CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

South Dakota

10-5 2025 final

South Dakota is the Coyotes rising under new coach Travis Johansen — a 10-5 season (6-2 MVFC) in his first year proves the program belongs at the top of the Missouri Valley.

The Coyotes hold the line.

Record
10-5
win% .666
FCS Top 25
Conf Standing
Playoff Path
Season closed
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — diagnostic
The Long Wait·Offseason

South Dakota is the Coyotes rising under new coach Travis Johansen — a 10-5 season (6-2 MVFC) in his first year proves the program belongs at the top of the Missouri Valley.

Title DroughtSince 2015 · 10 yrs

South Dakota finished 10-5 overall (6-2 MVFC, second place) in 2025 under new head coach Travis Johansen. The Coyotes' strong season proved the coaching hire was successful and positioned South Dakota as an MVFC contender. Year tw…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

The Pulse on South Dakota

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Coyotes hold the line.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go South Dakota" — South Dakota fanbase · recurring line
9 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · South Dakota

Winning record

The season's first milestone.

Conference title race

Competitive for the conference crown.

Playoff bidLocked

24-team bracket qualifier — realistic in a strong year.

Championship gameLocked

The FCS championship weekend. A generational leap.

South Dakota · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor8-4Competitive but likely outside the at-large field.
base10-2Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
ceiling12-0Conference title + deep playoff run.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

FCS Program Prestige · South Dakota

National Program

National Program — sustained top-25 expectations across cycles.

T1Regional
T2Mid-Major
T3Power
T4National
T5Blue Blood
T6Dynasty
T7All-Time

Fanbase Health Index · South Dakota · medium confidence

Growing (58)

DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 10-5 (67% win rate)67
Volume — 9 effective signal-N49

Home-Field Advantage · South Dakota · 2018-present

Elite

79% home win rate vs 45% on the road. margin runs +11.8 better at home.

Home27-7Away14-17
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Warming

Four of five. The board favors this trend.

Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2

MVFC Standing · 2025

2nd in the MVFC

South Dakota is 2nd in the MVFC at 10-5. 1 team above — that's the direct path to the title game.

#ProgramRecord
1Illinois State12-5
2South Dakota10-5
3South Dakota State9-5
4Youngstown State8-5
5North Dakota8-6
6Southern Illinois7-5
7Indiana State3-9
8Northern Iowa3-9
9Murray State1-11

Schedule Strength · South Dakota · 2025

Hard

Average opponent win rate 56% across 14 finalized games. 1 FBS top-25 opponent played (Iowa State).

Opp Win %0.565
Top-251
Top-100

FCS → NFL Pipeline

2024–2024

Developing

1 picks last 5 cycles. The pipeline is real but still building volume.

1 picks · last 5 yrs
#227 Myles Harden Cornerback · 2024 · Cleveland

Moment of the Year · South Dakota · 2025

Lost 7-55 at Iowa State

Week 1 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.

Decisive Marginvs AP #22

Playoff History

Recent postseason (2023-2024): 1-2

Most recent: 2024 — loss 31-17 (away). Last 5 postseason: 1-2.

202420232023

From the Archive — South Dakota

2023: Won 24-0 vs St. Thomas (MN)

In 2023, the program won 24-0 vs St. Thomas (MN) — a comfortable home result that left the 24-point margin on the books.

Go Coyotes.