CFB Zeitgeist Score
64
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 84th percentile.
Behren Morton
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
2,780 PASS YDS · 22 PASS TD · -113 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
New England2026 NFL rookie season
QB · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist Score
64
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 84th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#813
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025Modest growth (0%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9356 | No. 149 recruit | HighSchool | Texas Tech |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Texas Tech
Composite
0.9356
#149 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 7, Pick 18
#234 overall · New England
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
73
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
+0.400
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches
Why it matters
#17 of 57 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in combined passing + rushing weighted-EPA per play — +0.400 EPA on 325 touches.
Vs cohort
MODERATE · n=325 cohort 57
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,780): needs 220/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,780): needs 1,220/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 3/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Behren Morton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-volume passer | Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 16/20 | 201 | 4 | 0 | 10.1 | 92.3 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 62-14vs Kent State | 18/26 | 258 | 3 | 0 | 9.9 | 82.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 45-14vs Oregon State | 23/35 | 464 | 4 | 1 | 13.3 | 73.5 | Season-high 464 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 34-10@ Utah | 12/19 | 142 | 0 | 2 | 7.5 | 29.6 | |
| Wk 6 | W 35-11@ Houston | 28/40 | 345 | 1 | 0 | 8.6 | 76.6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 42-17vs Kansas | 7/12 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 | 74.6 | |
| Wk 10 | W 43-20@ Kansas State | 21/32 | 249 | 2 | 1 | 7.8 | 68.8 | |
| Wk 11 | W 29-7vs BYU | 17/32 | 219 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 | 57.0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 48-9vs UCF | 14/20 | 149 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 | 77.4 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-0@ West Virginia | 25/32 | 310 | 3 | 0 | 9.7 | 89.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 15 | W 34-7vs BYU | 20/33 | 215 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 | 73.4 | |
| Bowl | L 0-23vs Oregon | 18/32 | 137 | 0 | 2 | 4.3 | 18.0 | |
| Total | 219/333 | 2780 | 22 | 6 | 8.3 | 67.7 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas Tech | 219 | 333 | 65.8% | 2,780 | 8.3 | 22 | 6 | 154.1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Texas Tech | 182 | 294 | 61.9% | 1,754 | 6.0 | 15 | 8 | 123.4 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Texas Tech | 96 | 169 | 56.8% | 1,117 | 6.6 | 7 | 6 | 118.9 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Texas Tech | 1 | 3 | 33.3% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 498 | 799 | 62.3% | 5,651 | 7.1 | 44 | 20 | 134.9 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas Tech | 43 | -113 | -2.6 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Texas Tech | 46 | 3 | 0.1 | 4 | -- |
| 2022 | Texas Tech | 41 | 72 | 1.8 | 2 | -- |
| 2021 | Texas Tech | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 132 | -23 | -0.2 | 6 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,780 | #49/382 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 22 | #35/407 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 219 | #52/383 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 65.8% | #119/383 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.3 | #74/382 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -113 | #405/408 | 1st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.40 | #27/200 | 87th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 325 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 39.4% | #146/428 | 66th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 333 | #66/407 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 6 | #294/407 | 28th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 43 | #142/408 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #281/391 | 28th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -2.6 | #387/407 | 5th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 78.2% | #121/428 | 72nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 52.2% | #140/428 | 68th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 52.1% | #137/428 | 68th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 36.1% | #161/428 | 63rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 34.9% | #137/428 | 68th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 33.1% | #147/428 | 66th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 4.5% | #286/428 | 33rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 217 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 0.4 |
| Road4g | 262 | 1.5 | 8.4 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins11g | 240 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 0.4 |
| Losses1g | 137 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 234 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 228 | 1.8 | 7.7 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: yards / att (84th). Strength: pass tds (80th). Concern: rush yards (1st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 67.4% completion on 138 attempts · 23 deep completions averaging 33.1 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Elite: EPA / dropback.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jack Coan’s 2021 season.
Jack Coan
JT Daniels
Carter Bradley
Athan Kaliakmanis
Ben Bryant
Matches Jack on
Differs from Jack on
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Austin Reed’s path through Western Kentucky.
Austin Reed
Maverick McIvor
Kellen Mond
Drew Plitt
Jack Layne
Matches Austin on
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Altmyer's graduate season at Illinois (2025).
Luke Altmyer
Blake Shapen
Carson Beck
Braylon Braxton
Payton Thorne
Matches Luke on
Differs from Luke on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Joey McGuire
Pass share
47.6%
484 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
72.6
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
336 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Matt Wells → Joey McGuire. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Texas Tech | QB4 | #813 | #716 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Texas Tech | QB4 | #165 | #225 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Texas Tech | QB4 | #273 | #313 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | Texas Tech | QB4 | #1200 | #1078 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX |
| 2024 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX |
| 2023 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX |
| 2022 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX |
| 2021 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX |