CFB Zeitgeist
TCTrinidad Chambliss

Trinidad Chambliss

Eighteen months ago Trinidad Chambliss won a Division II national title. Last fall he led Ole Miss to the Playoff quarterfinals and finished eighth in the Heisman. This fall he plays only because a court said he could.

QB · Ole Miss · Cl 4 · #6

CFB Zeitgeist 85

Eighteen months ago Trinidad Chambliss won a Division II national title. Last fall he led Ole Miss to the Playoff quarterfinals and finished eighth in the Heisman. This fall he plays only because a court said he could.

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape +2aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 95th percentile of QBs; the tape says 93rd — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception95th pctl
Production — on-field93rd pctl
n=171 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

Chambliss is the most improbable star in the sport. He won a national championship at Division II Ferris State, entered the portal in April 2025, and arrived at Ole Miss as a backup after spring ball had already ended. Then the starter got hurt at Kentucky, Chambliss stepped in, and a fifth-year unknown took the Rebels to the College Football Playoff quarterfinals and into the Heisman conversation, finishing eighth.

That was supposed to be the end -- fifth year, eligibility spent. Chambliss petitioned the NCAA for a sixth on medical grounds, was denied, sued, and won a preliminary injunction; the state's Supreme Court turned away the NCAA's appeal. So he's back, on borrowed-and-litigated time -- and for a new boss, after Lane Kiffin left for LSU and Ole Miss handed the program to Pete Golding.

The forward stakes are pure proof. A new staff, a target on his back, and one season to answer the only question a story this strange invites: was it real? If the Division II kid does it twice, in the SEC, the fairy tale becomes a resume.

PLAY STYLE

Chambliss plays quarterback like a man who learned it on improvisation -- a dual-threat who extends plays and hunts the explosive -- and the numbers under the fairy tale are real: a 98th-percentile average depth of target (he pushes it downfield as much as anyone in the country), 90th-percentile efficiency, a near-nonexistent interception rate, plus the legs for 80th-percentile rushing success. He chases big plays and rarely gives it back, a rare combination. His game is feel and creativity more than textbook timing; he's at his best when the play breaks. That's also the open question: how a more disciplined SEC defense -- and a brand-new Ole Miss staff under Pete Golding -- asks him to operate within structure rather than around it. 2026 is a fit test as much as a talent one: marry the off-script magic to a real system and the fairy tale gets a sequel.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Ole Miss
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss

Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2025Ole Miss13-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Balanced

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

85All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass yards (98th). Strength: yards / att (91st).

Pass yards#3 / 183 · 99th pct
3937pass
Yards / att#15 / 183 · 92nd pct
8.8pass
Rush yards#32 / 183 · 83rd pct
527rush
Interceptions#23 / 183 · 82nd pct
3pass
Rush TDs#31 / 183 · 81st pct
8rush
Pass TDs#35 / 183 · 80th pct
22pass
Completion %#40 / 183 · 78th pct
66.1%pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Career stats

Passing

Season-by-season quarterback passing line in a familiar scoreboard layout.

Season Team CMPATTCMP%YDSY/ATDINTRATELNGSACK
2025 Ole MissFinal snapshot 29444566.1%3,9378.8223155.4----
Career 1 loaded seasonCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 29444566.1%3,9378.8223155.4----

Rushing

Ground contribution that rounds out the quarterback profile.

Season Team CARYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 Ole MissFinal snapshot 1335274.08--
Career 1 loaded seasonCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 1335274.08--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 18 · 2025

W 39–34

at Georgia

362 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT  ·  QBR 90.6  ·  14 rush yds (4 car)

Edged out Georgia on the road in a shootout.

Game log

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 15 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 63-7vs Georgia State4/659109.872.3Season-high 362 yds
Wk 2W 30-23@ Kentucky
Wk 3W 41-35vs Arkansas21/293531012.289.5
Wk 4W 45-10vs Tulane17/273072011.490.1Clean 2-TD game
Wk 5W 24-19vs LSU23/39314118.186.9
Wk 7W 24-21vs Washington State20/29253208.760.6Clean 2-TD game
Wk 8L 35-43@ Georgia19/36263107.388.4
Wk 9W 34-26@ Oklahoma24/44315107.290.7
Wk 10W 30-14vs South Carolina12/21159117.670.7
Wk 11W 49-0vs The Citadel29/333333010.178.03 TD passes
Wk 12W 34-24vs Florida26/35301118.672.9
Wk 14W 38-19@ Mississippi State23/343594010.693.44 TD passes
BowlW 41-10vs Tulane23/29282109.793.3
BowlW 39-34@ Georgia30/46362207.990.6
BowlL 27-31vs Miami23/37277107.583.6
Total294/44539372239.082.9

How he plays

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

85All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass yards (98th). Strength: yards / att (91st).

