CFB Zeitgeist Score
72
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 81st percentile.
Deuce Alexander
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
684 REC YDS · 44 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Ole Miss for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Ole Miss
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 2 Ole Miss players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +3 net (28 in / 25 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Ole Miss · Last season: 13-2 (AP #6) · Talent rank #21 · 2026 recruiting class #16
WR · OLE MISS · SEC
Deuce Alexander
- 2
- #11
- 6-0 | 175 lb
- Douglasville, GA
Heisman Heat
#4247
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+2180%
Up 2180% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8653 | No. 970 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wake Forest -> Ole Miss | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8653
#970 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Deuce Alexander
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Deuce Alexander
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
15.5
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #86 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 84th
Why it matters
#86 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.5 yards per reception (44 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 15.5 (84th)
HIGH · n=44 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#102 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 14 at Mississippi State — 94 ypr
Result W 38-19
The week the volume broke through — put up 94 yds at Mississippi State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 15g
684Rec yards
44Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
45.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
684Rec yards
44Receptions
2Rec TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Deuce Alexander's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ole Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
44 86th
YDS
684 90th
YPR
15.5 79th
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
19 97th
YDS
122 96th
YPC
6.4 71st
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 15 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 63-7vs Georgia State | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 30-23@ Kentucky | 4 | 68 | 17.0 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-35vs Arkansas | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-10vs Tulane | 4 | 94 | 23.5 | 1 | 35 | Season-high 94 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 24-19vs LSU | 3 | 64 | 21.3 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-21vs Washington State | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 8 | L 35-43@ Georgia | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-26@ Oklahoma | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 10 | W 30-14vs South Carolina | 2 | 52 | 26.0 | 0 | 43 | |
| Wk 11 | W 49-0vs The Citadel | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | W 34-24vs Florida | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 14 | W 38-19@ Mississippi State | 2 | 94 | 47.0 | 1 | 88 | |
| Bowl | W 41-10vs Tulane | 7 | 87 | 12.4 | 0 | 26 | |
| Bowl | W 39-34@ Georgia | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 7 | |
| Bowl | L 27-31vs Miami | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Total | 44 | 684 | 15.6 | 2 | 88 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Wake Forest4-8HC: Dave Clawson · Run-leaning
2025Ole Miss13-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ole Miss | 44 | 684 | 15.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Wake Forest | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 46 | 714 | 15.5 | 3 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ole Miss | 19 | 122 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Wake Forest | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 19 | 122 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 44 | #153/1110 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 684 | #108/1107 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.5 | #232/1106 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.4% | #414/1137 | 64th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 122 | #16/397 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 31 | #34/346 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 19 | #14/407 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.4 | #115/393 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 88 | #8/1105 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.4% | #278/1137 | 76th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.4% | #156/1137 | 86th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.4% | #276/1137 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.2% | #262/1137 | 77th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.5% | #258/1137 | 77th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.1% | #722/1137 | 37th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 3.4% | #42/1137 | 96th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 15 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home10g | 3.1 | 46.4 | 14.3 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 2.6 | 44.0 | 18.2 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins13g | 3.2 | 49.5 | 16.2 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 1.5 | 20.0 | 11.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-79g | 3.3 | 50.7 | 14.0 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.3 | 38.0 | 18.1 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
72Solid starter
Elite: long catch (98th). Strength: rush yards (95th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Deuce AlexanderOle MissNik McMillanBuffalo· 80% simCorey RuckerArkansas State· 77% simAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 77% sim
Long catch
Rush yards
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Receptions
Rec TDs
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to J.C. Santana’s 2021 season.
J.C. Santana
77%match
#2
Dorian Singer
76%
#3
Dante Cephas
All-MAC
76%
#4
Jacob Cowing
All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
69%
#5
Steve Jenkins
74%
Matches J.C. on
Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from J.C. on
Class year (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to DeVontres Dukes’s path through South Florida.
DeVontres Dukes
97%match
#2
Kobe Clark
96%
#3
Jarrod Barnes
96%
#4
Sam James
95%
#5
Darien Chase
95%
Matches DeVontres on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Napier's junior season at San Diego State (2025).
Jordan Napier
78%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Carlos Hernandez
77%
#3
Cayden Lee
74%
#4
Jayce Brown
71%
#5
DeAndre Moore Jr.
70%
Matches Jordan on
EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
Yards / reception
Differs from Jordan on
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lane Kiffin
Pass share
48.2%
521 pass / 560 run
Plays / game
72.1
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
330 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2025
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDouglasville, GA
Height6'0"
Weight175 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey11
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOle Miss
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Wake Forest | WR2 | #4247 | #4537 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Wake Forest | WR2 | #3185 | #3650 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ole Miss | SEC | WR | 2 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 175 lb | Douglasville, GA |
| 2024 | Wake Forest | ACC | WR | 2 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 175 lb | Douglasville, GA |
| 2023 | Wake Forest | ACC | WR | 2 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 175 lb | Douglasville, GA |