Delaware at Vanderbilt

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Delaware
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Sat, Sep 12 · 8:15 PM · FirstBank Stadium

Fan take

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

Delaware · 7-6

Picked #39 in the preseason · now #51.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 7-point win over Louisiana as a 1.5-point underdog.

W 20–13 vs Louisiana #120 of 668

won by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 61–31 vs UTEP #209 of 668

won by 30 as a 4.5-point favorite

L 14–52 @ Wake Forest #46 of 668

lost by 38 as a 17.5-point underdog

L 23–26 @ Sam Houston #209 of 668

lost by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 25–24 vs Louisiana Tech #100 of 668

won by 1 as a 5.5-point underdog

L 30–59 @ Liberty #72 of 668

lost by 29 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 31–28 vs Middle Tennessee #167 of 668

won by 3 as a 8-point favorite

L 25–38 @ Jacksonville State #88 of 668

lost by 13 as a 3-point favorite

L 24–27 vs Western Kentucky #98 of 668

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 38–16 @ Florida International #125 of 668

won by 22 as a 5.5-point underdog

W 44–41 vs UConn #66 of 668

won by 3 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 7–31 @ Colorado #101 of 668

lost by 24 as a 23.5-point underdog

W 35–17 vs Delaware State #219 of 668

won by 18 as a 30.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Vanderbilt · 10-3

Picked #44 in the preseason · now #47 — about right.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 21-point win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog.

L 27–34 vs IowaTop 25 #18 of 668

lost by 7 as a 3-point favorite

W 45–24 @ TennesseeTop 25 #24 of 668

won by 21 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 45–17 vs Kentucky #58 of 668

won by 28 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 45–38 vs AuburnTop 25 #32 of 668

won by 7 as a 5.5-point favorite

L 31–34 @ TexasTop 25 #16 of 668

lost by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 17–10 vs MissouriTop 25 #20 of 668

won by 7 as a 3-point favorite

W 31–24 vs LSUTop 25 #15 of 668

won by 7 as a 1.5-point favorite

L 14–30 @ AlabamaTop 25 #4 of 668

lost by 16 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 55–35 vs Utah State #110 of 668

won by 20 as a 24.5-point favorite

W 70–21 vs Georgia State #157 of 668

won by 49 as a 26.5-point favorite

W 31–7 @ South CarolinaTop 25 #37 of 668

won by 24 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 44–20 @ Virginia Tech #47 of 668

won by 24 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 45–3 vs Charleston Southern #184 of 668

won by 42 as a 38.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Make the CFP field

Delaware · 1%1% → 1% if win1% → 0% if loss
Vanderbilt · 6%6% → 8% if win6% → 4% if loss

Win the conference

Delaware · 15%15% → 11% if win15% → 10% if loss
Vanderbilt · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

Win it all

Delaware · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss
Vanderbilt · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

CFP odds as of September 13, 2026

The series

Vanderbilt leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2026 · Vanderbilt won the last meeting

  • 2026Vanderbilt 35–26

Best players

Delaware

Vanderbilt

The line, and the room

Delaware fans are feeling better about their season (45th percentile) than Vanderbilt fans are (12th) — even with Vanderbilt favored here.

  • Model · 57%
  • Market · 95%
  • Vanderbilt fans · 12th
  • Delaware fans · 45th

Home −20.5 · O/U 54.5

Conditions

87°F · 6 mph wind · Rain Shower

Vanderbilt is worth +1.1 points (±4.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom tenth of FBS, 6th percentile.

41% at home, 24% on the road against FBS opponents (19–27 home, 10–31 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.4 at home vs. away over 74 games — inside the ±7.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 650 miles to get here.

Delaware 26 – Vanderbilt 35

Vanderbilt 35: 57%Delaware 26: 43%

Called it — picked Vanderbilt to win.

The thread's loudest minute was 21:576 comments, 6.0× its usual pace.

6019:1521:3023:45

comments / minute

Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 19:15–23:45 UTC (169 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.

  • BoxThe line

    Miles Capers (Vanderbilt): 7 tackles · 4 TFL · 1 sack

    Top 1% tackles for loss game since 2021.

Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.

Recent games

Vanderbilt

  • Wk 1Wvs Austin Peay28-9

Delaware

  • Wk 1Wvs Merrimack42-7

Trajectory

5.183.421.67Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2DelawareVanderbilt

Vanderbilt beat Delaware 35-26 — exactly what the pregame pick had.