MVFC South Dakota

Record7-3through 10 games
NextByethen vs Northern Iowa · Sat Nov 14

LeadersPassing Austyn Modrzewski 2,126 · Rushing Charles Pierre Jr. 726 · Receiving Brayden White 614 All player stats

The model#5 among FCS teams

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9

Schedule and results

South Dakota · 2026 schedule and results7-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 49% · 1 opponent played so far is in the AP top 25 now.
WkDateOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
1Aug 29Central ConnecticutW 59-201-00-0Pass Modrzewski 304 · Rush Modrzewski 81 · Rec Jones-Logan 103
1Sep 5@Northern ColoradoW 38-23South Dakota won 38-23 at Northern Colorado. Chance to win started at 88%, low 72%, high better than 99%.2-00-0Pass Modrzewski 178 · Rush Jones-Logan 55 · Rec White 48
2Sep 12Eastern WashingtonW 41-23South Dakota won 41-23 vs Eastern Washington. Chance to win started at 89%, low 84%, high better than 99%.3-00-0Pass Modrzewski 245 · Rush Pierre Jr. 138 · Rec Bryant 120
3Sep 19@Boise StateL 24-38 129South Dakota lost 24-38 at Boise State. Chance to win started at 2%, low under 1%, high 13%.3-10-0Pass Modrzewski 243 · Rush Pierre Jr. 47 · Rec Bryant 104
4Sep 26@Youngstown StateL 28-47South Dakota lost 28-47 at Youngstown State. Chance to win started at 37%, low under 1%, high 44%.3-20-1Pass Modrzewski 147 · Rush Fletcher 59 · Rec White 37
5Oct 3Indiana StateW 44-14South Dakota won 44-14 vs Indiana State. Chance to win started at 88%, low 85%, high better than 99%.4-21-1Pass Modrzewski 196 · Rush Pierre Jr. 109 · Rec White 90
6Oct 10Southern IllinoisW 31-10South Dakota won 31-10 vs Southern Illinois. Chance to win started at 81%, low 73%, high better than 99%.5-22-1Pass Modrzewski 268 · Rush Pierre Jr. 138 · Rec White 84
7Oct 17@Murray StateW 48-20South Dakota won 48-20 at Murray State. Chance to win started at 95%, low 88%, high better than 99%.6-23-1Pass Modrzewski 153 · Rush Fletcher 56 · Rec White 78
8Oct 24North DakotaW 26-23South Dakota won 26-23 vs North Dakota. Chance to win started at 69%, low 38%, high better than 99%.7-24-1Pass Modrzewski 159 · Rush Pierre Jr. 128 · Rec White 101
9Oct 31@South Dakota StateL 21-31South Dakota lost 21-31 at South Dakota State. Chance to win started at 25%, low under 1%, high 32%.7-34-2Pass Modrzewski 233 · Rush Proctor 16 · Rec Cohoon 53
10Bye week
11Nov 14Northern Iowa2 pm ET83% to win
12Nov 21@Illinois State1 pm ET62% to win
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for South Dakota, through 10 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 31@South Dakota StateL 21-31———+0.09836.4%1.31
Oct 24North DakotaW 26-23———+0.12740.6%1.08One-score win
Oct 17@Murray StateW 48-20———+0.26348.6%1.11Blowout win
Oct 10Southern IllinoisW 31-10———+0.42251.8%1.54
Oct 3Indiana StateW 44-14———+0.26151.4%1.03Best defensive stand
Sep 26@Youngstown StateL 28-47———+0.18451.7%1.07Defense's roughest night
Sep 19@Boise StateL 24-38279220:34+0.01724.0%2.35Season-low EPA/play
Sep 12Eastern WashingtonW 41-23———+0.29552.2%1.33
Sep 5@Northern ColoradoW 38-23———+0.37547.4%1.39
Aug 29Central ConnecticutW 59-20———+0.69459.3%1.45Season-high EPA/play
Season average (10 games)2792.0+0.27446.3%1.37

What’s ahead

Off this week

10 days

until kickoff · vs Northern Iowa · Sat Nov 14 · 2 pm ET

The forecast

Today’s games across college football

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 14Next: Northern Iowavs Northern Iowa · at home

Recent form · last 10 games

South Dakota has won four of its last five.

7-3 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3

Range of outcomes · South Dakota · 2026

South Dakota’s base case is 8-4, conference title contender. The floor is 7-5; the ceiling is 9-3.

What each outcome looks like
Floor7-5Competitive, but outside the at-large field.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.

No season-path projection for this program yet, so this is the 7-3 record so far plus the 2 games left, with a two-win swing down and a three-win swing up.

More in this tab

Worth watchingGames average 61 combined points, even games

What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-3

Game feel61even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 9 in the MVFC
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 10)8th most one-score games of 9 in the MVFC
Margin+11.1competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 9 in the MVFC
Big plays1.37highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)2nd most explosive of 9 in the MVFC
Home crowd7,792avg attendance8th biggest crowds of 9 in the MVFC

Measured from 10 games · ranks are among MVFC teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

South Dakota is the Coyotes rising under new coach Travis Johansen — a 10-5 season (6-2 MVFC) in his first year proves the program belongs at the top of the Missouri Valley.

Standard GapA Missouri Valley program that found a new coach and immediately…
Read the full program story ↓
Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

South Dakota is the Coyotes rising under new coach Travis Johansen — a 10-5 season (6-2 MVFC) in his first year proves the program belongs at the top of the Missouri Valley.

CFB Zeitgeist “Go Coyotes.”
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