CFB Zeitgeist Score
46
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 99th percentile.
Austin Simmons
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
744 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · 71 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Ole Miss for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Ole Miss
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 2 Ole Miss players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +3 net (28 in / 25 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Ole Miss · Last season: 13-2 (AP #6) · Talent rank #21 · 2026 recruiting class #16
QB · OLE MISS · SEC
Austin Simmons
- 2
- #13
- 6-4 | 215 lb
- Moore Haven, FL
Heisman Heat
#462
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Ole Miss
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9059 | No. 292 recruit | HighSchool | Ole Miss |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Ole Miss
Composite
0.9059
#292 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Austin Simmons
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
47
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=17
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=3
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Austin Simmons
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
ESPN QBR (season average)
45.7
QBR
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games
National rank #81 of 92
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games 12th
Why it matters
#81 of 92 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by ESPN QBR — 45.7 across 6 games.
Vs cohort
This player 45.7 (12th)
HIGH · n=6 cohort 92
- Also strong
- Third-down snap share#89 / 93
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 6g
744Pass yards
4Pass TDs
5INT
Per game
124Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,612Pass yards
9Pass TDs
11INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 744): needs 322.3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 744): needs 465.1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.7/game over remaining 7.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 4.4/game over remaining 7.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Austin Simmons's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ole Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
45 54th
ATT
75 55th
CMP%
60.0% 46th
Y/A
9.9 92nd
Passing Production
YDS
744 60th
TD
4 61st
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
22 52nd
YDS
71 59th
YPC
3.2 57th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 63-7vs Georgia State | 20/31 | 341 | 3 | 2 | 11.0 | 57.4 | Season-high 341 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 30-23@ Kentucky | 13/24 | 235 | 0 | 2 | 9.8 | 80.3 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-35vs Arkansas | 1/1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4.0 | 100.0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-26@ Oklahoma | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 49-0vs The Citadel | 7/12 | 100 | 0 | 1 | 8.3 | 14.5 | |
| Bowl | W 41-10vs Tulane | 4/5 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 12.8 | 20.9 | |
| Total | 45/75 | 744 | 4 | 5 | 7.7 | 45.7 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Ole Miss13-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ole Miss | 45 | 75 | 60.0% | 744 | 9.9 | 4 | 5 | 147.6 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 45 | 75 | 60.0% | 744 | 9.9 | 4 | 5 | 147.6 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ole Miss | 22 | 71 | 3.2 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 22 | 71 | 3.2 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 744 | #154/382 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 4 | #159/407 | 61st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 45 | #176/383 | 54th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 60.0% | #208/383 | 46th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 9.9 | #33/382 | 92nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 71 | #168/408 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.44 | #14/200 | 94th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 67 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 20.8% | #212/428 | 51st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 75 | #186/407 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 22 | #198/408 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 14 | #232/391 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.2 | #178/407 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 34.7% | #210/428 | 51st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 26.6% | #217/428 | 50th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 25.0% | #221/428 | 49th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 20.6% | #198/428 | 54th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 19.4% | #205/428 | 52nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 17.3% | #221/428 | 49th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 7.8% | #205/428 | 52nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 127 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.8 |
| Road2g | 118 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 124 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 161 | 1.0 | 9.4 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 50.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
46Mid-pack
Elite: yards / att (99th). Concern: pass tds (12th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds44%of completions
15 comp6.9 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds21%of completions
7 comp12.7 yds avg
Deep
20+ yds35%of completions
12 comp32.3 yds avg2 TD
Overall 58.6% completion on 58 attempts · 12 deep completions averaging 32.3 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.44High (p75–p90) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Austin SimmonsOle MissCade KlubnikClemson· 64% simRocco BechtIowa State· 62% simAthan KaliakmanisRutgers· 61% sim
Yards / att
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Completion %
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lane Kiffin
Pass share
48.2%
521 pass / 560 run
Plays / game
72.1
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
330 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMoore Haven, FL
Height6'4"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey13
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOle Miss
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.