cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryson Washington /Baylor

Bryson Washington

RB · Baylor · So · #30

The Long Memoryas of 2026-06-22

Bryson Washington is the Baylor name rival fanbases love to root against.

788RUSH YDS6RUSH TD154CARRIES

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-17

perception vs production percentile · 2025

Opposing fanbases keep circling back to him — the fixation says plenty.

medium confidence2 sources

Rival boards can't stop bringing him up — a 81st-percentile name against 64th-percentile tape. Fear dressed up as mockery?

Read the story so far

He lines up at RB for Baylor.

On the field, the headline is 788 rush yds, with 6 rush td.

Opposing fanbases keep circling back to him — the fixation says plenty.

The number to watch: -17 — perception above tape · pctl gap.

Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • perception vs production percentile · 2025
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes
  • compiled from tagged fan discourse

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Baylor for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Baylor for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Baylor · editorial

Returning around him

  • 82% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Baylor players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (31 in / 32 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Doak Walker

Baylor · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #35 · 2026 recruiting class #36

RB · BAYLOR · BIG 12

Bryson Washington

  • 2
  • #30
  • 6-0 | 216 lb
  • Franklin, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 81st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#77

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape +17aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 80th percentile of RBs; the tape says 63rd — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception80th pctl
Production — on-field63rd pctl
n=8 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing
In Their Words 330 windows · 2025 fan posts
bryson×52.4auburn×16.7running×14.8baylor×29.8back×8.1washington×15.3breakout×93.6cobb×74.9

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Baylor · RB

2024

Baylor · RB

2025

Baylor · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
45.02023
1,0282024
7882025

+1651%

Up 1651% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Baylor
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey30
Measurements6-0 | 216 lb
HometownFranklin, TX
Primary teamBaylor

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#77Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#127Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (788).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryson Washington

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

75

Grounded Optimism

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +75 · "Very disappointing to lose Bryson Washington. But with Dawson Pendergrass coming"Own fansRivals: 8 mentions · belief +19 · "si.com ‘Let’s Win a Natty:’ Why Byrum Brown is High on Auburn’s Team Chemistry B"RivalsNational: 3 mentions · belief +25 · "Welcome to the 2025 Big 12 Uniform Season Review! What a roller coaster season i"National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • Rivals · n=8
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryson Washington

Obsession score 5
Rival mentions 8
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 4 mentions
Grudging respect 25% Neutral 75% Mockery 0%

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.160

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #29 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 57th

Why it matters

#29 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.160 EPA/carry on 130 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.160 (57th)

HIGH · n=130 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#30 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#26 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
788Rush yards
154Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
65.7Rush yards
13Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
853.7Rush yards
167Carries
6Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 788.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 788): needs 212/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 788): needs 712/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 14/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Bryson Washington already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #77 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 18.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 881 788 rush | 93 rec | #68/735 (91st pct)
Rush TD 6 154 carries | #83/739 (89th pct)
Yards/carry 5.1 Per-rush efficiency | #257/735 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
154 91st
YDS
788 91st
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
6 89th

Receiving

REC
18 83rd
YDS
93 67th
YPR
5.2 28th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-38vs Auburn14543.9018
Wk 2W 48-45@ SMU311153.7215
Wk 3W 42-7vs Samford211356.4231Season-high 135 yds
Wk 4L 24-27vs Arizona State171116.5041
Wk 5W 45-27@ Oklahoma State10777.7119
Wk 6W 35-34vs Kansas State9657.2018
Wk 8L 36-42@ TCU11232.116
Wk 9L 20-41@ Cincinnati7233.306
Wk 10W 30-3vs UCF9212.305
Wk 12L 28-55vs Utah14976.9040
Wk 13L 17-41@ Arizona9515.7012
Wk 14L 24-31vs Houston2168.0011
Total1547885.3641
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Baylor3-9HC: Dave Aranda · Balanced
2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor1547885.16--
2024Baylor1751,0285.912--
2023Baylor10454.50--
Career3 loaded seasons3391,8615.518--
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor18935.21--
2024Baylor222179.91--
2023Baylor111.00--
Career3 loaded seasons413117.62--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 18 93 rec yds | #96/552 (83rd pct)
Usage 18.9% 40.1% rush share | #103/738 (86th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.16 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #111/362 (70th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 788 #68/735 91st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 6 #83/739 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #257/735 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 18 #96/552 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 93 #180/548 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.16 #111/362 70th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 130 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 18.9% #103/738 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 154 #66/739 91st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 41 #225/733 69th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 12 #365/540 33rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.2 #395/548 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 40.1% #63/738 92nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 21.0% #109/738 85th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 20.4% #134/738 82nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 20.1% #92/738 88th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.1% #90/738 88th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.1% #82/738 89th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.8% #172/738 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #254/256 1st pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g71.35.90.3
Road5g57.84.50.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins5g82.65.51.0
Losses7g53.65.20.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g92.85.90.8
Weeks 8+6g38.54.70.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

62Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (81st). Strength: rush yards (80th). Concern: fumbles lost (0th).

Carries#66 / 349 · 81st pct
154rush
Rush yards#68 / 349 · 81st pct
788rush
Rush TDs#83 / 349 · 72nd pct
6rush
Receptions#93 / 338 · 71st pct
18rece
Yards / carry#139 / 349 · 58th pct
5.1rush
Rec yards#163 / 338 · 51st pct
93rece
Long run#196 / 349 · 43rd pct
41rush
Fumbles lost#199 / 201 · 1st pct
4fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.16Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Bryson WashingtonBaylorKamari MoultonIowa· 93% simJevyon DuckerTemple· 90% simJevon JacksonUAB· 88% sim
Carries
81
Washington
86
Moulton
83
Ducker
85
Jackson
Rush yards
81
Washington
84
Moulton
81
Ducker
85
Jackson
Rush TDs
72
Washington
62
Moulton
80
Ducker
62
Jackson
Receptions
71
Washington
63
Moulton
82
Ducker
75
Jackson
Yards / carry
58
Washington
62
Moulton
62
Ducker
68
Jackson
Rec yards
51
Washington
53
Moulton
56
Ducker
61
Jackson
Long run
43
Washington
33
Moulton
66
Ducker
70
Jackson
Fumbles lost
1
Washington

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tank Bigsby’s 2021 season.

Tank Bigsby

82%match

Auburn · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 25
#2

Kaytron Allen

Penn State · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 6
81%
#3

Owen Allen

Air Force · 2025

75%
#4

SaRodorick Thompson

Texas Tech · 2022

77%
#5

Ikaika Ragsdale

North Texas · 2022

76%

Matches Tank on

Rush TD rate
EPA / carry (adj)
Weight

Differs from Tank on

Yards / reception (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Asim Rose’s path through Kentucky.

Asim Rose

100%match

Kentucky · 2020

#2

Calvin Turner

Hawai'i · 2020

All-Mountain West
97%
#3

Zamir White

Georgia · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 4
97%
#4

Trey Ragas

Louisiana · 2020

All-Sun Belt
96%
#5

Nykahi Davenport

South Florida · 2025

96%

Matches Asim on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Rueben Owens II's junior season at Texas A&M (2025).

Rueben Owens II

75%match

Texas A&M · 2025

#2

Caleb Komolafe

Northwestern · 2025

73%
#3

Carson Hansen

Iowa State · 2025

All-Big 12
73%
#4

Tank Bigsby

Auburn · 2022

All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 25
70%
#5

Will Shipley

Clemson · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 4
70%

Matches Rueben on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Yards / carry

Differs from Rueben on

Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Pass share

55.5%

510 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

76.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

417 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2024
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2025
Dave Aranda
Baylor

Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFranklin, TX
Height6'0"
Weight216 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey30

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big 12 all_conference Baylor | Big 12 RB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Baylor RB2 #77 #127 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Baylor RB2 #2884 #3391 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Baylor Big 12 RB 2 No. 30 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Franklin, TX
2024 Baylor Big 12 RB 2 No. 30 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Franklin, TX
2023 Baylor Big 12 RB 2 No. 30 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Franklin, TX