CFB Zeitgeist
AHAhmad Hardy

Ahmad Hardy

Ahmad Hardy led the Power Four in rushing and the entire country in yards after contact. PFF calls him the No. 1 returning running back in college football. The tackle that brings him down on first contact mostly doesn't exist.

RB · Missouri · Cl 2 · #29

CFB Zeitgeist 79

Ahmad Hardy led the Power Four in rushing and the entire country in yards after contact. PFF calls him the No. 1 returning running back in college football. The tackle that brings him down on first contact mostly doesn't exist.

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -6aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 90th percentile of RBs; the tape says 97th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception90th pctl
Production — on-field97th pctl
n=28 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing

In 2025 he ran for 1,648 yards -- the most by any Power Four back -- and 16 touchdowns, and he did it the hard way: a nation-leading 1,181 yards after contact, the signature of a runner defenses simply can't bring down on first touch. He's a transfer-up story too, a former Sun Belt Freshman of the Year at ULM who carried his production straight into the SEC. Now PFF ranks him the No. 1 returning running back in the sport. The forward stakes are individual hardware and a Missouri offense built around him: in a year without an obvious skill-position Heisman favorite, the Power Four's leading returning rusher is exactly the kind of non-quarterback dark horse who can crash the race. For Hardy, 2026 is the year the best-kept secret becomes the headline.

PLAY STYLE

Hardy is contact balance personified. The defining number is the one he led the nation in -- 1,181 yards after contact -- and our play-by-play backs the whole package: an 87th-percentile rushing-touchdown rate (he finishes), an 81st-percentile EPA per carry, and a 71st-percentile yards-per-carry on genuine workhorse volume. He runs behind his pads, keeps his legs churning through arm tackles, and turns would-be three-yard gains into seven. He's not purely a track-speed home-run hitter -- his explosive-run rate is good, not elite (70th percentile) -- which makes the production all the more impressive: this is yards won by force, not just by speed. He's a downhill, between-the-tackles hammer who gets stronger as the game wears on, the kind of back an offense can lean its whole identity on.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Missouri
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

10 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2025)

8 first-team selectors

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

79All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (99th). Strength: carries (99th). Concern: rec yards (14th).

Rush yards#2 / 349 · 100th pct
1649rush
Carries#3 / 349 · 99th pct
256rush
Rush TDs#4 / 349 · 99th pct
16rush
Yards / carry#31 / 349 · 91st pct
6.4rush
Long run#48 / 349 · 86th pct
72rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Receptions#253 / 338 · 23rd pct
6rece
Rec yards#289 / 338 · 14th pct
22rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Awards

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

10 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2025)

8 first-team selectors

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Career stats

Rushing

Classic running back rushing table with season and career context.

Season Team CARYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 MissouriFinal snapshot 2561,6496.416--
Career 1 loaded seasonCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 2561,6496.416--

Receiving

Passing-game production that separates pure runners from all-purpose backs.

Season Team RECYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 MissouriFinal snapshot 6223.70--
Career 1 loaded seasonCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 6223.70--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 8 · 2025

W 23–17

at Auburn

58 rush yds (24 car) · 2 TD

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 6 on the road.

Game log

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 61-6vs Central Arkansas1010010.0144
Wk 2W 42-31vs Kansas251124.5132
Wk 3W 52-10vs Louisiana2225011.43713 rushing TDs
Wk 4W 29-20vs South Carolina221386.3138
Wk 5W 42-6vs Massachusetts241305.43183 rushing TDs
Wk 7L 24-27vs Alabama12524.3011
Wk 8W 23-17@ Auburn24582.4217
Wk 9L 10-17@ Vanderbilt20974.9017
Wk 11L 17-38vs Texas A&M131098.4145
Wk 12W 49-27vs Mississippi State2530012.0372Season-high 300 yds
Wk 13L 6-17@ Oklahoma17573.4020
Wk 14W 31-17@ Arkansas271575.8153157-yard day
BowlL 7-13vs Virginia15895.9043
Total25616496.51672

How he plays

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

79All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (99th). Strength: carries (99th). Concern: rec yards (14th).

Rush yards#2 / 349 · 100th pct
1649rush
Carries#3 / 349 · 99th pct
256rush
Rush TDs#4 / 349 · 99th pct
16rush
Yards / carry#31 / 349 · 91st pct
6.4rush
Long run#48 / 349 · 86th pct
72rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Receptions#253 / 338 · 23rd pct
6rece
Rec yards#289 / 338 · 14th pct
22rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

PLAY STYLE

Hardy is contact balance personified. The defining number is the one he led the nation in -- 1,181 yards after contact -- and our play-by-play backs the whole package: an 87th-percentile rushing-touchdown rate (he finishes), an 81st-percentile EPA per carry, and a 71st-percentile yards-per-carry on genuine workhorse volume. He runs behind his pads, keeps his legs churning through arm tackles, and turns would-be three-yard gains into seven. He's not purely a track-speed home-run hitter -- his explosive-run rate is good, not elite (70th percentile) -- which makes the production all the more impressive: this is yards won by force, not just by speed. He's a downhill, between-the-tackles hammer who gets stronger as the game wears on, the kind of back an offense can lean its whole identity on.

