North Dakota State routs Fordham 38-0
Team pages: Fordham · North Dakota State
North Dakota State routed Fordham 38-0. Share this game
We had North Dakota State favored. It won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave North Dakota State a 92% chance, and the closing betting line (North Dakota State was a 41.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
North Dakota State led by 3 after the first quarter and by 17 at the half.
North Dakota State · Q3 13:56North Dakota State 38-0 Fordham
North Dakota State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Fordham 0-38 North Dakota StateFordham lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (North Dakota State -41.5), at 99% for North Dakota State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
North Dakota State scored on 5 of its 9 drives; Fordham on 0 of its 10.
North Dakota State’s drives are teal, Fordham’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Never in doubt.
Box score
North Dakota State 38, Fordham 0
Fordham covered +41.5 by 3.5. The total, 38, stayed under 54.5.
| Team totals | Fordham | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 135 | 373 |
| Passing | 12 of 22, 116 yds | 21 of 26, 245 yds |
| Rushing | 26 for 19 yds | 43 for 128 yds |
| First downs | 9 | 22 |
| Third down | 4 of 12 | 7 of 14 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Penalties | 7 for 42 yds | 4 for 45 yds |
| Time of possession | 26:33 | 33:27 |
Fordham leaders
- Passing Gunnar Smith 12 of 22, 116 yds, 3 INT
- Rushing Yohan-Li Louis 9 for 23 yds; Jamell James 4 for 17 yds
- Receiving John Morris 3 for 37 yds; Chris Tuck 2 for 31 yds
North Dakota State leaders
- Passing Nathan Hayes 18 of 22, 210 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing DJ Scott 11 for 60 yds, 2 TD; Myles Mitchell 10 for 45 yds
- Receiving Chris Kiel 4 for 50 yds, 1 TD; Mekhi Collins 4 for 41 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Fordham · 1-11
Rated 244th in our preseason ratings, 244th now.
Three straight losses.
L 26-27 @ Merrimack #229 of 667
lost by 1 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 0-14 @ Georgetown #225 of 667
lost by 14 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 19-37 vs Bucknell #221 of 667
lost by 18 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 14-17 @ Richmond #200 of 667
lost by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 6-27 vs Lehigh #121 of 667
lost by 21 as a 24.5-point underdog
L 13-30 vs Dartmouth #182 of 667
lost by 17 as a 12.5-point underdog
L 10-24 @ Lafayette #179 of 667
lost by 14 as a 15.5-point underdog
W 26-21 vs Holy Cross #197 of 667
won by 5 as a 14.5-point underdog
L 21-44 @ Colgate #230 of 667
lost by 23 as a 7-point underdog
L 18-41 @ Stony Brook #204 of 667
lost by 23 as a 4-point underdog
L 28-49 vs Monmouth #157 of 667
lost by 21 as a 14.5-point underdog
L 10-66 @ Boston College #61 of 667
lost by 56 as a 34.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
North Dakota State · 12-1
Rated 89th in our preseason ratings, 89th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 28-29 vs Illinois State #106 of 667
W 62-7 vs St. Thomas (MN) #152 of 667
won by 55 as a 33.5-point favorite
W 48-16 vs Northern Iowa #223 of 667
won by 32 as a 34-point favorite
W 15-10 @ North Dakota #87 of 667
won by 5 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 38-30 vs Youngstown State #144 of 667
won by 8 as a 26.5-point favorite
W 38-7 @ South Dakota State #94 of 667
won by 31 as a 9-point favorite
W 38-7 @ Indiana State #234 of 667
won by 31 as a 33.5-point favorite
W 45-17 vs Southern Illinois #130 of 667
won by 28 as a 20-point favorite
W 33-16 @ Illinois State #154 of 667
W 51-13 vs South Dakota #141 of 667
won by 38 as a 25.5-point favorite
W 41-14 vs Southeast Missouri State #188 of 667
won by 27 as a 31.5-point favorite
W 59-3 @ Tennessee State #206 of 667
won by 56 as a 32.5-point favorite
W 38-0 @ The Citadel #230 of 667
Week by week
North Dakota State
- Wk 1Wvs Jacksonville State33-7
Fordham
- Wk 1Lvs Colgate14-24
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on North Dakota State’s chances here.
North Dakota State favored by 41.5 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go
North Dakota State by 41.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 2 points toward North Dakota State.
The total fell 3 points.
Spread: −39.5 → −41.5 · Total: 57.5 → 54.5
Home field
North Dakota State is worth +3.9 points (±6.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 47th percentile.
100% at home, 62% on the road against FBS opponents (8-0 home, 5-3 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.9 at home vs. away over 57 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Indoors — dome hosts have beaten the number by about a point and a half more than outdoor ones, on a small sample. The visitors travel about 1,211 miles to get here.