The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Holy Cross 10%, Georgetown 35%, Bucknell 46%
Win out 2% · expect 0.9 of 3 more wins
Fordham Rams's chance to win each game left, from our model: Bucknell 46%, Georgetown 35%, Holy Cross 10%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Gunnar Smith 1,276 · Rushing Jamell James 537 · Receiving Ricky Gonzalez II 416 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 8
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | Colgate | L 14-24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Pass Smith 116 · Rush Louis 37 · Rec Gonzalez II 37 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | @North Dakota State | L 0-38 117 | 0-2 | 0-1 | Pass Smith 116 · Rush Louis 23 · Rec Morris 37 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @Coastal Carolina | L 7-45 123 | 0-3 | 0-1 | Pass Smith 101 · Rush Smith 40 · Rec Tracy 56 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @William & Mary | W 52-27 | 1-3 | 1-1 | Pass Smith 141 · Rush Louis 203 · Rec Gonzalez II 41 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | Stony Brook | L 16-31 | 1-4 | 1-1 | Pass Smith 145 · Rush James 114 · Rec Gonzalez II 67 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @Lehigh | L 0-34 | 1-5 | 1-2 | Pass Smith 190 · Rush James 10 · Rec Gonzalez II 56 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | Richmond | W 20-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | Pass Smith 98 · Rush James 80 · Rec Reed 42 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Villanova | L 17-38 | 2-6 | 2-3 | Pass Smith 60 · Rush Louis 115 · Rec Gonzalez II 28 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | Lafayette | L 17-31 | 2-7 | 2-4 | Pass Smith 309 · Rush Louis 43 · Rec Gonzalez II 129 |
| 9 | Bye week | |||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Bucknell | 1 pm ET46% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Georgetown | 12 pm ET35% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Holy Cross | 12 pm ET10% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Fordham Rams, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | Lafayette | L 17-31 | — | — | — | +0.086 | 51.3% | 1.11 | |
| Oct 17 | Villanova | L 17-38 | — | — | — | −0.134 | 39.4% | 1.03 | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 10 | Richmond | W 20-14 | — | — | — | −0.063 | 36.7% | 1.10 | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 3 | @Lehigh | L 0-34 | — | — | — | −0.332 | 40.6% | 0.92 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 26 | Stony Brook | L 16-31 | — | — | — | −0.023 | 37.3% | 1.33 | |
| Sep 19 | @William & Mary | W 52-27 | — | — | — | +0.563 | 55.9% | 1.46 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | @Coastal Carolina | L 7-45 | 215 | 4 | 30:05 | −0.197 | 35.1% | 0.94 | Blowout loss |
| Sep 5 | @North Dakota State | L 0-38 | 135 | 4 | 26:33 | −0.301 | 30.0% | 1.00 | Blowout loss |
| Aug 28 | Colgate | L 14-24 | — | — | — | −0.103 | 36.0% | 0.70 | |
| Season average (9 games) | 175 | 4.0 | −0.056 | 40.2% | 1.07 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Range of outcomes · Fordham Rams · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 32%; 3 wins 47%; 4 wins 19%; 5 wins 2%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-7
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Patriot teams the same season
Fordham Rams is 2-7 and plays at Bucknell next.
Fordham Rams is 2-7 and plays at Bucknell next.
Range of outcomes · Fordham Rams · 2026