cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Behren Morton /Texas Tech

Behren Morton

QB · Texas Tech · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

2,780 PASS YDS · 22 PASS TD · -113 RUSH YDS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by New England — Rd 7, Pick 18, #234 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

New England2026 NFL rookie season

#234Rd 7 · Pick 18
New England2026 NFL rookie season

QB · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12

Behren Morton

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-2 | 220 lb
  • Eastland, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#813

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -14aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 70th percentile of QBs; the tape says 84th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception70th pctl
Production — on-field84th pctl
n=13 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
0.02021
1,1172022
1,7542023
2,7802025

+0%

Modest growth (0%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#149 national
CFB
College
Texas Tech
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #234
New England &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-2 | 220 lb
HometownEastland, TX
Primary teamTexas Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 149 recruit
Composite rating 0.9356 HighSchool
Signed with Texas Tech 2021
Origin Eastland Eastland, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9356 No. 149 recruit | HighSchool | Texas Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#813Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#716Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2780 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2780).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas Tech

Composite

0.9356

#149 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 7, Pick 18

#234 overall · New England

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Behren Morton

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

73

Grounded Optimism

Sample 11 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 11 mentions · belief +46 · "A lot is happening in the Big 12! Bear Bachmeier continues the BYU Cougars' winn"Own fansNational: 4 mentions · belief -50 · "Cats win the toss and kickoff, and a few plays later Austin Romaine picks off Be"National
  • Own fans · n=11
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Behren Morton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)

+0.400

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches

National rank #17 of 57
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches 71st

Why it matters

#17 of 57 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in combined passing + rushing weighted-EPA per play — +0.400 EPA on 325 touches.

Vs cohort

This player +0.400 (71th)

MODERATE · n=325 cohort 57

  • Also strong
  • WEPA per dropback#20 / 58
  • Yards per attempt#15 / 72
  • Total weighted-EPA passing#28 / 58

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
2,780Pass yards
22Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
231.7Pass yards
2Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
3,012Pass yards
24Pass TDs
6INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,780): needs 220/game over remaining 1.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,780): needs 1,220/game over remaining 1.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 13/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Behren Morton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #813 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 39.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 149 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,780 22 TD | 6 INT | #49/382 (87th pct)
Completion rate 65.8% 219/333 completions | #119/383 (69th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.3 Explosiveness through the air | #74/382 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
219 87th
ATT
333 84th
CMP%
65.8% 69th
Y/A
8.3 81st

Passing Production

YDS
2,780 87th
TD
22 92nd
INT
6 28th

Rushing

CAR
43 65th
YDS
-113 1st
YPC
-2.6 5th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff16/202014010.192.34 TD passes
Wk 2W 62-14vs Kent State18/26258309.982.13 TD passes
Wk 3W 45-14vs Oregon State23/354644113.373.5Season-high 464 yds
Wk 4W 34-10@ Utah12/19142027.529.6
Wk 6W 35-11@ Houston28/40345108.676.6
Wk 7W 42-17vs Kansas7/1291107.674.6
Wk 10W 43-20@ Kansas State21/32249217.868.8
Wk 11W 29-7vs BYU17/32219106.857.0
Wk 12W 48-9vs UCF14/20149107.577.4
Wk 14W 49-0@ West Virginia25/32310309.789.03 TD passes
Wk 15W 34-7vs BYU20/33215206.573.4
BowlL 0-23vs Oregon18/32137024.318.0
Total219/33327802268.367.7
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Texas Tech6-6HC: Matt Wells · Balanced
2022Texas Tech8-5HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
2025Texas Tech12-2HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech21933365.8%2,7808.3226154.1----
2023Texas Tech18229461.9%1,7546.0158123.4----
2022Texas Tech9616956.8%1,1176.676118.9----
2021Texas Tech1333.3%--0.00033.3----
Career4 loaded seasons49879962.3%5,6517.14420134.9----
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech43-113-2.60--
2023Texas Tech4630.14--
2022Texas Tech41721.82--
2021Texas Tech2157.50--
Career4 loaded seasons132-23-0.26--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -113 0 rush TD | #405/408 (1st pct)
Usage 39.4% 78.2% pass share | 4.5% rush share | #146/428 (66th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.40 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #27/200 (87th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,780 #49/382 87th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 22 #35/407 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 219 #52/383 87th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 65.8% #119/383 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.3 #74/382 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -113 #405/408 1st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.40 #27/200 87th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 325 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 39.4% #146/428 66th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 333 #66/407 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 6 #294/407 28th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 43 #142/408 65th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #281/391 28th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -2.6 #387/407 5th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 78.2% #121/428 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 52.2% #140/428 68th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 52.1% #137/428 68th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 36.1% #161/428 63rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 34.9% #137/428 68th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 33.1% #147/428 66th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 4.5% #286/428 33rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home8g2172.08.20.4
Road4g2621.58.40.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins11g2402.08.70.4
Losses1g1370.04.32.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g2341.98.80.7
Weeks 8+5g2281.87.70.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

64Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / att (84th). Strength: pass tds (80th). Concern: rush yards (1st).

Yards / att#27 / 183 · 84th pct
8.3pass
Pass TDs#35 / 183 · 80th pct
22pass
Completion %#45 / 183 · 75th pct
65.8%pass
Pass yards#49 / 183 · 73rd pct
2780pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Interceptions#70 / 183 · 56th pct
6pass
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Rush yards#180 / 183 · 2nd pct
-113rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

93/138 (67.4%) · 11 TD · 2 INT

Short

0–9 yds
48%of completions
45 comp5.3 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
27%of completions
25 comp13.2 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds
25%of completions
23 comp33.1 yds avg8 TD

Overall 67.4% completion on 138 attempts · 23 deep completions averaging 33.1 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Elite: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.400
78th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.4High (p75–p90) (n=94)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Behren MortonTexas TechJulian SayinOhio State· 82% simAthan KaliakmanisRutgers· 77% simJacob ClarkMissouri State· 77% sim
Yards / att
84
Morton
95
Sayin
88
Kaliakmanis
90
Clark
Pass TDs
80
Morton
98
Sayin
77
Kaliakmanis
93
Clark
Completion %
75
Morton
100
Sayin
49
Kaliakmanis
73
Clark
Pass yards
73
Morton
95
Sayin
84
Kaliakmanis
88
Clark
Fumbles lost
66
Morton
91
Sayin
38
Kaliakmanis
66
Clark
Interceptions
56
Morton
32
Sayin
44
Kaliakmanis
10
Clark
Rush TDs
9
Morton
9
Sayin
59
Kaliakmanis
49
Clark
Rush yards
2
Morton
8
Sayin
12
Kaliakmanis
15
Clark

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Surgeon

High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jack Coan’s 2021 season.

Jack Coan

72%match

Notre Dame · 2021

#2

JT Daniels

Rice · 2023

71%
#3

Carter Bradley

South Alabama · 2023

All-Sun Belt
67%
#4

Athan Kaliakmanis

Rutgers · 2025

NFL Rd 7
66%
#5

Ben Bryant

Cincinnati · 2022

65%

Matches Jack on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
Yards / attempt
Height

Differs from Jack on

Recruiting rating (higher)
Rush yards / carry (lower)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Austin Reed’s path through Western Kentucky.

Austin Reed

91%match

Western Kentucky · 2023

All-Conference USA
#2

Maverick McIvor

Western Kentucky · 2025

90%
#3

Kellen Mond

Texas A&M · 2020

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 2
89%
#4

Drew Plitt

Ball State · 2021

All-MAC
88%
#5

Jack Layne

New Mexico · 2025

88%

Matches Austin on

Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Altmyer's graduate season at Illinois (2025).

Luke Altmyer

49%match

Illinois · 2025

All-Big Ten
#2

Blake Shapen

Mississippi State · 2025

48%
#3

Carson Beck

Miami · 2025

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
46%
#4

Braylon Braxton

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
45%
#5

Payton Thorne

Auburn · 2024

42%

Matches Luke on

Total pass EPA (college ability)

Differs from Luke on

Rush yards / carry (lower)
Weight (higher)
Rush usage (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joey McGuire

Pass share

47.6%

484 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

72.6

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

336 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Matt Wells
Texas Tech
2022
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
era →
2023
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
2025
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech

Coaching transition mid-career: Matt Wells → Joey McGuire. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEastland, TX
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech QB4 #813 #716 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Texas Tech QB4 #165 #225 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas Tech QB4 #273 #313 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Texas Tech QB4 #1200 #1078 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas Tech Big 12 QB 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 QB 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX
2023 Texas Tech Big 12 QB 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX
2022 Texas Tech Big 12 QB 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX
2021 Texas Tech Big 12 QB 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Eastland, TX