Kentucky routs Youngstown State 45-13
Team pages: Youngstown State · Kentucky
Kentucky routed Youngstown State 45-13. Share this game
We had Kentucky favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
How's my man Minchey lookin?
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Kentucky a 71% chance, and the closing betting line (Kentucky was a 22.5-point favorite) put it at 97%.
Kentucky 45-13 Youngstown State
Kentucky wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Youngstown State 13-45 KentuckyYoungstown State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
- Q2 12:04Minchey throws touchdown pass to Skinner, extending Kentucky lead to 21-0Quoted at the top of the page.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Kentucky -22.5), at 95% for Kentucky (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold.Watch the plays
The bar and the arrow show Kentucky’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
- Q1, 6:25Baxter 5-yd TD runKentucky leads 14-0Q1, 6:25 · Kentucky 14, Youngstown State 014-0score after the play14-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 11:30Minchey 10-yd TD pass to SkinnerKentucky leads 21-0Q2, 11:30 · Kentucky 21, Youngstown State 021-0score after the play21-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 5:55Brungard run for a 4-yd lossfumblesQ2, 5:55 · Kentucky 21, Youngstown State 021-0score after the play21-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 1:51Baxter 2-yd TD pass to RodriguezKentucky leads 28-0Q2, 1:51 · Kentucky 28, Youngstown State 028-0score after the play28-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 0:20Brungard 6-yd TD pass to Wyche-Elcuts it to 28-7Q2, 0:20 · Kentucky 28, Youngstown State 728-7score after the play28-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 8:19Minchey 26-yd TD pass to JeanKentucky leads 35-7Q3, 8:19 · Kentucky 35, Youngstown State 735-7score after the play35-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 3:41Gilbert 9-yd TD runcuts it to 35-13Q3, 3:41 · Kentucky 35, Youngstown State 1335-13score after the play35-13score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 12:48Minchey 37-yd TD pass to DarbyKentucky leads 42-13Q4, 12:48 · Kentucky 42, Youngstown State 1342-13score after the play42-13score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive
Kentucky scored on 7 of its 11 drives; Youngstown State on 2 of its 9.
Kentucky’s drives are teal, Youngstown State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
“I don’t want to overreact, but we would absolutely kill the FCS”
When fans got loud
Busy
It was the second quarter that had fans talking the most.
The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.
Box score
Kentucky 45, Youngstown State 13
Kentucky covered −22.5 by 9.5. The total, 58, stayed under 61.5.
| Team totals | Youngstown State | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 305 | 506 |
| Passing | 24 of 38, 246 yds | 18 of 27, 301 yds |
| Rushing | 28 for 59 yds | 34 for 205 yds |
| First downs | 20 | 24 |
| Third down | 8 of 15 | 3 of 8 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Penalties | 4 for 28 yds | 6 for 70 yds |
| Time of possession | 30:08 | 29:52 |
Youngstown State leaders
- Passing Beau Brungard 23 of 35, 243 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Beau Brungard 12 for 29 yds; Jaden Gilbert 5 for 20 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Lynn Wyche-El 7 for 111 yds, 1 TD; Lorenzo Jenkins 3 for 46 yds
Kentucky leaders
- Passing Kenny Minchey 18 of 27, 301 yds, 4 TD
- Rushing Jason Patterson 11 for 78 yds; CJ Baxter Jr. 9 for 48 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Kenny Darby 3 for 74 yds, 1 TD; Mikkel Skinner 4 for 61 yds, 1 TD
No rain through the game
86° at kickoff · no rain recorded
Warmer than every one of the 71 other games played at Kroger Field since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 76°, with about 7 in 10 games between 67° and 84°.
September game-day temperatures at Kroger Field
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Lexington/bluegrass airport, 5.6 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Youngstown State · 8-5
Rated 147th in our preseason ratings, 147th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 42-43 vs Yale #152 of 667
lost by 1 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 35-32 @ Northern Iowa #220 of 667
won by 3 as a 14-point favorite
W 48-29 vs Indiana State #229 of 667
won by 19 as a 20.5-point favorite
W 48-38 vs Southern Illinois #152 of 667
won by 10 as a 5-point favorite
L 30-38 @ North Dakota State #58 of 667
lost by 8 as a 26.5-point underdog
W 51-17 vs Murray State #266 of 667
won by 34 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 40-35 @ Illinois State #161 of 667
won by 5 as a 2-point underdog
L 17-35 @ North Dakota #97 of 667
lost by 18 as a 9-point underdog
L 30-35 vs South Dakota State #85 of 667
lost by 5 as a 15-point underdog
W 31-28 @ Towson #156 of 667
won by 3 as a 3-point favorite
L 24-41 @ Michigan State #77 of 667
lost by 17 as a 23.5-point underdog
W 56-17 vs Robert Morris #230 of 667
won by 39 as a 19.5-point favorite
W 24-15 vs Mercyhurst #263 of 667
won by 9 as a 24-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Kentucky · 5-7
Rated 102nd in our preseason ratings.
L 0-41 @ LouisvilleTop 25 #30 of 667
lost by 41 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 17-45 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #20 of 667
lost by 28 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 42-10 vs Tennessee Tech #96 of 667
won by 32 as a 22.5-point favorite
W 38-7 vs FloridaTop 25 #37 of 667
won by 31 as a 5.5-point underdog
W 10-3 @ AuburnTop 25 #21 of 667
won by 7 as an 11.5-point underdog
L 34-56 vs TennesseeTop 25 #10 of 667
lost by 22 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 13-16 vs TexasTop 25 #9 of 667
lost by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 14-35 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #6 of 667
lost by 21 as a 19.5-point underdog
L 13-35 @ South CarolinaTop 25 #20 of 667
lost by 22 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 48-23 vs Eastern Michigan #153 of 667
won by 25 as a 26.5-point favorite
L 23-30 vs Ole MissTop 25 #5 of 667
lost by 7 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 24-16 vs Toledo #70 of 667
won by 8 as a 9.5-point favorite
The series
Kentucky leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2022 · Kentucky won the last meeting
- 2022Kentucky 31-0
Each line is Kentucky’s chance to win through that meeting.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Kentucky’s chances here.
Kentucky favored by 22.5 · Total 61.5
How games like this usually go
Kentucky by 22.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Youngstown State.
The total fell 1 point.
Spread: −23.5 → −22.5 · Total: 62.5 → 61.5
The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 92° at kickoff.
Youngstown State at Kentucky · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Kroger Field, Lexington
- 92°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 59weather score, Rough
- 3rdroughest of the day's 7 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the third roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Kroger Field that day, a 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 93, against 59 at 12:45 pm.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
- noon: 65, Rough
- 12:45 pm: 59, Rough (this game)
- 2 pm: 55, Rough
- 3:30 pm: 52, Rough
- 6 pm: 70, Rough
- 7 pm: 83, Mixed
- 7:45 pm: 93, Comfortable
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Kentucky is worth +6.1 points (±4.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 81st percentile.
60% at home, 45% on the road against FBS opponents (32-21 home, 18-22 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.7 at home vs. away over 101 games — inside the ±6.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 296 miles to get here.