cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jamal Roberts /Missouri

Jamal Roberts

RB · Missouri · So · #20

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

753 RUSH YDS · 6 RUSH TD · 124 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Missouri for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Missouri for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Missouri

Returning around him

  • 20% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 6 Missouri players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (30 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Missouri · Last season: 8-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #22 · 2026 recruiting class #20

RB · MISSOURI · SEC

Jamal Roberts

  • 2
  • #20
  • 6-0 | 212 lb
  • Saint Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

73

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#332

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
-1.02023
2162024
7532025

-75400%

Sharp dropoff (-75400%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#627 national
CFB
College
Missouri
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey20
Measurements6-0 | 212 lb
HometownSaint Louis, MO
Primary teamMissouri

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 627 recruit
Composite rating 0.8789 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin St. Mary's St. Louis, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8789 No. 627 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#332Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#356Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8789

#627 national

Today’s Hot-Take

+0.320 rushing wepa per carry — #2 in a 66-RB cohort, 98th percentile in the modern era.

Rank #2Cohort p4_plus_nd_rbs (P4 + Notre Dame RBs)Sample n=116Percentile 98

Anti-Take

EFFICIENCY

Efficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.

The Room on Jamal Roberts

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Reminds me of Mississippi Greatness Jamal Roberts"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jamal Roberts

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.320

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #2 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 98th

Why it matters

#2 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.320 EPA/carry on 116 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.320 (98th)

MODERATE · n=116 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#7 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#27 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
753Rush yards
124Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
57.9Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
753Rush yards
124Carries
6Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 753.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jamal Roberts's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Missouri, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #332 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 16.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 21 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 894 753 rush | 141 rec | #75/735 (90th pct)
Rush TD 6 124 carries | #83/739 (89th pct)
Yards/carry 6.1 Per-rush efficiency | #104/735 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
124 86th
YDS
753 90th
YPC
6.1 86th
TD
6 89th

Receiving

REC
18 83rd
YDS
141 82nd
YPR
7.8 60th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 61-6vs Central Arkansas8334.109
Wk 2W 42-31vs Kansas1314311.0163Season-high 143 yds
Wk 3W 52-10vs Louisiana8465.8017
Wk 4W 29-20vs South Carolina13765.8118
Wk 5W 42-6vs Massachusetts6528.7130
Wk 7L 24-27vs Alabama55010.0039
Wk 8W 23-17@ Auburn362.006
Wk 9L 10-17@ Vanderbilt10222.208
Wk 11L 17-38vs Texas A&M171106.5118
Wk 12W 49-27vs Mississippi State9455.0021
Wk 13L 6-17@ Oklahoma10141.407
Wk 14W 31-17@ Arkansas111009.1138
BowlL 7-13vs Virginia11565.1113
Total1247535.9663
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Missouri11-2HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri1247536.16--
2024Missouri532164.13--
2023Missouri1-1-1.00--
Career3 loaded seasons1789685.49--
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri181417.81--
2024Missouri5214.20--
2023Missouri----------
Career3 loaded seasons231627.01--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 18 141 rec yds | #96/552 (83rd pct)
Usage 16.0% 22.4% rush share | #154/738 (79th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.32 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #4/362 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 753 #75/735 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 6 #83/739 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.1 #104/735 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 18 #96/552 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 141 #98/548 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.32 #4/362 99th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 116 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 16.0% #154/738 79th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 124 #104/739 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 63 #95/733 87th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #74/540 86th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.8 #221/548 60th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 21 #147/200 27th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 10.5 #170/199 15th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 2 #109/206 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 22.4% #223/738 70th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 17.4% #44/738 94th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 16.6% #198/738 73rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 16.3% #202/738 73rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.0% #180/738 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.3% #76/738 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.6% #66/738 91st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home9g67.96.90.6
Road4g35.53.70.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins8g62.66.40.5
Losses5g50.45.00.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g65.17.20.6
Weeks 8+6g49.54.40.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

73Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (87th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Yards / carry#43 / 349 · 87th pct
6.1rush
Rush yards#75 / 349 · 79th pct
753rush
Long run#88 / 349 · 75th pct
63rush
Rec yards#89 / 338 · 74th pct
141rece
Rush TDs#83 / 349 · 72nd pct
6rush
Receptions#93 / 338 · 71st pct
18rece
Carries#104 / 349 · 70th pct
124rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.32Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jamal RobertsMissouriNate FrazierGeorgia· 89% simJevon JacksonUAB· 88% simDaylan SmothersNC State· 88% sim
Yards / carry
87
Roberts
71
Frazier
68
Jackson
84
Smothers
Rush yards
79
Roberts
87
Frazier
85
Jackson
86
Smothers
Long run
75
Roberts
72
Frazier
70
Jackson
78
Smothers
Rec yards
74
Roberts
61
Frazier
61
Jackson
81
Smothers
Rush TDs
72
Roberts
72
Frazier
62
Jackson
72
Smothers
Receptions
71
Roberts
63
Frazier
75
Jackson
97
Smothers
Carries
70
Roberts
87
Frazier
85
Jackson
84
Smothers
Fumbles lost
14
Roberts
14
Frazier

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Omarion Hampton’s 2023 season.

Omarion Hampton

72%match

North Carolina · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 22
#2

Devin Neal

Kansas · 2023

70%
#3

Eric Gray

Oklahoma · 2022

NFL Rd 5
69%
#4

Kendre Miller

TCU · 2022

All-Big 12NFL Rd 3 · Pk 8
67%
#5

Emmett Johnson

Nebraska · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 5
67%

Matches Omarion on

Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Weight

Differs from Omarion on

Recruiting rating (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Elijah Tau-Tolliver’s path through Michigan State.

Elijah Tau-Tolliver

92%match

Michigan State · 2025

#2

Durell Robinson

UConn · 2024

91%
#3

B.J. Baylor

Oregon State · 2021

90%
#4

Jayden Scott

NC State · 2025

83%
#5

Ahmad Hardy

Missouri · 2025

Consensus All-American
83%

Matches Elijah on

Yards per carry
Weight
Height

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jonathon Brooks's junior season at Texas (2023).

Jonathon Brooks

79%match

Texas · 2023

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 14
#2

Keyjuan Brown

Louisville · 2025

70%
#3

LJ Martin

BYU · 2025

69%
#4

Emmett Johnson

Nebraska · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 5
69%
#5

Jaylen Wright

Tennessee · 2023

NFL Rd 4
68%

Matches Jonathon on

Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Weight

Differs from Jonathon on

Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Pass share

39.6%

360 pass / 550 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2024
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Louis, MO
Height6'0"
Weight212 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Missouri RB2 #332 #356 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Missouri RB2 #1880 #1427 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri SEC RB 2 No. 20 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2024 Missouri SEC RB 2 No. 20 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2023 Missouri SEC RB 2 No. 20 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Saint Louis, MO