Duquesne at Youngstown State

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Duquesne
0-1 L2 · Cooling
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Youngstown State
1-1 W1 · Mixed
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00 PM · Stambaugh Stadium

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

Duquesne · 7-5

Picked #185 in the preseason · now #162 — better than expected.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 5-point win over Central Connecticut as a 1.5-point underdog.

W 20–17 @ Robert Morris #240 of 668

won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 38–33 vs Central Connecticut #174 of 668

won by 5 as a 1.5-point underdog

L 11–29 @ Long Island University #174 of 668

lost by 18 as a 7-point favorite

L 13–24 @ Wagner #248 of 668

lost by 11 as a 23.5-point favorite

W 37–0 @ Mercyhurst #243 of 668

won by 37 as a 3-point favorite

W 52–7 vs Saint Francis #261 of 668

won by 45 as a 14.5-point favorite

W 34–14 vs Stonehill #248 of 668

won by 20 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 44–18 vs New Haven #265 of 668

won by 26 as a 18-point favorite

L 7–51 @ Akron #151 of 668

lost by 44 as a 10.5-point underdog

L 21–35 vs Lehigh #163 of 668

lost by 14 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 55–14 vs Lincoln (PA) #330 of 668

L 9–61 @ PittsburghTop 25 #47 of 668

lost by 52 as a 39-point underdog

Last two games

Youngstown State · 1-1

Picked #146 in the preseason · now #125 — better than expected.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 13–45 @ Kentucky #106 of 669

lost by 32 as a 22.5-point underdog

W 43–10 vs Mercyhurst #224 of 669

won by 33 as a 30.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Duquesne

  • Duquesne is still shaking off a 57-point loss.

Youngstown State

  • Youngstown State needs 5 more wins in the final 8 to reach bowl eligibility.
  • Youngstown State is coming off a 57-point win.

The series

Youngstown State leads the series 7-1

8 meetings since 2013 · Youngstown State won the last meeting

  • 2026Youngstown State 70–13
  • 2024Duquesne 28–25
  • 2023Youngstown State 40–7
  • 2022Youngstown State 31–14
  • 2019Youngstown State 34–14

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on Youngstown State’s chances here.

evenModel · 71%Market · 97%DuquesneYoungstown State

Home −22.5 · O/U 54.5

Conditions

79°F · 10 mph wind · Rain Shower

Youngstown State is worth +5.3 points (±12.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 68th percentile.

50% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (2–2 home, 0–12 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +5.1 at home vs. away over 50 games — inside the ±6.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 58 miles to get here.

Duquesne 13 – Youngstown State 70

Youngstown State 70: 84%Duquesne 13: 16%

Called it — picked Youngstown State to win.

Recent games

Youngstown State

  • Wk 1Wvs Mercyhurst43-10
  • Wk 1Lat Kentucky13-45

Duquesne

  • Wk 1Lat Air Force0-34

Trajectory

-4.74-6.90-9.07Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2DuquesneYoungstown State

Youngstown State won 70-13, as picked pregame.