Arizona State at Texas A&M
Fan take
Arizona State fans
Texas A&M fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Arizona State · 8-5
Picked #56 in the preseason · now #61 — about right.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 39–42 @ Duke #57 of 668
lost by 3 as a 4-point underdog
L 7–23 vs ArizonaTop 25 #32 of 668
lost by 16 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 42–17 @ Colorado #133 of 668
won by 25 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 25–23 vs West Virginia #97 of 668
won by 2 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 24–19 @ Iowa StateTop 25 #45 of 668
won by 5 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 16–24 vs HoustonTop 25 #48 of 668
lost by 8 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 26–22 vs Texas TechTop 25 #6 of 668
won by 4 as a 8.5-point underdog
L 10–42 @ UtahTop 25 #21 of 668
lost by 32 as a 8.5-point underdog
W 27–24 vs TCUTop 25 #30 of 668
won by 3 as a 3-point favorite
W 27–24 @ Baylor #24 of 668
won by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 34–15 vs Texas State #55 of 668
won by 19 as a 18.5-point favorite
L 20–24 @ Mississippi State #89 of 668
lost by 4 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 38–19 vs Northern Arizona #110 of 668
won by 19 as a 30.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Texas A&M · 11-2
Picked #6 in the preseason · now #7 — about right.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 3–10 vs MiamiTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 7 as a 3-point favorite
L 17–27 @ TexasTop 25 #26 of 668
lost by 10 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 48–0 vs Samford #252 of 668
won by 48 as a 53.5-point favorite
W 31–30 vs South CarolinaTop 25 #33 of 668
won by 1 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 38–17 @ MissouriTop 25 #25 of 668
won by 21 as a 7-point favorite
W 49–25 @ LSUTop 25 #23 of 668
won by 24 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 45–42 @ Arkansas #52 of 668
won by 3 as a 8.5-point favorite
W 34–17 vs FloridaTop 25 #20 of 668
won by 17 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 31–9 vs Mississippi State #65 of 668
won by 22 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 16–10 vs AuburnTop 25 #34 of 668
won by 6 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 41–40 @ Notre DameTop 25 #2 of 668
won by 1 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 44–22 vs Utah State #132 of 668
won by 22 as a 34.5-point favorite
W 42–24 vs UTSA #11 of 668
won by 18 as a 24-point favorite
What’s at stake
Arizona State
- Arizona State sits at 4% to make the CFP field — 5% with a win here, 3% with a loss.
- Arizona State is still shaking off a 28-point loss.
Texas A&M
- Texas A&M sits at 79% to make the CFP field — 81% with a win here, 68% with a loss.
- Texas A&M is coming off a 28-point win.
The series
Texas A&M leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 2015 · Texas A&M has won the last 2
- 2026Texas A&M 48–20
- 2015 · neutral siteTexas A&M 38–17
Best players
Arizona State
- Reed Harris (WR) · 326 receiving yards
- Cutter Boley (QB) · 641 passing yards — Heisman odds: 50th (+15000)
- Adrian Wilson (S) · 11 tackles
Texas A&M
- Noah Mikhail (LB) · 13 tackles
- Ray Coney (LB) · 12 tackles
- Marcel Reed (QB) · 396 passing yards — Heisman odds: 15th (+3000)
The line, and the room
Arizona State fans are feeling better about their season (56th percentile) than Texas A&M fans are (17th) — even with Texas A&M favored here.
Home −15.5 · O/U 51.5
Conditions
89°F · 9 mph wind · Clear
Texas A&M is worth +8.1 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 97th percentile.
78% at home, 39% on the road against FBS opponents (39–11 home, 13–20 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.2 at home vs. away over 70 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 933 miles to get here.
Arizona State 20 – Texas A&M 48
Called it — picked Texas A&M to win.
Recent games
Texas A&M
- Wk 1Wvs Missouri State50-0
Arizona State
- Wk 1Wvs Morgan State70-7
Trajectory
Texas A&M handled Arizona State 48-20, matching the pregame favorite.