LeadersPassing Riley Warzynski 2,479 · Rushing Kavaughn Clark 230 · Receiving Willis Nofsinger 659 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
Schedule and results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | South Dakota Mines | L 35-38 | 0-1 | 0-0 | Pass Warzynski 535 · Rush Blicharz 8 · Rec Nofsinger 168 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | @Montana | L 10-45 | 0-2 | 0-0 | Pass Warzynski 252 · Rush Spellman 20 · Rec Nofsinger 89 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @Northern Iowa | L 14-56 | 0-3 | 0-0 | Pass Warzynski 241 · Rush Wilson 19 · Rec January 75 |
| 3 | Bye week | |||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | @Davidson | W 51-32 | 1-3 | 1-0 | Pass Warzynski 371 · Rush Spellman 91 · Rec Nofsinger 127 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | Dayton | W 30-22 | 2-3 | 2-0 | Pass Warzynski 347 · Rush Clark 76 · Rec January 95 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @Valparaiso | L 13-21 | 2-4 | 2-1 | Pass Warzynski 264 · Rush Robbins 27 · Rec Nofsinger 105 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Marist | L 22-27 | 2-5 | 2-2 | Pass Warzynski 269 · Rush Warzynski 64 · Rec January 80 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | Butler | L 21-33 | 2-6 | 2-3 | Pass Warzynski 200 · Rush Clark 39 · Rec Nofsinger 51 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @Morehead State | W 45-35 | 3-6 | 3-3 | Pass Wilson 250 · Rush Wilson 107 · Rec Delaere 68 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | San Diego | 1 pm ET49% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @St. Thomas (MN) | 2 pm ET16% to win | |||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Drake, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @Morehead State | W 45-35 | — | — | — | +0.123 | 40.5% | 1.39 | |
| Oct 24 | Butler | L 21-33 | — | — | — | −0.144 | 40.3% | 1.21 | |
| Oct 17 | Marist | L 22-27 | — | — | — | +0.026 | 41.4% | 1.11 | One-score loss |
| Oct 10 | @Valparaiso | L 13-21 | — | — | — | −0.417 | 30.9% | 1.37 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 3 | Dayton | W 30-22 | — | — | — | +0.219 | 41.7% | 1.68 | Most explosive |
| Sep 26 | @Davidson | W 51-32 | — | — | — | +0.429 | 51.1% | 1.55 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | @Northern Iowa | L 14-56 | — | — | — | −0.156 | 41.2% | 1.14 | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 5 | @Montana | L 10-45 | — | — | — | −0.120 | 36.0% | 0.87 | Blowout loss |
| Aug 27 | South Dakota Mines | L 35-38 | — | — | — | +0.256 | 47.2% | 1.28 | One-score loss |
| Season average (9 games) | — | — | +0.024 | 41.1% | 1.29 | ||||
Ahead
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Drake has won two of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Range of outcomes · Drake · 2026
Range of outcomes · Drake · 2026Drake’s base case is 4-8, mid-table finish. The floor is 3-9; the ceiling is 6-6.
What each outcome looks like
No season-path projection for this program yet, so this is the 3-6 record so far plus the 3 games left, with a two-win swing down and a three-win swing up.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-6
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Pioneer teams the same season
Team story
Drake is 3-6 and hosts San Diego next.
Game day
Drake is 3-6 and hosts San Diego next.