Pass yards#3 / 183 · 99th pct
3937pass
Yards / att#15 / 183 · 92nd pct
8.8pass
Rush yards#32 / 183 · 83rd pct
527rush
Interceptions#23 / 183 · 82nd pct
3pass
Rush TDs#31 / 183 · 81st pct
8rush
Pass TDs#35 / 183 · 80th pct
22pass
Completion %#40 / 183 · 78th pct
66.1%pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

PLAY STYLE

Chambliss plays quarterback like a man who learned it on improvisation -- a dual-threat who extends plays and hunts the explosive -- and the numbers under the fairy tale are real: a 98th-percentile average depth of target (he pushes it downfield as much as anyone in the country), 90th-percentile efficiency, a near-nonexistent interception rate, plus the legs for 80th-percentile rushing success. He chases big plays and rarely gives it back, a rare combination. His game is feel and creativity more than textbook timing; he's at his best when the play breaks. That's also the open question: how a more disciplined SEC defense -- and a brand-new Ole Miss staff under Pete Golding -- asks him to operate within structure rather than around it. 2026 is a fit test as much as a talent one: marry the off-script magic to a real system and the fairy tale gets a sequel.

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ole Miss for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Ole Miss

Returning around him

  • 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Ole Miss players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (28 in / 25 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ole Miss · Last season: 13-2 (AP #6) · Talent rank #21 · 2026 recruiting class #16

Perception vs tape

Eighteen months ago Trinidad Chambliss won a Division II national title. Last fall he led Ole Miss to the Playoff quarterfinals and finished eighth in the Heisman. This fall he plays only because a court said he could.

Chambliss is the most improbable star in the sport. He won a national championship at Division II Ferris State, entered the portal in April 2025, and arrived at Ole Miss as a backup after spring ball had already ended. Then the starter got hurt at Kentucky, Chambliss stepped in, and a fifth-year unknown took the Rebels to the College Football Playoff quarterfinals and into the Heisman conversation, finishing eighth.

That was supposed to be the end — fifth year, eligibility spent. Chambliss petitioned the NCAA for a sixth on medical grounds, was denied, sued, and won a preliminary injunction; the state's Supreme Court turned away the NCAA's appeal. So he's back, on borrowed-and-litigated time — and for a new boss, after Lane Kiffin left for LSU and Ole Miss handed the program to Pete Golding.

The forward stakes are pure proof. A new staff, a target on his back, and one season to answer the only question a story this strange invites: was it real? If the Division II kid does it twice, in the SEC, the fairy tale becomes a resume.

How he plays

Chambliss plays quarterback like a man who learned it on improvisation — a dual-threat who extends plays and hunts the explosive — and the numbers under the fairy tale are real: a 98th-percentile average depth of target (he pushes it downfield as much as anyone in the country), 90th-percentile efficiency, a near-nonexistent interception rate, plus the legs for 80th-percentile rushing success. He chases big plays and rarely gives it back, a rare combination. His game is feel and creativity more than textbook timing; he's at his best when the play breaks. That's also the open question: how a more disciplined SEC defense — and a brand-new Ole Miss staff under Pete Golding — asks him to operate within structure rather than around it. 2026 is a fit test as much as a talent one: marry the off-script magic to a real system and the fairy tale gets a sequel.

2026 outlook · as of 2026-06-13

DNA match

Player DNA

The Dual Threat

Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaxson Dart’s 2023 season.

Jaxson Dart

65%match

Ole Miss · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
#2

Brady Cook

Missouri · 2023

62%
#3

Jordan Travis

Florida State · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 5
61%
#4

Luke Altmyer

Illinois · 2025

All-Big Ten
61%
#5

Brennan Armstrong

Virginia · 2021

All-ACC
59%

Matches Jaxson on

Completion %
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from Jaxson on

Weight (lower)
TD rate (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Kyle Trask’s path through Florida.

Kyle Trask

86%match

Florida · 2020

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 32
#2

Jalen Milroe

Alabama · 2024

CampbellAll-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 28
84%
#3

C.J. Stroud

Ohio State · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 2
72%
#4

CJ Carr

Notre Dame · 2025

71%
#5

Caleb Williams

USC · 2023

71%

Matches Kyle on

Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a freshman, his production profile tracks closest to Shane Buechele's freshman season at SMU (2020).

Shane Buechele

52%match

SMU · 2020

#2

Jaren Hall

BYU · 2021

NFL Rd 5
56%
#3

Bo Nix

Oregon · 2022

55%
#4

Tyler Johnston III

UAB · 2020

45%
#5

Darian Mensah

Tulane · 2024

All-ACC
45%

Matches Shane on

Completion %

Differs from Shane on

Yards / attempt (higher)
Rush yards / carry (higher)
TD rate (lower)

Peer comparator

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Trinidad ChamblissOle MissLuke AltmyerIllinois· 84% simFernando MendozaIndiana· 83% simGunner StocktonGeorgia· 81% sim
Pass yards
99
Chambliss
81
Altmyer
92
Mendoza
77
Stockton
Yards / att
92
Chambliss
83
Altmyer
97
Mendoza
63
Stockton
Rush yards
83
Chambliss
65
Altmyer
68
Mendoza
80
Stockton
Interceptions
82
Chambliss
67
Altmyer
56
Mendoza
67
Stockton
Rush TDs
81
Chambliss
68
Altmyer
78
Mendoza
91
Stockton
Pass TDs
80
Chambliss
80
Altmyer
100
Mendoza
85
Stockton
Completion %
78
Chambliss
87
Altmyer
98
Mendoza
94
Stockton
Fumbles lost
66
Chambliss
38
Altmyer
91
Mendoza
38
Stockton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#4 in market · 6 books

+90010.0% implied