cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Caleb Odom /Ole Miss

Caleb Odom

WR · Ole Miss · So · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

197 REC YDS · 19 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Ole Miss for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ole Miss for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Ole Miss

Returning around him

  • 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Ole Miss players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (28 in / 25 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ole Miss · Last season: 13-2 (AP #6) · Talent rank #21 · 2026 recruiting class #16

WR · OLE MISS · SEC

Caleb Odom

  • 2
  • #4
  • 6-5 | 215 lb
  • Carrollton, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

26

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1021

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
65.02024
1972025

+203%

Up 203% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#53 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey4
Measurements6-5 | 215 lb
HometownCarrollton, GA
Primary teamOle Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 53 recruit
Composite rating 0.9753 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2024
Origin Carrollton Carrollton, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9753 No. 53 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Ole Miss 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 19, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Alabama -> Ole Miss 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1021Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#859Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9753

#53 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Caleb Odom

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Odom

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
197Rec yards
19Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
24.6Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
320.1Rec yards
31Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 197): needs 100.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 197): needs 160.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 19): needs 8.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 19): needs 12.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Caleb Odom's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ole Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1021 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 53 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 19 2 rec TD | #436/1110 (61st pct)
Receiving yards 197 10.4 per catch | #470/1107 (58th pct)
Scrimmage yards 197 Total offensive yardage | #470/1107 (58th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
19 61st
YDS
197 58th
YPR
10.4 35th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 63-7vs Georgia State45714.3135
Wk 5W 24-19vs LSU22412.0012
Wk 8L 35-43@ Georgia22010.0013
Wk 11W 49-0vs The Citadel66410.7140Season-high 64 yds
Wk 12W 34-24vs Florida11010.0010
BowlW 41-10vs Tulane2147.008
BowlW 39-34@ Georgia144.004
BowlL 27-31vs Miami144.004
Total191979.0240
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Ole Miss13-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Ole Miss1919710.42--
2024Alabama7659.30--
Career2 loaded seasons2626210.12--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.0% 7.5% pass-game share | #654/1137 (43rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 19 #436/1110 61st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 197 #470/1107 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.4 #717/1106 35th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 7.5% #654/1137 43rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 40 #450/1105 59th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.3% #390/1137 66th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.1% #804/1137 29th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.0% #610/1137 46th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #522/1137 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.9% #742/1137 35th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.6% #851/1137 25th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.728.89.70.3
Road2g1.512.07.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g2.728.89.70.3
Losses2g1.512.07.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.020.68.30.2
Weeks 8+3g3.031.310.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

26Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (16th).

Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Long catch#378 / 558 · 31st pct
40rece
Receptions#436 / 558 · 21st pct
19rece
Yards / catch#448 / 558 · 20th pct
10.4rece
Rec yards#466 / 558 · 16th pct
197rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Caleb OdomOle MissAaron TurnerRice· 60% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 59% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 55% sim
Rec TDs
42
Odom
68
Turner
24
III
7
Gibson
Long catch
31
Odom
65
Turner
16
III
56
Gibson
Receptions
21
Odom
92
Turner
92
III
92
Gibson
Yards / catch
20
Odom
1
Turner
9
III
15
Gibson
Rec yards
16
Odom
48
Turner
70
III
74
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Isaiah Horton’s 2023 season.

Isaiah Horton

77%match

Miami · 2023

#2

Duce Robinson

USC · 2023

75%
#3

Corey Gammage

Marshall · 2020

69%
#4

Nyck Harbor

South Carolina · 2023

74%
#5

Noah Frith

Liberty · 2021

72%

Matches Isaiah on

Height
TD rate
Weight

Differs from Isaiah on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jake Tonges's sophomore season at California (2021).

Jake Tonges

75%match

California · 2021

#2

Noah Frith

Liberty · 2021

72%
#3

Roman Mothershed

Troy · 2025

72%
#4

Isaiah Horton

Miami · 2023

70%
#5

Troy Omeire

Arizona State · 2023

69%

Matches Jake on

Yards / reception
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Jake on

Class year (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lane Kiffin

Pass share

48.2%

521 pass / 560 run

Plays / game

72.1

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

330 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2025
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss

Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCarrollton, GA
Height6'5"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Alabama WR2 #1021 #859 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ole Miss SEC WR 2 No. 4 | 6-5 | 215 lb | Carrollton, GA
2024 Alabama SEC WR 2 No. 4 | 6-5 | 215 lb | Carrollton, GA