The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Idaho 36%, Utah Tech 57%, Portland State 69%
Win out 14% · expect 1.6 of 3 more wins
Eastern Washington's chance to win each game left, from our model: Idaho 36%, Utah Tech 57%, Portland State 69%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Nate Bell 2,482 · Rushing Nate Bell 384 · Receiving Wesley Garrett 577 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
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| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @Northern Arizona | L 27-34 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Pass Bell 307 · Rush Allen III 47 · Rec Branch 88 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | Northern Iowa | W 34-24 | 1-1 | 0-1 | Pass Bell 257 · Rush Bell 94 · Rec Garrett 70 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @South Dakota | L 23-41 | 1-2 | 0-1 | Pass Bell 217 · Rush Dotson 52 · Rec Garrett 109 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @Washington | L 16-48 137 | 1-3 | 0-1 | Pass Bell 150 · Rush Bell 50 · Rec Lang 56 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | Cal Poly | L 27-31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | Pass Bell 253 · Rush Allen III 49 · Rec East 65 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @UC Davis | L 38-49 | 1-5 | 0-3 | Pass Bell 413 · Rush Bell 107 · Rec Carlson 95 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | Northern Colorado | W 31-22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | Pass Bell 334 · Rush Bell 33 · Rec Garrett 138 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Montana State | L 20-56 | 2-6 | 1-4 | Pass Bell 282 · Rush Allen III 78 · Rec Carlson 86 |
| 8 | Bye week | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | Montana | L 33-42 | 2-7 | 1-5 | Pass Bell 269 · Rush Allen III 68 · Rec Branch 131 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Idaho | 5 pm ET36% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Utah Tech | 4 pm ET57% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | Portland State | 4 pm ET69% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Eastern Washington, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Montana | L 33-42 | — | — | — | −0.022 | 36.5% | 1.53 | Most explosive |
| Oct 17 | Montana State | L 20-56 | — | — | — | −0.135 | 44.9% | 0.96 | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 10 | Northern Colorado | W 31-22 | — | — | — | +0.359 | 39.3% | 1.45 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 3 | @UC Davis | L 38-49 | — | — | — | +0.158 | 44.8% | 1.31 | |
| Sep 26 | Cal Poly | L 27-31 | — | — | — | +0.016 | 37.8% | 1.28 | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 19 | @Washington | L 16-48 | 315 | 1 | 30:13 | −0.240 | 35.1% | 0.90 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | @South Dakota | L 23-41 | — | — | — | +0.048 | 42.9% | 1.11 | |
| Sep 5 | Northern Iowa | W 34-24 | — | — | — | +0.347 | 52.8% | 1.14 | Best success rate |
| Aug 29 | @Northern Arizona | L 27-34 | — | — | — | +0.196 | 45.5% | 1.15 | One-score loss |
| Season average (9 games) | 315 | 1.0 | +0.081 | 42.2% | 1.20 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Range of outcomes · Eastern Washington · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 9%; 3 wins 35%; 4 wins 42%; 5 wins 14%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-7
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Big Sky teams the same season
Eastern Washington is 2-7 and plays at Idaho next.
Eastern Washington is 2-7 and plays at Idaho next.
Each link was checked against two outside sites.
Range of outcomes · Eastern Washington · 2026