Montana routs Drake 45-10
Montana routed Drake 45-10. Share this game
We had Montana favored. It won.
Next: Drake lost to Northern Iowa 56-14, Sat Sep 12
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Montana an 85% chance, and the closing betting line (Montana was a 35.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Montana led by 11 after the first quarter and by 18 at the half.
Montana 45-10 Drake
Montana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Drake 10-45 MontanaDrake lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Montana -35.5), at 99% for Montana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Montana scored on 7 of its 13 drives; Drake on 2 of its 13.
Montana’s drives are teal, Drake’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Montana 45, Drake 10
Drake covered +35.5 by 0.5. The total, 55, stayed under 60.5.
Drake leaders
- Passing Riley Warzynski 31 of 60, 252 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Chase Spellman 5 for 20 yds; Riley Warzynski 9 for 17 yds
- Receiving Willis Nofsinger 6 for 89 yds; Hank Foley 4 for 26 yds
Montana leaders
- Passing Keali'i Ah Yat 27 of 40, 282 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Eli Gillman 19 for 105 yds, 3 TD; Dylan Paine 13 for 76 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Landon Ransom-Goelz 5 for 101 yds; Brooks Davis 8 for 95 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Drake · 8-4
Rated 184th in our preseason ratings, 184th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 17-38 @ South Dakota #105 of 667
lost by 21 as a 21-point underdog
W 17-10 vs Morehead State #239 of 667
won by 7 as a 21.5-point favorite
W 14-6 @ Dayton #189 of 667
won by 8 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 13-20 vs St. Thomas (MN) #120 of 667
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 24-19 @ Butler #197 of 667
won by 5 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 31-17 @ Marist #236 of 667
won by 14 as a 12.5-point favorite
W 45-0 vs Davidson #264 of 667
won by 45 as a 33.5-point favorite
W 19-16 @ San Diego #191 of 667
won by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 41-0 vs Valparaiso #264 of 667
won by 41 as a 25-point favorite
L 21-42 @ South Dakota #128 of 667
lost by 21 as a 17-point underdog
L 21-37 @ South Dakota State #86 of 667
lost by 16 as a 34-point underdog
W 41-7 vs Upper Iowa #312 of 667
Last three games · 2025 season
Montana · 13-2
Rated 93rd in our preseason ratings, 93rd now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 23-48 @ Montana State #34 of 667
lost by 25 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 52-22 vs South Dakota #98 of 667
won by 30 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 50-29 vs South Dakota State #102 of 667
L 28-31 vs Montana State #43 of 667
lost by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog
W 63-17 @ Portland State #256 of 667
won by 46 as a 30.5-point favorite
W 29-24 vs Eastern Washington #196 of 667
won by 5 as a 27-point favorite
W 38-17 @ Weber State #217 of 667
won by 21 as a 19.5-point favorite
W 49-35 @ Sacramento State #123 of 667
won by 14 as a 6-point favorite
W 43-21 vs Sacred Heart #215 of 667
won by 22 as a 26.5-point favorite
W 28-9 vs Cal Poly #171 of 667
won by 19 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 42-38 @ Idaho State #182 of 667
won by 4 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 41-30 vs Idaho #146 of 667
won by 11 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 63-20 vs Indiana State #228 of 667
won by 43 as a 21-point favorite
W 24-23 vs North Dakota #132 of 667
won by 1 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 42-17 vs Central Washington #269 of 667
Week by week
Montana
- Wk 1Wvs Southern Utah28-21
Drake
- Wk 1Lvs South Dakota Mines35-38
The series
Montana leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2018 · Montana won the last meeting
- 2018Montana 48-16
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Montana’s chances here.
Montana favored by 35.5 · Total 60.5
How games like this usually go
Montana by 35.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Montana.
The total rose 3 points.
Spread: −34.5 → −35.5 · Total: 57.5 → 60.5
Home field
Montana is worth +13.2 points (±7.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.
83% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (5-1 home, 2-6 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.4 at home vs. away over 60 games — inside the ±8.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 1,066 miles to get here.