Ivy Dartmouth Big Green

Record4-3through 7 games
Nextat PrincetonSat Nov 7 · 12 pm ET

The rest of the season

Three real tests left: Princeton 36%, Cornell 41%, Brown 50%

Win out 7% · expect 1.3 of 3 more wins

Dartmouth Big Green's chance to win each game left, from our model: Princeton 36%, Cornell 41%, Brown 50%

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.

LeadersPassing Grayson Saunier 993 · Rushing Myles Craddock 503 · Receiving Ky'Dric Fisher 286 All player stats

The model#61 among FCS teams

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9

Schedule and results

Dartmouth Big Green · 2026 schedule and results4-3Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63% · 0 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.
WkDateOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
3Sep 19@LehighL 20-24Dartmouth lost 20-24 at Lehigh. Chance to win started at 8%, low 3%, high 31%.0-10-0Pass Saunier 262 · Rush Craddock 33 · Rec Lemon 102
4Sep 26MonmouthL 28-31Dartmouth lost 28-31 vs Monmouth. Chance to win started at 64%, low under 1%, high 92%.0-20-0Pass Saunier 148 · Rush Craddock 140 · Rec Fisher 61
5Oct 3PennsylvaniaW 14-10Dartmouth won 14-10 vs Pennsylvania. Chance to win started at 80%, low 55%, high better than 99%.1-21-0Pass Saunier 173 · Rush Craddock 85 · Rec Lemon 56
6Oct 10@YaleL 7-28Dartmouth lost 7-28 at Yale. Chance to win started at 20%, low under 1%, high 22%.1-31-1Pass Saunier 156 · Rush Craddock 55 · Rec Fisher 72
7Oct 17MerrimackW 27-21Dartmouth won 27-21 vs Merrimack. Chance to win started at 87%, low 35%, high better than 99%.2-31-1Pass Trigueros 101 · Rush Lemon 63 · Rec Elliott 96
8Oct 24@ColumbiaW 38-18Dartmouth won 38-18 at Columbia. Chance to win started at 47%, low 46%, high better than 99%.3-32-1Pass Saunier 172 · Rush Craddock 128 · Rec Elliott 61
9Oct 30HarvardW 24-14Dartmouth won 24-14 vs Harvard. Chance to win started at 35%, low 30%, high better than 99%.4-33-1Pass Saunier 42 · Rush Saunier 109 · Rec Lemon 30
10Nov 7@Princeton12 pm ET36% to win
11Nov 14@Cornell1 pm ET41% to win
12Nov 21Brown1 pm ET50% to win
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for Dartmouth Big Green, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 30HarvardW 24-14———+0.02845.1%1.12Best defensive stand
Oct 24@ColumbiaW 38-18———+0.30343.7%1.25
Oct 17MerrimackW 27-21———+0.13339.0%1.09One-score win
Oct 10@YaleL 7-28———−0.03229.1%1.36Season-low EPA/play
Oct 3PennsylvaniaW 14-10———+0.31950.0%1.20Season-high EPA/play
Sep 26MonmouthL 28-31———+0.21839.1%1.55Most explosive
Sep 19@LehighL 20-24———+0.14540.0%1.49One-score loss
Season average (7 games)——+0.15940.8%1.29

Ahead

The forecast

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 7Next: Princetonat Princeton · on the road

Recent form · last 10 games

Dartmouth Big Green has won four of its last five.

6-4 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 6-4

Range of outcomes · Dartmouth Big Green · 2026

Dartmouth Big Green’s most common regular-season record in our model is 5-5. Most outcomes (93%) land from 4-6 to 6-4.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

4 wins 19%; 5 wins 43%; 6 wins 31%; 7 wins 7%
What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
Base7-5Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.

More in this tab

Worth watchingGames average 43 combined points, even games

What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3

Game feel43even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 8 in the Ivy
Heart rate2-2white-knucklein one-score games (4 of 7)2nd most one-score games of 8 in the Ivy
Margin+1.7competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 8 in the Ivy
Big plays1.29some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)4th most explosive of 8 in the Ivy
Home crowd4,277avg attendance7th biggest crowds of 8 in the Ivy

Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Ivy teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

Dartmouth Big Green is 4-3 and plays at Princeton next.

2026 Record4-3
Read the full program story ↓
Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Dartmouth Big Green is 4-3 and plays at Princeton next.

CFB Zeitgeist “Go Big Green.”
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site