Portland State at Montana

Away
Portland State
2-7 Lost 3 straight
Home
Montana
6-3 Won last game
Sat, Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET · Washington-Grizzly StadiumAdd to calendar: Google · other

Montana (6‑3) hosts Portland State (2‑7). Too early for a market line, but the model likes Montana (97%).

How they got here

Last three games

Portland State · 2-7

Rated 252nd in our preseason ratings, 250th now.

Three straight losses.

L 14-38 vs Idaho No. 150 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 9.5-point underdog

Portland State lost 14-38 vs Idaho. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 36%.

L 8-38 @ Idaho State No. 143 of 668 teams

lost by 30 as a 14-point underdog

Portland State lost 8-38 at Idaho State. Chance to win started at 13%, low under 1%, high 16%.

L 25-38 @ Northern Arizona No. 142 of 668 teams

lost by 13 as a 17.5-point underdog

Portland State lost 25-38 at Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 46%.

W 30-14 vs Utah Tech No. 257 of 668 teams

won by 16 as a 2.5-point favorite

Portland State won 30-14 vs Utah Tech. Chance to win started at 63%, low 54%, high better than 99%.

W 44-41 @ Weber State No. 231 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 7-point underdog

L 0-84 @ OregonTop 25 No. 5 of 668 teams

lost by 84 as a 58.5-point underdog

Portland State lost 0-84 at Oregon. Never had a real chance.

L 23-47 vs North Dakota No. 124 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 25.5-point underdog

Portland State lost 23-47 vs North Dakota. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 8%.

L 20-53 @ San Diego State No. 40 of 668 teams

lost by 33 as a 38.5-point underdog

Portland State lost 20-53 at San Diego State. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 4%.

L 24-31 vs UC Davis No. 115 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 25.5-point underdog

Last three games

Montana · 6-3

Rated 93rd in our preseason ratings, 104th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 42-33 @ Eastern Washington No. 216 of 668 teams

won by 9 as an 11.5-point favorite

Montana won 42-33 at Eastern Washington. Chance to win started at 89%, low 70%, high 99%.

L 35-42 vs Idaho No. 163 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 16.5-point favorite

Montana lost 35-42 vs Idaho. Chance to win started at 90%, low 9%, high 90%.

L 44-49 @ Northern Arizona No. 137 of 668 teams

lost by 5 as a 9.5-point favorite

Montana lost 44-49 at Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 70%, low under 1%, high 85%.

W 36-14 vs Northern Colorado No. 240 of 668 teams

won by 22 as a 21.5-point favorite

Montana won 36-14 vs Northern Colorado. Chance to win started at 95%, low 95%, high better than 99%.

W 62-22 @ UC Davis No. 133 of 668 teams

won by 40 as a 3-point underdog

Montana won 62-22 at UC Davis. Chance to win started at 35%, low 33%, high better than 99%.

L 17-52 @ Oregon State No. 64 of 668 teams

lost by 35 as a 17.5-point underdog

Montana lost 17-52 at Oregon State. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 9%.

W 35-14 vs Utah Tech No. 241 of 668 teams

won by 21 as a 35.5-point favorite

Montana won 35-14 vs Utah Tech. Chance to win started at 99%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

W 45-10 vs Drake No. 192 of 668 teams

won by 35 as a 35.5-point favorite

Montana won 45-10 vs Drake. Chance to win started at 99%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

W 28-21 vs Southern Utah No. 149 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 15.5-point favorite

Montana won 28-21 vs Southern Utah. Chance to win started at 88%, low 61%, high better than 99%.

What’s at stake

Portland State

  • Portland State is still shaking off a 24-point loss.

Montana

  • Montana is 1 game back in Big Sky with 2 left to make it up.
  • Montana hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2021.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

Montana leads the series 14-3

17 meetings since 2004 · Montana has won the last 5

Montana wonPortland State won2004: Portland State by 32005: Montana by 212006: Montana by 62007: Montana by 32008: Montana by 172009: Montana by 322010: Montana by 22011: Montana by 62013: Montana by 282015: Portland State by 192017: Montana by 122018: Portland State by 22019: Montana by 152022: Montana by 372023: Montana by 242024: Montana by 112025: Montana by 4620042025
  • 2025Montana 63-17
  • 2024Montana 28-17
  • 2023Montana 34-10
  • 2022Montana 53-16
  • 2019Montana 38-23

Home field

Montana is worth +13.2 points (±7.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.

83% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (5-1 home, 2-6 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.5 at home vs. away over 61 games — inside the ±8.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 436 miles to get here.

Week by week

Montana

Wk 4: W 62-22 at UC Davis▲40UC DavisWk 5: W 36-14 vs Northern Colorado▲22N. Color…Wk 6: L 44-49 at Northern Arizona▼5N. Arizo…Wk 7: L 35-42 vs Idaho▼7IdahoWk 9: W 42-33 at Eastern Washington▲9E. Washi…
  • Wk 4Wat UC Davis62-22
  • Wk 5Wvs Northern Colorado36-14
  • Wk 6Lat Northern Arizona44-49
  • Wk 7Lvs Idaho35-42
  • Wk 9Wat Eastern Washington42-33

Portland State

Wk 4: W 44-41 at Weber State▲3Weber St.Wk 6: W 30-14 vs Utah Tech▲16Utah TechWk 7: L 25-38 at Northern Arizona▼13N. Arizo…Wk 8: L 8-38 at Idaho State▼30Idaho St.Wk 9: L 14-38 vs Idaho▼24Idaho
  • Wk 4Wat Weber State44-41
  • Wk 6Wvs Utah Tech30-14
  • Wk 7Lat Northern Arizona25-38
  • Wk 8Lat Idaho State8-38
  • Wk 9Lvs Idaho14-38

Power rating by week

Montana is rated 11.2 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

1-7-15Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10MontanaPortland State

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.