Montana beats Eastern Washington 42-33
Team pages: Montana · Eastern Washington
Montana beat Eastern Washington 42-33. Share this game
We had Montana favored. It won.
Next: Montana vs Portland State, Sat Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET
Next: Eastern Washington at Idaho, Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Montana a 90% chance, and the closing betting line (Montana was a 11.5-point favorite) put it at 82%.
Favored the whole way: Montana never fell below 69%.
Eastern Washington never had better than a 30% chance.
Montana 42-33 Eastern Washington
Montana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Eastern Washington 33-42 MontanaEastern Washington lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q2 0:00Yat 51-yd TD pass to Davis, Montana leads 21-13Montana 74% → 85% (+11)
- 2Q4 13:44Gillman 68-yd TD run, Montana leads 35-27Montana 75% → 89% (+14)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q2 0:00Yat 51-yd TD pass to Davis, Montana leads 21-13Eastern Washington 26% → 15% (−11)
- 2Q4 13:44Gillman 68-yd TD run, Montana leads 35-27Eastern Washington 25% → 11% (−14)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Montana -11.5), at 89% for Montana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Montana scored on 6 of its 14 drives; Eastern Washington on 6 of its 13.
Montana’s drives are teal, Eastern Washington’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From Eastern Washington’s side
Eastern Washington’s best moment: Bell intercepted by Seumalo at the EWU38 (Q4 0:59). It lifted Eastern Washington’s win chance by 13 points.
Box score
Montana 42, Eastern Washington 33
Eastern Washington covered +11.5 by 2.5. The total, 75, went over 65.5.
Montana leaders
- Passing Keali'i Ah Yat 21 of 28, 327 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing Eli Gillman 24 for 145 yds, 2 TD; Dylan Paine 2 for 9 yds
- Receiving Brooks Davis 9 for 231 yds, 3 TD; Landon Ransom-Goelz 4 for 37 yds
Eastern Washington leaders
- Passing Nate Bell 19 of 33, 269 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT
- Rushing Kevin Allen III 12 for 68 yds; Jaxon Bell 6 for 29 yds
- Receiving Jaxon Branch 7 for 131 yds, 1 TD; Drew Carlson 4 for 46 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Montana · 5-3
Rated 93rd in our preseason ratings, 109th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Last three games
Eastern Washington · 2-6
Rated 186th in our preseason ratings, 221st now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Week by week
Eastern Washington
- Wk 3Lat Washington16-48
- Wk 4Lvs Cal Poly27-31
- Wk 5Lat UC Davis38-49
- Wk 6Wvs Northern Colorado31-22
- Wk 7Lvs Montana State20-56
Montana
- Wk 3Lat Oregon State17-52
- Wk 4Wat UC Davis62-22
- Wk 5Wvs Northern Colorado36-14
- Wk 6Lat Northern Arizona44-49
- Wk 7Lvs Idaho35-42
Power rating by week
Montana is rated 8.1 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
Montana leads the series 18-9
27 meetings since 1938 · Montana has won the last 4
- 2025Montana 29-24
- 2024Montana 52-49
- 2022Montana 63-7
- 2021Montana 57-41
- 2021Eastern Washington 34-28
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Eastern Washington’s chances here.
Montana favored by 11.5 · Total 65.5
How games like this usually go
Montana by 11.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 448 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The total rose 2 points.
Total: 63.5 → 65.5
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Eastern Washington has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — +0.2 points (±5.3), home against road — 2nd percentile of FBS.
0% at home, 17% on the road against FBS opponents (0-2 home, 2-10 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.5 at home vs. away over 56 games — inside the ±7.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 175 miles to get here.
Where next
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.
- Eastern Washington12th1-4
- Montana4th4-2