cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Owen McCown /UTSA

Owen McCown

QB · UTSA · Jr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

2,990 PASS YDS · 30 PASS TD · 24 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTSA for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · UTSA

Returning around him

  • 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107

QB · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Owen McCown

  • 3
  • #13
  • 6-1 | 190 lb
  • Rusk, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#122

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -1aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 63rd percentile of QBs; the tape says 64th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception63rd pctl
Production — on-field64th pctl
n=8 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
6002022
4422023
3,4242024
2,9902025

+398%

Up 398% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#838 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey13
Measurements6-1 | 190 lb
HometownRusk, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 838 recruit
Composite rating 0.8670 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Rusk Rusk, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8670 No. 838 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UTSA 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 5, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 Colorado -> UTSA 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#122Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#233Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2990 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2990).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8670

#838 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Owen McCown

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 7 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 8 mentions · belief +0 · "submitted by /u/ExpressNews [link] [comments]"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=8
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Owen McCown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

final
Through 13g
2,990Pass yards
30Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
230Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Final
2,990Pass yards
30Pass TDs
7INT

✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 30.

✓ Hit 30 passing TDs · finished with 30.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Owen McCown's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UTSA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #122 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 47.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,990 30 TD | 7 INT | #38/382 (90th pct)
Completion rate 67.5% 276/409 completions | #86/383 (78th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.3 Explosiveness through the air | #145/382 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficient

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
276 96th
ATT
409 95th
CMP%
67.5% 78th
Y/A
7.3 62nd

Passing Production

YDS
2,990 90th
TD
30 99th
INT
7 23rd

Rushing

CAR
45 67th
YDS
24 43rd
YPC
0.5 21st
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 24-42@ Texas A&M19/32121003.843.83 TD passes
Wk 2L 36-43vs Texas State23/43219205.147.7
Wk 3W 48-20vs Incarnate Word29/35238406.878.24 TD passes
Wk 4W 17-16@ Colorado State14/27173126.436.5
Wk 6L 21-27@ Temple25/37234226.340.8
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice15/212363011.287.83 TD passes
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas11/2084104.228.5
Wk 10W 48-26vs Tulane31/333704011.295.2Season-high 370 yds
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida16/23200118.734.6
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte24/37306218.340.4
Wk 13W 58-24vs East Carolina24/33248507.594.75 TD passes
Wk 14L 24-27vs Army27/40266216.743.0
BowlW 57-20vs Florida International18/282953010.554.0
Total276/40929903077.455.8
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Colorado1-11HC: Mike Sanford Jr. · Balanced, slow tempo
2023UTSA9-4HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning
2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA27640967.5%2,9907.3307149.7----
2024UTSA29446763.0%3,4247.32510137.9----
2023UTSA435874.1%4427.643150.6----
2022Colorado5710057.0%6006.022110.0----
Career4 loaded seasons6701,03464.8%7,4567.26122140.6----
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA45240.51--
2024UTSA863404.03--
2023UTSA15513.40--
2022Colorado27381.42--
Career4 loaded seasons1734532.66--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 24 1 rush TD | #235/408 (43rd pct)
Usage 47.7% 88.9% pass share | 5.3% rush share | #97/428 (78th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.32 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #62/200 (70th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,990 #38/382 90th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 30 #6/407 99th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 276 #17/383 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 67.5% #86/383 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.3 #145/382 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 24 #235/408 43rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.32 #62/200 70th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 372 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 47.7% #97/428 78th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 409 #20/407 95th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 7 #316/407 23rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 45 #136/408 67th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 29 #113/391 71st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 0.5 #321/407 21st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 88.9% #73/428 83rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 59.8% #110/428 75th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 54.2% #50/428 89th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 50.6% #142/428 67th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 42.3% #97/428 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 40.9% #101/428 77th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 5.3% #271/428 37th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g2673.38.40.1
Road6g1861.26.31.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins7g2673.18.80.4
Losses6g1871.35.80.7

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g2172.17.20.6
Weeks 8+6g2462.57.80.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

64Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass tds (96th). Strength: completion % (88th). Concern: fumbles lost (18th).

Pass TDs#6 / 183 · 96th pct
30pass
Completion %#22 / 183 · 88th pct
67.5%pass
Pass yards#38 / 183 · 80th pct
2990pass
Yards / att#76 / 183 · 57th pct
7.3pass
Interceptions#92 / 183 · 44th pct
7pass
Rush yards#134 / 183 · 27th pct
24rush
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Fumbles lost#132 / 174 · 18th pct
3fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

111/187 (59.4%) · 9 TD · 2 INT

Short

0–9 yds
64%of completions
71 comp5.2 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
25%of completions
28 comp13.7 yds avg1 TD

Deep

20+ yds
11%of completions
12 comp40.8 yds avg5 TD

Overall 59.4% completion on 187 attempts · 12 deep completions averaging 40.8 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.320
53th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.32Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Owen McCownUTSAMicah AlejadoHawai'i· 87% simDarian MensahDuke· 87% simTy SimpsonAlabama· 84% sim
Pass TDs
96
McCown
85
Alejado
99
Mensah
93
Simpson
Completion %
88
McCown
80
Alejado
83
Mensah
66
Simpson
Pass yards
80
McCown
84
Alejado
99
Mensah
94
Simpson
Yards / att
57
McCown
52
Alejado
75
Mensah
63
Simpson
Interceptions
44
McCown
22
Alejado
56
Mensah
67
Simpson
Rush yards
27
McCown
45
Alejado
11
Mensah
42
Simpson
Rush TDs
26
McCown
26
Alejado
26
Mensah
39
Simpson
Fumbles lost
18
McCown
38
Alejado
2
Mensah
0
Simpson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Surgeon

High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jake Haener’s 2021 season.

Jake Haener

62%match

Fresno State · 2021

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 4
#2

Chandler Rogers

North Texas · 2023

62%
#3

Devin Leary

NC State · 2021

NFL Rd 6
62%
#4

Drew Pyne

Notre Dame · 2022

60%
#5

Jayden de Laura

Washington State · 2021

59%

Matches Jake on

Completion %
Weight

Differs from Jake on

Yards / attempt (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Total pass EPA (college ability) (lower)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Broc Lowry’s path through Western Michigan.

Broc Lowry

91%match

Western Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
#2

JC French

Georgia Southern · 2025

90%
#3

Maverick McIvor

Western Kentucky · 2025

88%
#4

Taylor Powell

Eastern Michigan · 2022

86%
#5

Chase Garbers

California · 2021

84%

Matches Broc on

Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Kevin Jennings's senior season at SMU (2025).

Kevin Jennings

50%match

SMU · 2025

All-ACC
#2

Chevan Cordeiro

San José State · 2023

All-Mountain West
48%
#3

Noah Kim

Eastern Michigan · 2025

47%
#4

Miller Moss

USC · 2024

All-Big Ten
47%
#5

Frank Harris

UTSA · 2023

All-AAC
46%

Matches Kevin on

Height

Differs from Kevin on

INT rate (lower)
Yards / attempt (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2023
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRusk, TX
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTSA QB3 #122 #233 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UTSA QB3 #352 #354 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Colorado QB3 #1283 #1886 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic QB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Rusk, TX
2024 UTSA American Athletic QB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Rusk, TX
2023 UTSA American Athletic QB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Rusk, TX
2022 Colorado Pac-12 QB 3 No. 13 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Rusk, TX