Dayton

2-0

Pioneer · Welcome Stadium · 11,000 · 3,110 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetat Eastern Kentucky · our model 52% Dayton · a number, not a pick

LastW 30–7 vs Thomas More · Sat Sep 12 · David Curl III 1 sacks, 2 TFL, 8 tackles

Nextat Eastern Kentucky · Sat Sep 19 · 6 pm ET · Roy Kidd Stadium · series 2-2, lost the last 2

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Dayton · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Aug 29#175#360Fairmont StateW 43–201-00-0
2Sep 12#195#377Thomas MoreW 30–72-00-0
3Sep 19#205#166@Eastern Kentucky
5Oct 3@Drake
6Oct 10Morehead State
7Oct 17@Butler
8Oct 24San Diego
9Oct 31@Stetson
10Nov 7Valparaiso
11Nov 14Davidson
12Nov 21@Presbyterian
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Thomas MoreW 30–7+0.24245.5%125.0%
Aug 29Fairmont StateW 43–20+0.17038.9%131.0%
Season average (2 games)+0.20642.2%128.0%

Game Week

4d 22h

until kickoff · at Eastern Kentucky · Sat Sep 19 · 6 pm ET

Verdict Begins·Live

Dayton is the Ohio program that won two NCAA Division III national championships and built a 17-year winning streak — an FCS institution for 30 years, now chasing the form that made it a dynasty.

Title DroughtSince 2015 · 11 yrs

Fans here believe dayton's chip is internal — a program measured against its own ceiling. The question isn't disrespect; it's whether the program can still access the standard it set for itself.

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19Next: Eastern Kentuckyat Eastern Kentucky · on the road

What it is like to watch them2025 · 7-4 · last season

Game feel45rock fightscombined pts / game10th highest-scoring of 11 in the Pioneer
Heart rate2-2some dramain one-score games (4 of 11)6th most one-score games of 11 in the Pioneer
Margin+10.5comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 11 in the Pioneer
Big plays1.53highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 11 in the Pioneer
Home crowd3,547avg attendance3rd biggest crowds of 11 in the Pioneer

✓ measured from 11 games · ranks are among Pioneer teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Dayton has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 7-3 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Eastern Kentucky · away

Outcome band · Dayton · 2026

Dayton's most likely season is 2-10 — mid-table finish. The floor is 0-12; the ceiling is 5-7.

Floor0-12Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
Base2-10Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.

No season-path projection for this program yet, so this is last season's record with a two-win swing down and a three-win swing up, over a 12-game frame.

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Dayton is the Ohio program that won two NCAA Division III national championships and built a 17-year winning streak — an FCS institution for 30 years, now chasing the form that made it a dynasty.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Community pulse

No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages synth v1.0 “Go Flyers.”
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site