cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jamel Hardy /UTSA

Jamel Hardy

WR · UTSA · So · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

132 REC YDS · 13 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · UTSA

Returning around him

  • 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107

WR · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Jamel Hardy

  • 2
  • #13
  • 6-2 | 195 lb
  • Dallas, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

15

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 24th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1894

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1162024
1322025

+14%

Modest growth (14%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1050 national
CFB
College
UTSA
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey13
Measurements6-2 | 195 lb
HometownDallas, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1050 recruit
Composite rating 0.8626 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Lincoln Dallas, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8626 No. 1050 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1894Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2747Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8626

#1050 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jamel Hardy

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jamel Hardy

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
132Rec yards
13Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
16.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
214.5Rec yards
21Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 132): needs 113.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 132): needs 173.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 9.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 13.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jamel Hardy's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UTSA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1894 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 13 1 rec TD | #510/1110 (54th pct)
Receiving yards 132 10.2 per catch | #564/1107 (49th pct)
Scrimmage yards 132 Total offensive yardage | #564/1107 (49th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
13 54th
YDS
132 49th
YPR
10.2 33rd
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice22010.0015
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas166.006
Wk 10W 48-26vs Tulane177.007
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida4256.3016
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte188.008
Wk 13W 58-24vs East Carolina155.005
Wk 14L 24-27vs Army177.017
BowlW 57-20vs Florida International25427.0039
Total131329.5139
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA1313210.21--
2024UTSA1011611.62--
Career2 loaded seasons2324810.83--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.1% 8.7% pass-game share | #556/1137 (51st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 13 #510/1110 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 132 #564/1107 49th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.2 #737/1106 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.7% #556/1137 51st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #472/1105 57th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.0% #303/1137 73rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.0% #463/1137 59th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.7% #665/1137 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.1% #596/1137 48th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.9% #696/1137 39th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.7% #925/1137 19th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.418.611.20.2
Road3g2.013.06.80.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g1.418.811.40.0
Losses3g2.012.76.40.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g2.037.018.50.0
Weeks 8+6g1.59.76.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

15Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (4th).

Long catch#393 / 558 · 29th pct
39rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Yards / catch#457 / 558 · 18th pct
10.2rece
Receptions#510 / 558 · 7th pct
13rece
Rec yards#533 / 558 · 4th pct
132rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jamel HardyUTSAMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 52% simAaron TurnerRice· 49% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 49% sim
Long catch
29
Hardy
16
III
65
Turner
56
Gibson
Rec TDs
24
Hardy
24
III
68
Turner
7
Gibson
Yards / catch
18
Hardy
9
III
1
Turner
15
Gibson
Receptions
7
Hardy
92
III
92
Turner
92
Gibson
Rec yards
4
Hardy
70
III
48
Turner
74
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Antonio Harmon’s 2023 season.

Antonio Harmon

81%match

Mississippi State · 2023

#2

Gary Givens III

Northern Illinois · 2025

79%
#3

Chance Luper

Missouri · 2021

79%
#4

Jadon Thompson

Louisville · 2023

78%
#5

Justius Lowe

Oregon · 2024

78%

Matches Antonio on

TD rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Antonio on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Javon Swinton's sophomore season at Indiana (2021).

Javon Swinton

79%match

Indiana · 2021

#2

Chance Luper

Missouri · 2021

78%
#3

Antonio Harmon

Mississippi State · 2023

78%
#4

Drelon Miller

Colorado · 2025

75%
#5

Sam Mbake

App State · 2025

74%

Matches Javon on

Weight
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Javon on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDallas, TX
Height6'2"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTSA WR2 #1894 #2747 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UTSA WR2 #3427 #3111 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic WR 2 No. 13 | 6-2 | 195 lb | Dallas, TX
2024 UTSA American Athletic WR 2 No. 13 | 6-2 | 195 lb | Dallas, TX
2023 UTSA American Athletic WR 2 No. 13 | 6-2 | 195 lb | Dallas, TX