CFB Zeitgeist

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VERDICT BEGINS · 2026

SEC

The Standard

The 2026 SEC season is underway — Georgia holds the early power lead, but the picture is still open.

SEC carries real selection-room weight with 9 teams inside the top 25 and Georgia driving a legitimate national ceiling.

#1overall
#1in FBS
+22.8RR50
+27.4upper strength
16teams
9top-25 teams
Power snapshot Projected 2026 standing

The Standard

The SEC has placed five or more teams in the CFP field every year since the bracket expanded to 12 — but in 2025, Indiana (Big Ten) ended the conference's title run. The SEC still dominates the bracket depth chart. It just doesn't own the trophy anymore.

9 top-25 teams.

The depth argument for this conference rests on how many credible opponents are clustered behind the leader. A wide talent spread separates the haves from the have-nots.

Where things stand right now.

The 2026 SEC season is underway — Georgia holds the early power lead, but the picture is still open.

Tools Matchup Simulator Compare Teams Playoff Forecast Style map Head to head Power map

Georgia Is Built to Win It Back

Georgia won back-to-back CFP titles in 2022-23 and still holds the SEC's highest power rating entering 2026. They didn't lose the conference because of talent — they lost the bracket because the schedule caught up with them. Georgia's 2026 schedule includes the games that could define whether this program is a dynasty or a window that's closing.

Why it matters →

Vanderbilt's Rise Has Changed What's Possible

Vanderbilt went 10-3 in 2025 with a recruiting class ranked #76 nationally — the biggest coaching premium in the conference. Clark Lea's program has gone from conference doormat to legitimate nine-win contender in three seasons. What they do against Georgia and Alabama in 2026 will tell us whether it's a trend or a year.

Why it matters →

Can Alabama Find Its Ceiling Again?

Alabama finished 2025 with an 11-4 record and an SP+ rank (#31) that doesn't match a recruiting class ranked #3 nationally. The gap between raw talent and on-field production is the defining question for the program in the post-Saban era. If the coaching catches up to the talent in 2026, the SEC reclaims the conversation.

Why it matters →

Active arcs our read

All arcs →
Fan pulse Last 30 days · 33,207 mentions
17% positive 46% neutral 37% negative
LSU
4,793
↓ negative
Texas
4,642
↓ negative
Georgia
4,349
↓ negative
Florida
3,873
↓ negative
Alabama
2,714
↓ negative
Tennessee
2,367
↓ negative
Fan confidence — FBS percentile

Where each SEC program stands nationally in fan sentiment (100th = most positive in FBS, 0 = least). Conference median: 37th percentile.

Kentucky
Leaning-6
Texas
Leaning
Florida
Leaning+6
Georgia
Mixed+2
Auburn
Mixed
Tennessee
Mixed+2
Vanderbilt
Mixed
Arkansas
Mixed-4
Texas A&M
Souring-8
Oklahoma
Souring-4
Ole Miss
Souring+3
Alabama
Souring-10
Missouri
Souring-15
LSU
Souring-8

Most volatile: Florida

Fan confidence has swung 51 percentile points in the last 8 weeks — currently at the 66th percentile nationally.

Rivalry face-offs

The coaching premium
Recruiting class rank vs. SP+ performance — where coaches add or subtract value
Above line = coaching premium
Below line = underperforming
Gap = recruiting rank minus SP+ rank

Positive gap means the coaching staff won more than the recruiting class predicted. Data: SEC teams, 16 programs.

Coaching grades
Coaching premium ↑
Ole Miss
+9
Texas A&M
+4
Georgia
+3
Texas
+3
Underperforming ↓
Arkansas
-82
Mississippi
-75
Kentucky
-37
Auburn
-29
Tennessee
-21

Standings

2026 season, in progress — sorted by power rating. Stature tag = interim Zeitgeist calibration (medium confidence).