2026 Outlook

Returning to Missouri for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Missouri · editorial

Returning around him

  • 20% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 6 Missouri players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (30 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Doak Walker

Missouri · Last season: 8-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #22 · 2026 recruiting class #20

Perception vs tape

Ahmad Hardy led the Power Four in rushing and the entire country in yards after contact. PFF calls him the No. 1 returning running back in college football. The tackle that brings him down on first contact mostly doesn't exist.

In 2025 he ran for 1,648 yards — the most by any Power Four back — and 16 touchdowns, and he did it the hard way: a nation-leading 1,181 yards after contact, the signature of a runner defenses simply can't bring down on first touch. He's a transfer-up story too, a former Sun Belt Freshman of the Year at ULM who carried his production straight into the SEC. Now PFF ranks him the No. 1 returning running back in the sport. The forward stakes are individual hardware and a Missouri offense built around him: in a year without an obvious skill-position Heisman favorite, the Power Four's leading returning rusher is exactly the kind of non-quarterback dark horse who can crash the race. For Hardy, 2026 is the year the best-kept secret becomes the headline.

How he plays

Hardy is contact balance personified. The defining number is the one he led the nation in — 1,181 yards after contact — and our play-by-play backs the whole package: an 87th-percentile rushing-touchdown rate (he finishes), an 81st-percentile EPA per carry, and a 71st-percentile yards-per-carry on genuine workhorse volume. He runs behind his pads, keeps his legs churning through arm tackles, and turns would-be three-yard gains into seven. He's not purely a track-speed home-run hitter — his explosive-run rate is good, not elite (70th percentile) — which makes the production all the more impressive: this is yards won by force, not just by speed. He's a downhill, between-the-tackles hammer who gets stronger as the game wears on, the kind of back an offense can lean its whole identity on.

2026 outlook · as of 2026-06-13

DNA match

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to DeWayne McBride’s 2022 season.

DeWayne McBride

67%match

UAB · 2022

All-Conference USANFL Rd 7
#2

Abram Smith

Baylor · 2021

All-Big 12
66%
#3

Blake Corum

Michigan · 2022

Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 3 · Pk 19
66%
#4

Oscar Adaway III

North Texas · 2020

58%
#5

Mohamed Ibrahim

Minnesota · 2022

All-Big Ten
62%

Matches DeWayne on

Yards / carry
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from DeWayne on

Height (lower)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Elijah Mitchell’s path through Louisiana.

Elijah Mitchell

99%match

Louisiana · 2020

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 6
#2

DeSean Bishop

Tennessee · 2025

93%
#3

Jordan James

Oregon · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 5
93%
#4

Abram Smith

Baylor · 2021

All-Big 12
90%
#5

Samuel Singleton

Florida State · 2025

89%

Matches Elijah on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Kenneth Walker's sophomore season at Michigan State (2021).

Kenneth Walker

78%match

Michigan State · 2021

#2

DeWayne McBride

UAB · 2021

All-Conference USANFL Rd 7
67%
#3

Abram Smith

Baylor · 2021

All-Big 12
66%
#4

Jaylen Wright

Tennessee · 2022

NFL Rd 4
64%
#5

B.J. Baylor

Oregon State · 2021

63%

Matches Kenneth on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Receiving share

Differs from Kenneth on

Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (lower)

Peer comparator

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Ahmad HardyMissouriEvan DickensLiberty· 88% simJalen BuckleyWestern Michigan· 83% simLucky SuttonSan Diego State· 82% sim
Rush yards
100
Hardy
97
Dickens
89
Buckley
96
Sutton
Carries
99
Hardy
96
Dickens
88
Buckley
99
Sutton
Rush TDs
99
Hardy
99
Dickens
87
Buckley
89
Sutton
Yards / carry
91
Hardy
82
Dickens
74
Buckley
58
Sutton
Long run
86
Hardy
99
Dickens
81
Buckley
58
Sutton
Fumbles lost
49
Hardy
49
Dickens
49
Buckley
Receptions
23
Hardy
23
Dickens
49
Buckley
18
Sutton
Rec yards
14
Hardy
45
Dickens
43
Buckley
1
Sutton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.