Youngstown State
1-0 W1 · Warming
Kentucky
5:00 PM · Kroger Field

Youngstown State (1-0) at Kentucky — Kentucky is favored by 22.

What’s at stake

Kentucky

  • Kentucky sits at 3% to make the CFP field — 4% with a win here, 2% with a loss.
  • Kentucky hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2024.

Youngstown State

  • Youngstown State is coming off a 33-point win.

The series

Kentucky leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2022 · Kentucky won the last meeting

  • 2022Kentucky 31–0

Face-off

What each fanbase carries into this one.

Youngstown State

The chip

Youngstown State doesn't carry a visible chip. The program is at peace with its place in FCS history: the keeper of the Tressel legacy, a solid regional program, a place where Beau Brungard can win the Walter Payton Award in 2025 and not feel the weight of unmet national aspirations.

Kentucky

The chip · vs the national media

Fans are sick of hearing their school described as a basketball place that tolerates football — they remember the Stoops climb made the league take Kentucky seriously, and they refuse to be filed back under afterthought just because one era ended.

What this game touches

Firing Mark Stoops. Stoops left as the winningest coach in Kentucky football history after 13 years that dragged the program from doormat to ranked teams and bowl streaks — but back-to-back bowl-less seasons, capped by a 5-7 finish in 2025, ended it. Letting go of the man who built modern Kentucky football is a wound even for fans who wanted the change.

Best players

Kentucky

  • Ty Bryant (DB) · 2025: 76 tackles
  • Daveren Rayner (LB) · 2025: 69 tackles
  • Alex Afari Jr. (LB) · 2025: 61 tackles

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on Kentucky’s chances here.

evenModel · 71%Market · 96%Youngstown StateKentucky

Home −22 · O/U 62.5

Conditions

93°F · 8 mph wind · Cloudy

Home-field advantage: Elite

Kentucky is 65% at home, 41% on the road since 2018 (37-20 home, 15-22 away).