing20 of 33, 203 yds21 of 27, 365 yds
Rushing40 for 216 yds30 for 124 yds
First downs2220
Third down3 of 145 of 10
Fourth down3 of 50 of 0
Turnovers20
Penalties7 for 65 yds4 for 36 yds
Time of possession29:4030:20

South Carolina leaders

  • Passing Lanorris Sellers 18 of 30, 185 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Matthew Fuller 19 for 112 yds, 1 TD; Lanorris Sellers 13 for 72 yds
  • Receiving Nyck Harbor 3 for 42 yds, 1 TD; Mazeo Bennett 2 for 28 yds

Alabama leaders

  • Passing Keelon Russell 21 of 27, 365 yds, 4 TD
  • Rushing EJ Crowell 6 for 50 yds; Keelon Russell 8 for 35 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Ryan Williams 5 for 98 yds, 2 TD; Lotzeir Brooks 2 for 78 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

84° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the north, gusts to 9

September game-day temperatures at Bryant-Denny Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Alabama favoredSouth Carolina favored100%Win chanceAlabamaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Alabama favoredSouth Carolina favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:49 left6:11 p.m.
South Carolina 0, Alabama 0 · Alabama 78% to win
no rain · wind 6 mph from the north · 83°
Fuller 56-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Tuscaloosa Muni airport, 3.8 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

South Carolina · 2-1

Rated 16th in our preseason ratings, 22nd now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last three games

Alabama · 3-0

Rated 21st in our preseason ratings, 16th now.

Three straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

Week by week

Alabama

Wk 1: W 48-10 vs East Carolina▲38East CarolinaWk 2: W 45-17 at Kentucky▲28KentuckyWk 3: W 50-36 vs Florida State▲14Florida State
  • Wk 1Wvs East Carolina48-10
  • Wk 2Wat Kentucky45-17
  • Wk 3Wvs Florida State50-36

South Carolina

Wk 1: W 57-0 vs Kent State▲57Kent StateWk 2: W 45-9 vs Towson▲36TowsonWk 3: L 34-41 vs Mississippi State▼7Mississippi St.
  • Wk 1Wvs Kent State57-0
  • Wk 2Wvs Towson45-9
  • Wk 3Lvs Mississippi State34-41

Power rating by week

Alabama is rated 1.1 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

986Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3AlabamaSouth Carolina

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Alabama’s passing EPA against South Carolina, 64 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Alabama’s passing EPA against South Carolina’s defense

    64 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Alabama offense, 76th percentile · South Carolina defense, 12th

  2. Alabama’s EPA/play against South Carolina’s defense

    54 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Alabama offense, 80th percentile · South Carolina defense, 26th

  3. Alabama’s explosive plays against South Carolina’s defense

    49 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Alabama offense, 70th percentile · South Carolina defense, 21st

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

South CarolinaAlabama
EPA/play, offense
South Carolina · 74Alabama · 80
EPA/play, defense
South Carolina · 26Alabama · 86
Success rate, offense
South Carolina · 76Alabama · 78
Success rate, defense
South Carolina · 53Alabama · 78
Explosive-play rate, offense
South Carolina · 44Alabama · 70
Explosive-play rate, defense
South Carolina · 21Alabama · 24
Rush EPA, offense
South Carolina · 87Alabama · 71
Rush EPA, defense
South Carolina · 75Alabama · 96
Pass EPA, offense
South Carolina · 44Alabama · 76
Pass EPA, defense
South Carolina · 12Alabama · 52

The series

Alabama leads the series 15-3

18 meetings since 1937 · Alabama has won the last 3

Alabama wonSouth Carolina won1937: Alabama by 201942: Alabama by 291945: Alabama by 551946: Alabama by 81965: Alabama by 211966: Alabama by 241967: Alabama by 171992: Alabama by 411993: Alabama by 112000: Alabama by 102001: South Carolina by 12004: South Carolina by 172005: Alabama by 232009: Alabama by 142010: South Carolina by 142019: Alabama by 242024: Alabama by 22025: Alabama by 719372025
  • 2025Alabama 29-22Alabama won 29-22 at South Carolina. Chance to win started at 77%, low 19%, high better than 99%.
  • 2024Alabama 27-25Alabama won 27-25 vs South Carolina. Chance to win started at 90%, low 49%, high better than 99%.
  • 2019Alabama 47-23Alabama won 47-23 at South Carolina. Chance to win started at 93%, low 92%, high better than 99%.
  • 2010South Carolina 35-21
  • 2009Alabama 20-6

Each line is Alabama’s chance to win through that meeting. Alabama is 2-0 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Alabama fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (40th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

  • Model · 72%
  • Line · 84%
  • Alabama fans · 40th
  • South Carolina fans · 6th

Alabama favored by 12.5 · Total 53.5

How games like this usually go

Alabama by 12.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Alabama.

opened −11.5now −12.5

The total rose 7 points.

opened 46.5now 53.5

Spread: −11.5 → −12.5 · Total: 46.5 → 53.5

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 78° at kickoff.

South Carolina at Alabama · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa

  • 78°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 98weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Bryant-Denny Stadium that day, a 7 pm or 8 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 98 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 79, Mixed
  • 2:30 pm: 72, Rough
  • 3:15 pm: 77, Mixed
  • 5 pm: 91, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 98, Comfortable (this game)
  • 7 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 8 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Alabama is worth +6.1 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 84th percentile.

92% at home, 78% on the road against FBS opponents (47-4 home, 32-9 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 380 miles to get here.

The story going in

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Full SEC standings