Delaware beats Coastal Carolina 22-14

Coastal Carolina1-214
Delaware2-122Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Delaware Stadium, Newark, Del. · Crowd 17,937CBS Sports Network

Delaware beat Coastal Carolina 22-14.

We had Delaware favored. It won.

How it swung

The turning point: Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to Wilson, Delaware leads 22-14 (Q4, 8:19). Delaware went from 67% to 90% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Delaware a 91% chance, and the closing betting line (Delaware was a 4.5-point favorite) put it at 64%.

The edge changed hands 6 times before Delaware won it.

Up to 69% in the second quarter, then Coastal Carolina lost it.

FinalDelaware 22-14 Coastal CarolinaDelaware wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q469% at halfDelawareLowest 31%Won22-1412+21+23Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q469% at halfDelawareLowest 31%Won22-1412Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q431% at halfDelawareHigh 69%Lost14-2212−21−23Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q431% at halfDelawareHigh 69%Lost14-2212Scores

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q2 0:35Silver 2-yd TD run, two-point try good, Delaware goes ahead 15-14Delaware 49% → 70% (+21)
  2. 2Q4 8:19Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to Wilson, Delaware leads 22-14Delaware 67% → 90% (+23)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q2 0:35Silver 2-yd TD run, two-point try good, Delaware goes ahead 15-14Coastal Carolina 51% → 30% (−21)
  2. 2Q4 8:19Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to Wilson, Delaware leads 22-14Coastal Carolina 33% → 10% (−23)
Delaware’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Delaware -4.5), at 74% for Delaware (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Delaware’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 7:51Bailey 62-yd TD pass to LawrenceCoastal Carolina goes ahead 7-0Q1, 7:51 · Delaware 0, Coastal Carolina 7▼19%Delaware’s chance to win, 64% to 45%▼19%Delaware’s chance to win, 64% to 45%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  2. Q1, 4:46Bailey sacked for a 2-yd lossfumblesQ1, 4:46 · Delaware 0, Coastal Carolina 7▲12%Delaware’s chance to win, 35% to 47%▲12%Delaware’s chance to win, 35% to 47%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  3. Q2, 12:38Minicucci 40-yd TD pass to Wilsonties it 7-7Q2, 12:38 · Delaware 7, Coastal Carolina 7▲13%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 62%▲13%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 62%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  4. Q2, 8:19Bailey 27-yd TD pass to HintonCoastal Carolina goes ahead 14-7Q2, 8:19 · Delaware 7, Coastal Carolina 14▼12%Delaware’s chance to win, 54% to 42%▼12%Delaware’s chance to win, 54% to 42%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  5. Q2, 2:09Bailey sacked for a 13-yd lossQ2, 2:09 · Delaware 7, Coastal Carolina 14▲10%Delaware’s chance to win, 31% to 41%▲10%Delaware’s chance to win, 31% to 41%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  6. Q2, 0:35Silver 2-yd TD run, two-point try goodDelaware goes ahead 15-14Q2, 0:35 · Delaware 15, Coastal Carolina 14▲21%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 70%▲21%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 70%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  7. Q3, 10:18Bailey sacked for a 7-yd lossQ3, 10:18 · Delaware 15, Coastal Carolina 14▲3%Delaware’s chance to win, 68% to 71%▲3%Delaware’s chance to win, 68% to 71%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  8. Q4, 12:29Bailey 16-yd pass to WashingtonfumbledQ4, 12:29 · Delaware 15, Coastal Carolina 1415-14score after the play15-14score after the playWatch from this playCBS Sports College Football
  9. Q4, 8:19Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to WilsonDelaware leads 22-14Q4, 8:19 · Delaware 22, Coastal Carolina 14▲23%Delaware’s chance to win, 67% to 90%▲23%Delaware’s chance to win, 67% to 90%Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football

Every drive

Delaware scored on 3 of its 11 drives; Coastal Carolina on 2 of its 10.

Delaware’s drives are teal, Coastal Carolina’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Delaware: Punt, from 75 yards out to 50PuntCoastal Carolina: Touchdown, from 95 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntCoastal Carolina: Fumble, from 80 yards out to 32FumbleDelaware: Punt, from 68 yards out to 51PuntCoastal Carolina: Punt, from 85 yards out to 88PuntQ2Delaware: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownCoastal Carolina: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware: Turned over on downs, from 78 yards out to 20DownsCoastal Carolina: Punt, from 80 yards out to 79PuntDelaware: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownCoastal Carolina: End of half, from 81 yards out to 51End of halfQ3Coastal Carolina: Punt, from 75 yards out to 49PuntDelaware: Punt, from 80 yards out to 38PuntCoastal Carolina: Punt, from 93 yards out to 90PuntDelaware: Punt, from 63 yards out to 45PuntQ4Coastal Carolina: Punt, from 99 yards out to 53PuntDelaware: Punt, from 96 yards out to 78PuntDelaware: Touchdown, from 36 yards out to 0TouchdownCoastal Carolina: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 13DownsDelaware: End of game, from 87 yards out to 41End of game

From Coastal Carolina’s side

Coastal Carolina’s best moment: Bailey 62-yd TD pass to Lawrence, Coastal Carolina goes ahead 7-0 (Q1 7:51). It lifted Coastal Carolina’s win chance by 19 points.

