Delaware beats Coastal Carolina 22-14
Team pages: Coastal Carolina · Delaware
Delaware beat Coastal Carolina 22-14. Share this game
We had Delaware favored. It won.
How it swung
The turning point: Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to Wilson, Delaware leads 22-14 (Q4, 8:19). Delaware went from 67% to 90% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Delaware a 91% chance, and the closing betting line (Delaware was a 4.5-point favorite) put it at 64%.
The edge changed hands 6 times before Delaware won it.
Up to 69% in the second quarter, then Coastal Carolina lost it.
Delaware 22-14 Coastal Carolina
Delaware wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
Coastal Carolina 14-22 Delaware
Coastal Carolina lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q2 0:35Silver 2-yd TD run, two-point try good, Delaware goes ahead 15-14Delaware 49% → 70% (+21)
- 2Q4 8:19Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to Wilson, Delaware leads 22-14Delaware 67% → 90% (+23)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q2 0:35Silver 2-yd TD run, two-point try good, Delaware goes ahead 15-14Coastal Carolina 51% → 30% (−21)
- 2Q4 8:19Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to Wilson, Delaware leads 22-14Coastal Carolina 33% → 10% (−23)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Delaware -4.5), at 74% for Delaware (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Watch the plays
The bar and the arrow show Delaware’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Q1, 7:51Bailey 62-yd TD pass to LawrenceCoastal Carolina goes ahead 7-0Q1, 7:51 · Delaware 0, Coastal Carolina 7▼19%Delaware’s chance to win, 64% to 45%▼19%Delaware’s chance to win, 64% to 45%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q1, 4:46Bailey sacked for a 2-yd lossfumblesQ1, 4:46 · Delaware 0, Coastal Carolina 7▲12%Delaware’s chance to win, 35% to 47%▲12%Delaware’s chance to win, 35% to 47%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q2, 12:38Minicucci 40-yd TD pass to Wilsonties it 7-7Q2, 12:38 · Delaware 7, Coastal Carolina 7▲13%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 62%▲13%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 62%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q2, 8:19Bailey 27-yd TD pass to HintonCoastal Carolina goes ahead 14-7Q2, 8:19 · Delaware 7, Coastal Carolina 14▼12%Delaware’s chance to win, 54% to 42%▼12%Delaware’s chance to win, 54% to 42%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q2, 2:09Bailey sacked for a 13-yd lossQ2, 2:09 · Delaware 7, Coastal Carolina 14▲10%Delaware’s chance to win, 31% to 41%▲10%Delaware’s chance to win, 31% to 41%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q2, 0:35Silver 2-yd TD run, two-point try goodDelaware goes ahead 15-14Q2, 0:35 · Delaware 15, Coastal Carolina 14▲21%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 70%▲21%Delaware’s chance to win, 49% to 70%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q3, 10:18Bailey sacked for a 7-yd lossQ3, 10:18 · Delaware 15, Coastal Carolina 14▲3%Delaware’s chance to win, 68% to 71%▲3%Delaware’s chance to win, 68% to 71%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q4, 12:29Bailey 16-yd pass to WashingtonfumbledQ4, 12:29 · Delaware 15, Coastal Carolina 1415-14score after the play15-14score after the play▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Q4, 8:19Minicucci 36-yd TD pass to WilsonDelaware leads 22-14Q4, 8:19 · Delaware 22, Coastal Carolina 14▲23%Delaware’s chance to win, 67% to 90%▲23%Delaware’s chance to win, 67% to 90%▶Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Every drive
Delaware scored on 3 of its 11 drives; Coastal Carolina on 2 of its 10.
Delaware’s drives are teal, Coastal Carolina’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From Coastal Carolina’s side
Coastal Carolina’s best moment: Bailey 62-yd TD pass to Lawrence, Coastal Carolina goes ahead 7-0 (Q1 7:51). It lifted Coastal Carolina’s win chance by 19 points.
What it cost
Delaware’s chance to make the playoff fell from 1% to 0%.
Make the playoff
Win the conference
Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score
Delaware 22, Coastal Carolina 14
Delaware covered −4.5 by 3.5. The total, 36, stayed under 56.5.
| Team totals | Coastal Carolina | Delaware |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 385 | 395 |
| Passing | 16 of 26, 250 yds | 24 of 32, 302 yds |
| Rushing | 35 for 135 yds | 31 for 93 yds |
| First downs | 21 | 22 |
| Third down | 6 of 12 | 5 of 12 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Penalties | 5 for 30 yds | 3 for 35 yds |
| Time of possession | 27:52 | 32:08 |
Coastal Carolina leaders
- Passing Deuce Bailey 16 of 26, 250 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Jevon Edwards 14 for 49 yds; Dominic Knicely 9 for 44 yds
- Receiving Goldie Lawrence 1 for 62 yds, 1 TD; Clayton Coppock 2 for 52 yds
Delaware leaders
- Passing Nick Minicucci 24 of 32, 302 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Viron Ellison Jr. 6 for 30 yds; Jo'Nathan Silver 11 for 28 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Sean Wilson 9 for 185 yds, 2 TD; Da'Wain Lofton 6 for 52 yds
No rain and calm
74° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the east, gusts to 20
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
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Where this weather comes from
Measured at Wilmington Airport, 7.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
Coastal Carolina · 1-1
Rated 231st in our preseason ratings, 186th now, up 45 spots.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Last two games
Delaware · 1-1
Rated 41st in our preseason ratings, 41st now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Week by week
Delaware
- Wk 1Wvs Merrimack42-7
- Wk 2Lat Vanderbilt26-35
Coastal Carolina
- Wk 1Lat West Virginia24-31
- Wk 2Wvs Fordham45-7
Power rating by week
Delaware is rated 12.1 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: Coastal Carolina’s explosive plays against Delaware, 65 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Coastal Carolina’s explosive plays against Delaware’s defense
Coastal Carolina offense, 89th percentile · Delaware defense, 24th
Delaware’s passing EPA against Coastal Carolina’s defense
Delaware offense, 38th percentile · Coastal Carolina defense, 8th
Coastal Carolina’s EPA/play against Delaware’s defense
Coastal Carolina offense, 47th percentile · Delaware defense, 25th
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Delaware fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (78th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
- Model · 91%
- Line · 64%
- Delaware fans · 78th
- Coastal Carolina fans · 85th
Delaware favored by 4.5 · Total 56.5
How games like this usually go
Delaware by 4.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market
The total fell 2 points.
Total: 58.5 → 56.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Warm and dry. Feels like 77° at kickoff.
Coastal Carolina at Delaware · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Delaware Stadium, Newark
- 77°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 91weather score, Comfortable
- Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 8 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's eight kickoff times. At Delaware Stadium that day, a 6 pm, 7:30 pm or 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 91 at noon.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
- noon: 91, Comfortable (this game)
- 1 pm: 91, Comfortable
- 2 pm: 92, Comfortable
- 3:30 pm: 98, Comfortable
- 4 pm: 99, Comfortable
- 6 pm: 100, Ideal
- 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal
- 7:45 pm: 100, Ideal
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Delaware is worth +9.8 points (±7.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.
60% at home, 14% on the road against FBS opponents (6-4 home, 2-12 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.6 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±8.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 444 miles to get here.