#TeamRecordRR50Resume
1 GeorgiaBlue Blood#3 2-0 +32.9 +94.5
2 TexasPower Program I#9 2-0 +31.7 +100.0
3 Texas A&MPower Program II#17 2-0 +30.2 +97.2
4 Ole MissPower Program I#14 2-0 +26.1 +95.5
5 South CarolinaPower Program III#31 2-0 +25.9 +71.6
6 OklahomaPower Program I#8 1-1 +25.9 +50.9
7 AlabamaBlue Blood#1 2-0 +25.3 +96.4
8 FloridaPower Program II#16 2-0 +25.0 +74.4
9 LSUBlue Blood#10 2-0 +24.5 +99.6
10 TennesseePower Program II#19 2-0 +23.9 +95.4
11 MissouriPower Program III#28 2-0 +22.3 +95.7
12 VanderbiltRegional Program I#76 2-0 +21.7 +97.5
13 AuburnPower Program II#22 2-0 +19.1 +99.7
14 KentuckyNational Program II#53 1-1 +15.9 +66.2
15 Mississippi StateNational Program II#56 2-0 +15.3 +99.3
16 ArkansasNational Program II#52 1-1 +13.0 +66.0

Projected Standings · SEC · 2026

Win Projection

Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.

# Team W–L PWR AVG ≥9≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Georgia7–2+9.36.552453799399
2Texas6–3+8.06.131540688897
3Texas A&M6–3+6.65.82103159829599
Challengers
4South Carolina5–4+2.25.141639668797
5Ole Miss5–4+2.54.93133462849699
6Alabama5–4+1.64.93133360829599
7Oklahoma5–4+2.24.72112956809499
8Florida5–4+1.44.5292651779298
The Field
9LSU5–4+0.94.93133461839599
10Tennessee5–4+0.24.72112956809499
11Vanderbilt4–5-1.94.4172348749198
12Missouri4–5-1.44.2151842698998
13Auburn4–5-4.53.72102854809599
Rebuilding
14Mississippi State3–6-8.32.721028558297
15Kentucky2–7-7.82.72926538096
16Arkansas2–7-10.72.21414376892

How they play

Six advanced-stat dimensions per team, ranked against all 134 FBS programs, 2026 season. Every column reads higher-is-better. Click a column to sort.

ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate
Team ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate Identity
Georgia+0.6960.2%+1.46+0.1160.048.3%Efficient offense
Texas+0.3149.4%+1.30-0.1574.048.0%Balanced
Texas A&M+0.2347.8%+1.05+0.1972.543.5%Lockdown defense
Ole Miss+0.3455.4%+1.18-0.1968.052.2%Efficient offense
South Carolina+0.4458.7%+1.23+0.0769.542.4%Efficient offense
Oklahoma+0.2045.5%+1.10+0.1160.043.3%Lockdown defense
Alabama+0.2350.1%+1.11+0.1972.038.2%Lockdown defense
Florida+0.5554.2%+1.37+0.1664.545.0%Lockdown defense
LSU+0.2449.8%+1.29+0.2789.543.0%High-tempo
Tennessee+0.4050.8%+1.32+0.0670.034.3%Balanced
Missouri+0.2846.7%+1.36-0.0874.542.3%Balanced
Vanderbilt+0.1342.6%+1.12+0.0366.042.4%Balanced
Auburn+0.1645.2%+1.18+0.0580.042.5%High-tempo
Kentucky+0.1946.8%+1.08-0.1362.547.2%No explosive plays
Mississippi State+0.5458.1%+1.28+0.0773.543.5%Efficient offense
Arkansas+0.1342.0%+1.26-0.1380.051.9%High-tempo

Identity is the single dimension where a team is most above or below the FBS average (pace, defense, big plays, or converting drives) — "Balanced" means nothing stands out either way. CFBD 2026 advanced stats, excludes garbage time.

Top players

SEC's highest CFB Index Scores, 2025 season.

#PlayerTeamNational
1William EcholesIDLOle Miss#2 of 330
2Colin SimmonsLBTexas#3 of 583
3Diego PaviaQBVanderbilt#1 of 146
4Xavier AtkinsLBAuburn#5 of 583
5Zxavian HarrisIDLOle Miss#4 of 330
6Ahmad HardyRBMissouri#2 of 326
7Princewill UmanmielenEDGEOle Miss#8 of 420
8Damon Wilson Jr.EDGEMissouri#11 of 420
9Trinidad ChamblissQBOle Miss#2 of 146
10Taylor WeinEDGEOklahoma#13 of 420

Where SEC stands nationally

Conference strength by RR50 (round-robin adjusted power).

1 SEC SEC
+22.8
2 B10 Big Ten
+21.7
3 IND FBS Independents
+20.4
4 P12 Pac-12
+20.2
5 B12 Big 12
+19.5
6 ACC ACC
+19.2
7 AAC American Athletic
+17.3
8 SB Sun Belt
+17.0
9 CUSA Conference USA
+16.6
10 MAC Mid-American
+16.2