cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sedrick Alexander /Vanderbilt

Sedrick Alexander

RB · Vanderbilt · Jr · #28

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

570 RUSH YDS · 11 RUSH TD · 106 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Vanderbilt for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Vanderbilt for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Vanderbilt

Returning around him

  • 86% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Vanderbilt player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (18 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Vanderbilt · Last season: 10-3 (AP #13) · Talent rank #55 · 2026 recruiting class #76

RB · VANDERBILT · SEC

Sedrick Alexander

  • 3
  • #28
  • 5-9 | 200 lb
  • Austin, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

72

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 92nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#172

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
3702023
5862024
5702025

+54%

Up 54% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#733 national
CFB
College
Vanderbilt
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey28
Measurements5-9 | 200 lb
HometownAustin, TX
Primary teamVanderbilt

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 733 recruit
Composite rating 0.8744 HighSchool
Signed with Vanderbilt 2023
Origin LBJ Austin, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8744 No. 733 recruit | HighSchool | Vanderbilt

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#172Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#248Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (570).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Vanderbilt

Composite

0.8744

#733 national

Today’s Hot-Take

+0.310 rushing wepa per carry — #4 in a 66-RB cohort, 95th percentile in the modern era.

Rank #4Cohort p4_plus_nd_rbs (P4 + Notre Dame RBs)Sample n=97Percentile 95

Anti-Take

EFFICIENCY

Efficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.

The Room on Sedrick Alexander

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "Post-Spring Vanderbilt Football Depth Chart Preview: Sedrick Alexander and The R"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "CURRENT CLASS RANK (7) PLAYER POS RATING HT WT ST POS RK O/A RK Grade Oluwasemil"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=4
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sedrick Alexander

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.310

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #4 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 95th

Why it matters

#4 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.310 EPA/carry on 97 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.310 (95th)

MODERATE · n=97 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#22 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#43 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
570Rush yards
106Carries
11Rush TDs
Per game
43.8Rush yards
8Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
570Rush yards
106Carries
11Rush TDs

✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sedrick Alexander's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Vanderbilt, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #172 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 770 570 rush | 200 rec | #128/735 (83rd pct)
Rush TD 11 106 carries | #27/739 (96th pct)
Yards/carry 5.4 Per-rush efficiency | #206/735 (72nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
106 81st
YDS
570 83rd
YPC
5.4 72nd
TD
11 96th

Receiving

REC
19 86th
YDS
200 90th
YPR
10.5 81st
TD
4 100th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-3vs Charleston Southern12836.9018
Wk 2W 44-20@ Virginia Tech10737.3221
Wk 3W 31-7@ South Carolina13413.2115
Wk 4W 70-21vs Georgia State3134.319
Wk 5W 55-35vs Utah State8334.109
Wk 6L 14-30@ Alabama47619.0165
Wk 8W 31-24vs LSU14453.2112
Wk 9W 17-10vs Missouri10272.704
Wk 10L 31-34@ Texas5112.205
Wk 11W 45-38vs Auburn10393.9210
Wk 13W 45-17vs Kentucky471.804
Wk 14W 45-24@ Tennessee1011511.5339Season-high 115 yds
BowlL 27-34vs Iowa372.303
Total1065705.61165
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Vanderbilt2-10HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Vanderbilt7-6HC: Clark Lea · Run-heavy
2025Vanderbilt10-3HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Vanderbilt1065705.411--
2024Vanderbilt1645863.66--
2023Vanderbilt963703.94--
Career3 loaded seasons3661,5264.221--
SeasonTeam
2025Vanderbilt1920010.54--
2024Vanderbilt2323810.31--
2023Vanderbilt181337.40--
Career3 loaded seasons605719.55--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 19 200 rec yds | #78/552 (86th pct)
Usage 14.9% 25.2% rush share | #181/738 (76th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.31 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #7/362 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 570 #128/735 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 11 #27/739 96th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.4 #206/735 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 19 #78/552 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 200 #58/548 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.31 #7/362 98th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 97 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 14.9% #181/738 76th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 106 #145/739 81st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 65 #81/733 89th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 26 #157/540 71st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.5 #104/548 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #2/552 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 25.2% #177/738 76th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 17.1% #186/738 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 16.4% #201/738 73rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.8% #185/738 75th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.7% #214/738 71st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.2% #232/738 69th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.8% #126/738 83rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home8g31.83.60.5
Road5g63.28.61.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins10g47.64.91.0
Losses3g31.37.80.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g46.66.70.7
Weeks 8+6g40.74.21.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

72Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (91st). Strength: rec yards (83rd).

Rush TDs#27 / 349 · 92nd pct
11rush
Rec yards#55 / 338 · 84th pct
200rece
Long run#75 / 349 · 78th pct
65rush
Receptions#77 / 338 · 75th pct
19rece
Yards / carry#108 / 349 · 68th pct
5.4rush
Rush yards#128 / 349 · 63rd pct
570rush
Carries#145 / 349 · 58th pct
106rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.31Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Sedrick AlexanderVanderbiltJoe JacksonKansas State· 84% simJevyon DuckerTemple· 83% simBo JacksonOhio State· 82% sim
Rush TDs
92
Alexander
84
Jackson
80
Ducker
72
Jackson
Rec yards
84
Alexander
63
Jackson
56
Ducker
84
Jackson
Long run
78
Alexander
93
Jackson
66
Ducker
76
Jackson
Receptions
75
Alexander
81
Jackson
82
Ducker
75
Jackson
Yards / carry
68
Alexander
68
Jackson
62
Ducker
87
Jackson
Rush yards
63
Alexander
86
Jackson
81
Ducker
93
Jackson
Carries
58
Alexander
86
Jackson
83
Ducker
88
Jackson
Fumbles lost
49
Alexander
49
Jackson
49
Jackson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Isaiah Ifanse’s 2023 season.

Isaiah Ifanse

70%match

California · 2023

#2

Daijun Edwards

Georgia · 2023

70%
#3

La'Damian Webb

South Alabama · 2022

All-Sun Belt
64%
#4

Max Borghi

Washington State · 2021

64%
#5

Nelson Smith

Navy · 2020

52%

Matches Isaiah on

Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Isaiah on

Yards / reception (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Receiving share (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Tre Siggers’s path through Incarnate Word.

Tre Siggers

92%match

Incarnate Word · 2023

#2

Cole Tabb

Stanford · 2025

92%
#3

Kenan Christon II

San Diego State · 2023

92%
#4

Marcus Williams Jr.

Louisiana Tech · 2021

89%
#5

Darius Wilson

William & Mary · 2024

88%

Matches Tre on

Height
Yards per carry
Weight

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jemel Jones's junior season at Army (2022).

Jemel Jones

73%match

Army · 2022

#2

Trevor Etienne

Georgia · 2024

All-SECNFL Rd 4
62%
#3

Garrett Greene

West Virginia · 2022

58%
#4

Jake Retzlaff

Tulane · 2025

55%
#5

Josh Williams

LSU · 2022

56%

Matches Jemel on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Height

Differs from Jemel on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Clark Lea

Pass share

50.4%

400 pass / 394 run

Plays / game

61.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

274 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
2024
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
2025
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt

Played his entire career under Clark Lea.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAustin, TX
Height5'9"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Vanderbilt RB3 #172 #248 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Vanderbilt RB3 #1016 #1573 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Vanderbilt SEC RB 3 No. 28 | 5-9 | 200 lb | Austin, TX
2024 Vanderbilt SEC RB 3 No. 28 | 5-9 | 200 lb | Austin, TX
2023 Vanderbilt SEC RB 3 No. 28 | 5-9 | 200 lb | Austin, TX