cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kenny Minchey /Notre Dame

Kenny Minchey

QB · Notre Dame · So · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

196 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 84 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Notre Dame → Kentucky for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Kentucky

2025Notre Dame
2026Kentucky

QB · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Kenny Minchey

  • 2
  • #8
  • 6-2 | 204 lb
  • Hendersonville, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#405

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
12.02023
1962025

+1533%

Up 1533% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#170 national
CFB
College
Notre Dame
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey8
Measurements6-2 | 204 lb
HometownHendersonville, TN
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 170 recruit
Composite rating 0.9315 HighSchool
Signed with Notre Dame 2023
Origin Pope John Paul II Hendersonville, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9315 No. 170 recruit | HighSchool | Notre Dame

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Kentucky 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Notre Dame -> Kentucky 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#405Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#250Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NIL Valuation · On3

$831K

On3 ranking · Jun 2026

Whisper Rate

$2.00M

per-deal market estimate

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Notre Dame

Composite

0.9315

#170 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kenny Minchey

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

60

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 20 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 20 mentions · belief +20 · "Notre Dame opens preseason camp with a national championship appearance in the r"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "1: Byrum Brown/ Auburn 2: Sam Leavitt/ LSU 3: Keelon Russell/ Alabama 4: Kamario"National
  • Own fans · n=20
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kenny Minchey

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
196Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
39.2Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
509.6Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 196): needs 350.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 196): needs 475.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 4.4/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kenny Minchey's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Notre Dame, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #405 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 170 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 196 0 TD | 0 INT | #228/382 (41st pct)
Completion rate 76.9% 20/26 completions | #36/383 (91st pct)
Yards/attempt 7.5 Explosiveness through the air | #125/382 (68th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Highly efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Highly efficient

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
20 42nd
ATT
26 42nd
CMP%
76.9% 91st
Y/A
7.5 68th

Passing Production

YDS
196 41st
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
7 30th
YDS
84 63rd
YPC
12.0 98th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 4W 56-30vs Purdue7/858007.367.8Season-high 58 yds
Wk 5W 56-13@ Arkansas1/1370037.099.5
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy3/3350011.799.9
Wk 13W 70-7vs Syracuse4/618003.099.7
Wk 14W 49-20@ Stanford5/848006.095.2
Total20/261960013.092.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Notre Dame10-3HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame202676.9%1967.500140.2----
2023Notre Dame22100.0%126.000150.4----
Career2 loaded seasons222878.6%2087.400141.0----
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame78412.01--
2023Notre Dame----------
Career2 loaded seasons78412.01--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 84 1 rush TD | #151/408 (63rd pct)
Usage 9.9% 20.5% pass share | 3.3% rush share | #276/428 (36th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 196 #228/382 41st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 20 #222/383 42nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 76.9% #36/383 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.5 #125/382 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 84 #151/408 63rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 9.9% #276/428 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 26 #239/407 42nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 34 #93/391 76th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 12.0 #11/407 98th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 7 #286/408 30th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 20.5% #255/428 41st pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 18.0% #245/428 43rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 17.9% #248/428 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.1% #254/428 41st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 6.7% #304/428 29th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.2% #320/428 25th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 3.3% #323/428 25th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g37.00.07.30.0
Road2g42.50.021.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins5g39.20.013.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g47.50.022.10.0
Weeks 8+3g33.70.06.90.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

52Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: completion % (99th). Strength: interceptions (99th). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Completion %#2 / 183 · 99th pct
76.9%pass
Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Yards / att#63 / 183 · 63rd pct
7.5pass
Rush yards#113 / 183 · 39th pct
84rush
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
196pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kenny MincheyNotre DameCade KlubnikClemson· 58% simJalen KitnaUAB· 54% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 54% sim
Completion %
99
Minchey
73
Klubnik
79
Kitna
41
Vattiato
Interceptions
99
Minchey
56
Klubnik
10
Kitna
44
Vattiato
Fumbles lost
91
Minchey
66
Klubnik
91
Kitna
66
Vattiato
Yards / att
63
Minchey
63
Klubnik
57
Kitna
13
Vattiato
Rush yards
39
Minchey
42
Klubnik
8
Kitna
27
Vattiato
Rush TDs
26
Minchey
59
Klubnik
9
Kitna
39
Vattiato
Pass yards
0
Minchey
78
Klubnik
64
Kitna
57
Vattiato
Pass TDs
0
Minchey
64
Klubnik
55
Kitna
64
Vattiato

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Played his entire career under Marcus Freeman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHendersonville, TN
Height6'2"
Weight204 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Notre Dame QB2 #405 #250 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Notre Dame QB2 #282 #186 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents QB 2 No. 8 | 6-2 | 204 lb | Hendersonville, TN
2024 Notre Dame FBS Independents QB 2 No. 8 | 6-2 | 204 lb | Hendersonville, TN
2023 Notre Dame FBS Independents QB 2 No. 8 | 6-2 | 204 lb | Hendersonville, TN