Illinois State

3-0

MVFC · Hancock Stadium · 15,000

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetvs Eastern Illinois · our model 96% Illinois State · a number, not a pick

LastW 28–24 at Northern Illinois · Sat Sep 12 · Tye Niekamp 2 sacks, 3 TFL, 11 tackles

Nextvs Eastern Illinois · Sat Sep 19 · 3 pm ET · Hancock Stadium · series 22-12, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Illinois State · 2026 schedule & results3-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Aug 29#126St. Francis (IL)W 76–01-00-0
1Sep 6#126#228-20.5@Western IllinoisW 41–102-00-0
2Sep 12#114#94-2.5@Northern IllinoisW 28–24 1293-00-0
3Sep 19#92#237Eastern Illinois
4Sep 26#89#168@Northern Iowa
5Oct 3South Dakota State
7Oct 17@Southern Illinois
8Oct 24Indiana State
9Oct 31Murray State
10Nov 7@North Dakota
11Nov 14@Youngstown State
12Nov 21South Dakota
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12@Northern IllinoisW 28–24254231:16-0.01840.6%103.0%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 6@Western IllinoisW 41–10+0.34147.0%137.2%Most explosive
Aug 29St. Francis (IL)W 76–0+0.75170.7%124.6%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)2542.0+0.35852.8%121.6%
Verdict Begins·Live

Illinois State is the program that lost the 2014 championship to NDSU, returned to the title game 11 years later, beat NDSU on the road 29-28 with late TDs, and fell one point short in overtime — a restoration story that almost became a crown.

Title DroughtSince 1887 · 139 yrs

The Bison beat Illinois State in 2014. In 2025, the Redbirds traveled to Fargo as a 23-point underdog, broke a 14-game losing streak with two late TDs, and ended NDSU's FCS dynasty era 29-28. The fanb…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19Next: Eastern Illinoisvs Eastern Illinois · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 12-5 · last season

Game feel56even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 10 in the MVFC
Heart rate3-2some dramain one-score games (5 of 17)4th most one-score games of 10 in the MVFC
Margin+5.1competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 10 in the MVFC
Big plays1.18some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)8th most explosive of 10 in the MVFC
Home crowd9,120avg attendance5th biggest crowds of 10 in the MVFC

✓ measured from 17 games · ranks are among MVFC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Illinois State has won four of its last five.

Warming. 8-2 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Eastern Illinois · at home

Outcome band · Illinois State · 2026

Illinois State's most likely season is 9-4 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 12-1.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base9-4A bowl game.
Ceiling12-1A bowl game, 3 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Illinois State is the unseeded Redbird that became the first FCS team to win four consecutive road playoff games, beat the #1 seed at home, and reached the national championship in 2026—a miracle run that fell one point short of the title.

RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Illinois State

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning ProductionNAContinuity signal unavailable
Portal Additions3Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses8Primary pressure: DL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting ReloadNARecruiting class signal unavailable
DLin 0out 2 - Jake Anderson3.60Starter Risk
LBin 0out 2 - Patrick Bauer3.50Starter Risk
RBin 0out 2 - Matt Lawson1.00Starter Risk
Sin 0out 1 - CJ Richard Jr.3.70Downgrade
WRin 0out 1 - Eddie Kasper3.50Downgrade
CBin 1 - Key Crowell1.00out 0Even
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-14.3 net portal points
(raw ledger: -17.8 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
DL
-7.1
starter risk
LB
-4.5
starter risk
S
-3.7
low confidence
WR
-3.5
low confidence
RB
-2.0
starter risk
CB
+1.0
low confidence
EDGE
+1.0
low confidence
QB
+1.0
low confidence
Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Community pulse

No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.

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