American Athletic · Jeff Traylor, year 7 (55-26) · Alamodome · 36,582 · 33,403 avg in 2026
LastW 31–26 at Texas State · Sat Sep 12 · Cam Upshaw Jr. 0.5 TFL, 1 INT, 5 tackles
Nextat Texas · Sat Sep 19 · 8 pm ET · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Texas by 30 · series 0-2, lost the last 2 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #18 | #138 | -28.5✓ | UT Rio Grande Valley | W 45–16 139 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #17 | #30 | +1.5✓ | @Texas State | W 31–26 154 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 20 | #14 | #4 | +30 | @Texas | |||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #14 | #80 | Colorado State | ||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | @Rice | ||||||
| 6 | Oct 8 | South Florida | ||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | Navy | ||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | @Tulane | ||||||
| 10 | Nov 6 | @Florida Atlantic | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | North Texas | ||||||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @UAB | ||||||
| 13 | Nov 28 | Tulsa |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | @Texas State | W 31–26 | 398 | 0 | 28:20 | +0.238 | 45.9% | 109.2% | |
| Sep 5 | UT Rio Grande Valley | W 45–16 | 525 | 0 | 25:11 | +0.514 | 63.3% | 110.0% | |
| Season average (2 games) | 462 | 0.0 | +0.376 | 54.6% | 109.6% | ||||
UTSA is the program San Antonio willed into existence in a decade — no football before 2011, a 12-2 ranked season by 2021, and a third straight bowl win to prove the city's team is permanent.
The fanbase's chip isn't aimed at a rival or the media — it's the founding insult, the years outsiders assumed San Antonio's seventh-largest-city market would never field a real team. Every bowl win i…
The season in chapters
What fans said
W 45–16 vs UT Rio Grande Valley
Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown
What it is like to watch them2025 · 7-6 · last season
✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season
Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025
Warming. 7-3 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Next Sep 20
vs Texas · away
~ our read on style
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
UTSA enters 2026 — the 7-6 record and top-quintile returning production contrast with the 62nd SP+ rank, highlighting the tension between momentum and the challenge of sustaining it under Jeff Traylor.
our readbackground
David Amador II produces at a notably higher rate when his team is an underdog than when favored, and his per-target value rises too, not just raw catches.
our readdeveloping
Devin Mccuin is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
our readdeveloping
Jeff Traylor begins his 7th season at UTSA with a 7-6 record, but coordinator changes and an uneasy fanbase signal tension ahead as the program seeks to build on its 2021 conference title.
our readdeveloping
David Amador II is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Devin Mccuin is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Houston Thomas is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Jamel Hardy is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
our readbackground
Will Henderson III: a closer signal screened this season.
our readbackground
Will Henderson III: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
our readbackground
UTSA enters 2025 at No. 62 in SP+ — the 7-6 record and top-quintile returning production under Jeff Traylor challenge the gap between SP+ and on-field reality.
our readbackground
Outcome band · UTSA · 2026
Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.
UTSA enters 2026 rated No. 62 in 2025 SP+ (+3.7). It is top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 334 of 1768 board posts (19%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (221 posts): 22% positive · 44% neutral · 34% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
UTSA: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 334 of 1768 board posts (19%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (221 posts): 22% positive · 44% neutral · 34% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
More in this tab
UTSA is the American Athletic program whose 2011 program founding + 2021 12-2 Jeff Traylor Conference USA championship + Alamodome NFL-grade venue define what most-recent-FBS-newcomer-ascent looks like.
QB Mark Wiepert transfers from Oregon to UTSA
Lugo's gone and the portal board had zero QB additions — Wiepert doesn't have to be a star, he just has to be the guy Traylor can hand a rising SP+ offense to while everyone else is still figuring out the AAC.
UTSA releases depth chart for opener
Depth chart drops with the DL still under a microscope — a #79 class doesn't fix a pressure problem overnight, and Traylor's opener against UTRGV is the first real evidence of whether the pieces are sorted.
Top 3 commits
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
TX leads the 2026 class with 13 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
73 signees across 17 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.
Miles from home · 2026 roster
The median UTSA player grew up 231 miles from campus.
Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.
Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Alamodome. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 155 of 163 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
47th percentile among FBS programs
Converting 31% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.
4 interceptions of 13 disrupted passes (9 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Losing the penalty battle: 22 penalties committed vs. 22 drawn on opponents, a 35-yard deficit.
230 penalty yards committed vs. 195 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Outcome band · UTSA · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026