PIONEER CONFERENCE · 2026 SEASON
St. Thomas (MN)
Rank #148
Team Mood Card
No conversation signal yet this week for St. Thomas (MN).
Fan Pulse, Respect Gap, Swing, Cohesion, Rival Heat, and Top Storylines all light up together when the weekly sample clears that bar. We publish once 12+ clean mentions from several distinct authors clear the gate.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Quiet Professional
Primary: 72% confidence
Fanbases with no delusions. They know exactly who their team is: good enough to win 8-10 games, not good enough to win it all. They are at peace with this.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“We know what we are”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 8 · @ Marist
Week 9 · vs Davidson
Week 5 · @ Presbyterian
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Week 4 vs San Diego
Cover by +27.50 against a closing line of -5.5.
Week 5 vs Presbyterian
No cover by -62.50. These are the losses bettors remember.
Week 1 vs North Dakota
Over versus 53.5 by +34.50 points.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
84th pct
Defense
93rd pct
Adjusted values: +0.07 offense, +0.16 defense
Sample: 9 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
92nd pct
Defense
39th pct
Adjusted values: +0.03 offense, -0.12 defense
Sample: 9 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
79th pct
Defense
34th pct
Adjusted values: +0.41 offense, -0.39 defense
Sample: 9 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
87th pct
Defense
25th pct
Adjusted values: +10.01 offense, -9.45 defense
Sample: 9 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
80th pct
Defense
20th pct
Adjusted values: +1.29 offense, -1.24 defense
Sample: 9 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
84th pct
Defense
66th pct
Adjusted values: +0.12 offense, -0.03 defense
Sample: 9 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power +13.3
Currently +13.3 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Defensive Efficiency currently grades around the 93rd percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 51
Body of work: best signal beat Marist 35-13. Closest call lost to Presbyterian 21-55. 51st percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
3-1 over the last 4 (L5 W6 W8 W9)
Last four games: 3-1 over the last 4 (L5 W6 W8 W9). Power is 27 points ahead of resume right now — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2026 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 7-2. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2027, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#148
Inside FCS#25 of 128
Inside Pioneer#1 of 11
Power+13.3pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume5151st percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborBowling Green
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Historical snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
The number of fully modeled seasons currently attached to this program.
A recent multi-year closing-power average. This is the kind of anchor that should matter in preseason priors.
How the current season's closing power stacks up against the program's recent standard.
How far the current season finished below the strongest loaded team in program history.
The strongest closing power this program has posted in the loaded archive.
The last season that closed stronger was 2022.
This is the program's best resume season since 2025.
The highest loaded all-level board finish currently attached to this program.
The strongest body-of-work season currently attached to this program in the loaded archive.
Where the current season sits inside this program's loaded history on the two main scales.
A cleaner fan-facing answer to the question: is this near the top of the program's arc or just another solid year?
The cleanest results season in the loaded archive, regardless of whether it was also the strongest by power.
Program arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Bars: win rate
Line: public power vs average team
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 7-2 in 12 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 7-2 | 12 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
2022 Season
Ended at power +13.6, record 10-1, and final loaded-board rank #139.
2022 Season
Resume 63 / 100 with 10 wins and a 91% win rate.
10-1
The cleanest loaded season by results came in 2022, with a margin of +169.
2024 Season
6-6 with power +11.1 and margin -27.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 12
Regular Season
@ Valparaiso
Result
Scheduled
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Drake
Result
Scheduled
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
Week 10
Regular Season
@ Butler
Result
Scheduled
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
Week 9
Regular Season
vs Davidson
Result
Win
Pregame
-5.94
Power
+1.08
Resume
+0.04
Postgame
-4.86
Week 8
Regular Season
@ Marist
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.55
Power
+1.61
Resume
+0.15
Postgame
-5.94
Week 6
Regular Season
vs Stetson
Result
Win
Pregame
-8.27
Power
+0.22
Resume
+0.14
Postgame
-8.05
Week 5
Regular Season
@ Presbyterian
Result
Loss
Pregame
-7.47
Power
-0.79
Resume
-0.18
Postgame
-8.27
Week 4
Regular Season
vs San Diego
Result
Win
Pregame
-8.12
Power
+0.64
Resume
+0.20
Postgame
-7.47
Week 3
Regular Season
vs Southern Utah
Result
Win
Pregame
-8.45
Power
+0.33
Resume
+0.16
Postgame
-8.12
Week 2
Regular Season
vs Northern Michigan
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.88
Power
-0.57
Resume
+0.14
Postgame
-8.45
Week 1
Regular Season
@ North Dakota
Result
Loss
Pregame
-7.58
Power
-0.30
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-7.88
Week 1
Regular Season
vs Winona State
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.58
Power
-0.30
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-7.88
2026 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27, 2026 | vs Winona State DII | Regular Season | W 15-9 | -- | -- | -- | -7.58 | -0.30 | +0.00 | -7.88 |
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | @ North Dakota FCS | Regular Season | L 26-62 | +28.5 | No cover | 53.5 | Over | -7.58 | -0.30 | +0.00 | -7.88 |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | vs Northern Michigan DII | Regular Season | W 56-14 | -- | -- | -- | -7.88 | -0.57 | +0.14 | -8.45 |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | vs Southern Utah FCS | Regular Season | W 28-26 | +12.5 | Cover | 62.5 | Under | -8.45 | +0.33 | +0.16 | -8.12 |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | vs San Diego FCS | Regular Season | W 50-17 | -5.5 | Cover | 57.5 | Over | -8.12 | +0.64 | +0.20 | -7.47 |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | @ Presbyterian FCS | Regular Season | L 21-55 | -28.5 | No cover | 61.5 | Over | -7.47 | -0.79 | -0.18 | -8.27 |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | vs Stetson FCS | Regular Season | W 64-21 | -22.5 | Cover | 52.5 | Over | -8.27 | +0.22 | +0.14 | -8.05 |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | @ Marist FCS | Regular Season | W 35-13 | -4.0 | Cover | 51.5 | Under | -7.55 | +1.61 | +0.15 | -5.94 |
| 9 | Oct 31, 2026 | vs Davidson FCS | Regular Season | W 35-7 | -30.5 | No cover | 60.5 | Under | -5.94 | +1.08 | +0.04 | -4.86 |
| 10 | Nov 7, 2026 | @ Butler FCS | Regular Season | Scheduled | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 11 | Nov 14, 2026 | vs Drake FCS | Regular Season | Scheduled | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 12 | Nov 21, 2026 | @ Valparaiso FCS | Regular Season | Scheduled | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CurrentThis season anchors the current board. | 7-2 so far | #148 | +13.3 | 51 | 9 | 330 | 224 | +106 |
| 2025 | In range | 7-5 | #158 | +12.5 | 61 | 12 | 371 | 246 | +125 |
| 2024 | In range | 6-6 | #188 | +11.1 | 38 | 12 | 274 | 301 | -27 |
| 2023 | In range | 8-3 | #175 | +11.9 | 33 | 11 | 265 | 243 | +22 |
| 2022 | Peak powerStrongest loaded closing power for the program. | 10-1 | #139 | +13.6 | 63 | 11 | 358 | 189 | +169 |
| 2021 | Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. | 7-3 | #218 | +0.8 | 44 | 10 | 250 | 178 | +72 |
| 2015 | Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. | 0-1 (1 loaded) | #304 | −26.2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 49 | -14 |