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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ryan Montgomery /Cincinnati

Ryan Montgomery

RB · Cincinnati · Sr · #22

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSCincinnati 2023 alumnus

RB · CINCINNATI · BIG 12

Ryan Montgomery

  • 4
  • #22
  • 5-10 | 205 lb
  • Franklin, OH

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#854

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2023
3122021
2702022
3292023

+5%

Modest growth (5%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1126 national
CFB
College
Cincinnati
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey22
Measurements5-10 | 205 lb
HometownFranklin, OH
Primary teamCincinnati

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1126 recruit
Composite rating 0.8477 HighSchool
Signed with Cincinnati 2018
Origin Franklin Franklin, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8477 No. 1126 recruit | HighSchool | Cincinnati

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#854Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1217Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Cincinnati

Composite

0.8477

#1126 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ryan Montgomery

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ryan Montgomery

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ryan Montgomery's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Cincinnati, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #854 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 16 return yds

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 420 329 rush | 91 rec | #246/735 (67th pct)
Rush TD 1 54 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 6.1 Per-rush efficiency | #104/735 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
54 60th
YDS
329 67th
YPC
6.1 86th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
11 65th
YDS
91 66th
YPR
8.3 65th
TD
2 97th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Cincinnati13-0HC: Luke Fickell · Run-leaning
2022Cincinnati9-4HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
2023Cincinnati3-9HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023Cincinnati543296.11--
2022Cincinnati632704.35--
2021Cincinnati463126.83--
Career3 loaded seasons1639115.69--
SeasonTeam
2023Cincinnati11918.32--
2022Cincinnati46516.20--
2021Cincinnati6427.01--
Career3 loaded seasons211989.43--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 11 91 rec yds | #195/552 (65th pct)
Usage 8.0% 13.0% rush share | #387/738 (48th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.33 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #3/362 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 329 #246/735 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.1 #104/735 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 11 #195/552 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 91 #185/548 66th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.33 #3/362 99th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 45 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 8.0% #387/738 48th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 54 #300/739 60th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 29 #303/733 59th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 25 #166/540 69th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.3 #193/548 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Punt return yards 16 #21/27 26th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return avg 8.0 #16/27 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Punt returns 2 #18/29 41st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 13.0% #400/738 46th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 9.0% #385/738 48th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.3% #415/738 44th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.3% #415/738 44th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.2% #336/738 55th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.0% #439/738 41st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.5% #359/738 51st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback—
awaiting
CPOE—
awaiting
Success rate—
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)—
awaiting
aDOT—
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy—
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack—
awaiting
3rd-down EPA—
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate—
awaiting
Play-action EPA—
awaiting
Scramble EPA—
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate—
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Satterfield

Pass share

47.8%

363 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

58.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.6%

266 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Luke Fickell
Cincinnati
2022
Luke Fickell
Cincinnati
2023
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Luke Fickell → Scott Satterfield. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFranklin, OH
Height5'10"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Cincinnati RB4 #854 #1217 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Cincinnati RB4 #736 #726 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 Cincinnati RB4 #170 #113 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Cincinnati Big 12 RB 4 No. 22 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Franklin, OH
2022 Cincinnati American Athletic RB 4 No. 22 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Franklin, OH
2021 Cincinnati American Athletic RB 4 No. 22 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Franklin, OH