What it cost

Delaware’s chance to make the playoff fell from 1% to 0%.

Make the playoff

Coastal Carolina · lost0% → 0%
Delaware · won1% → ▼0%

Win the conference

Coastal Carolina · lost3% → ▼0%
Delaware · won15% → ▼0%15%▼ 0%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Delaware 22, Coastal Carolina 14

Delaware covered −4.5 by 3.5. The total, 36, stayed under 56.5.

Coastal CarolinaDelawareTotal yardsCoastal Carolina 385Delaware 395385395Passing yardsCoastal Carolina 250Delaware 302250302Rushing yardsCoastal Carolina 135Delaware 9313593First downsCoastal Carolina 21Delaware 222122TurnoversCoastal Carolina 2Delaware 020Time of possessionCoastal Carolina 27:52Delaware 32:0827:5232:08
Team totalsCoastal CarolinaDelaware
Total yards385395
Passing16 of 26, 250 yds24 of 32, 302 yds
Rushing35 for 135 yds31 for 93 yds
First downs2122
Third down6 of 125 of 12
Fourth down0 of 10 of 1
Turnovers20
Penalties5 for 30 yds3 for 35 yds
Time of possession27:5232:08

Coastal Carolina leaders

  • Passing Deuce Bailey 16 of 26, 250 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Jevon Edwards 14 for 49 yds; Dominic Knicely 9 for 44 yds
  • Receiving Goldie Lawrence 1 for 62 yds, 1 TD; Clayton Coppock 2 for 52 yds

Delaware leaders

  • Passing Nick Minicucci 24 of 32, 302 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Viron Ellison Jr. 6 for 30 yds; Jo'Nathan Silver 11 for 28 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Sean Wilson 9 for 185 yds, 2 TD; Da'Wain Lofton 6 for 52 yds

No rain and calm

74° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the east, gusts to 20

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Delaware favoredCoastal Carolina favored100%Win chanceDelawareRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Delaware favoredCoastal Carolina favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 8:19 left2:17 p.m.
Coastal Carolina 14, Delaware 22 · Delaware 90% to win
no rain · wind 5 mph from the east · 77°
Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to Wilson, Delaware leads 22-14

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Wilmington Airport, 7.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Coastal Carolina · 1-1

Rated 231st in our preseason ratings, 186th now, up 45 spots.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last two games

Delaware · 1-1

Rated 41st in our preseason ratings, 41st now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Delaware

Wk 1: W 42-7 vs Merrimack▲35MerrimackWk 2: L 26-35 at Vanderbilt▼9Vanderbilt
  • Wk 1Wvs Merrimack42-7
  • Wk 2Lat Vanderbilt26-35

Coastal Carolina

Wk 1: L 24-31 at West Virginia▼7West VirginiaWk 2: W 45-7 vs Fordham▲38Fordham
  • Wk 1Lat West Virginia24-31
  • Wk 2Wvs Fordham45-7

Power rating by week

Delaware is rated 12.1 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

7-3-13Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2DelawareCoastal Carolina

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Coastal Carolina’s explosive plays against Delaware, 65 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Coastal Carolina’s explosive plays against Delaware’s defense

    65 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Coastal Carolina offense, 89th percentile · Delaware defense, 24th

  2. Delaware’s passing EPA against Coastal Carolina’s defense

    30 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Delaware offense, 38th percentile · Coastal Carolina defense, 8th

  3. Coastal Carolina’s EPA/play against Delaware’s defense

    22 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Coastal Carolina offense, 47th percentile · Delaware defense, 25th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Coastal CarolinaDelaware
EPA/play, offense
Coastal Carolina · 47Delaware · 38
EPA/play, defense
Coastal Carolina · 27Delaware · 25
Success rate, offense
Coastal Carolina · 32Delaware · 30
Success rate, defense
Coastal Carolina · 10Delaware · 31
Explosive-play rate, offense
Coastal Carolina · 89Delaware · 65
Explosive-play rate, defense
Coastal Carolina · 81Delaware · 24
Rush EPA, offense
Coastal Carolina · 52Delaware · 44
Rush EPA, defense
Coastal Carolina · 35Delaware · 55
Pass EPA, offense
Coastal Carolina · 50Delaware · 38
Pass EPA, defense
Coastal Carolina · 8Delaware · 28

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Delaware fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (78th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

  • Model · 91%
  • Line · 64%
  • Delaware fans · 78th
  • Coastal Carolina fans · 85th

Delaware favored by 4.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Delaware by 4.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The total fell 2 points.

opened 58.5now 56.5

Total: 58.5 → 56.5

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 77° at kickoff.

Coastal Carolina at Delaware · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Delaware Stadium, Newark

  • 77°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 91weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's eight kickoff times. At Delaware Stadium that day, a 6 pm, 7:30 pm or 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 91 at noon.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • noon: 91, Comfortable (this game)
  • 1 pm: 91, Comfortable
  • 2 pm: 92, Comfortable
  • 3:30 pm: 98, Comfortable
  • 4 pm: 99, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 7:45 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Delaware is worth +9.8 points (±7.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.

60% at home, 14% on the road against FBS opponents (6-4 home, 2-12 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.6 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±8.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 444 miles to get here.

Where next