Ivy Cornell Big Red

Record3-4through 7 games
Nextvs PennsylvaniaSat Nov 7 · 1 pm ET

The rest of the season

One real test left: Dartmouth 59%

Win out 37% · expect 2.2 of 3 more wins

Cornell Big Red's chance to win each game left, from our model: Pennsylvania 79%, Dartmouth 59%, Columbia 80%

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.

LeadersPassing Garrett Bass-Sulpizio 1,614 · Rushing Jordan Triplett 393 · Receiving Brendan Lee 345 All player stats

The model#66 among FCS teams

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9

Schedule and results

Cornell Big Red · 2026 schedule and results3-4Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63% · 0 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.
WkDateOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
3Sep 19@ColgateL 7-20Cornell lost 7-20 at Colgate. Chance to win started at 15%, low under 1%, high 16%.0-10-0Pass Bass-Sulpizio 132 · Rush Bass-Sulpizio 52 · Rec Kurtz 32
4Sep 26YaleW 38-25Cornell won 38-25 vs Yale. Chance to win started at 22%, low 17%, high better than 99%.1-11-0Pass Bass-Sulpizio 152 · Rush Pope 48 · Rec McAuliffe 45
5Oct 3@GeorgetownW 35-14Cornell won 35-14 at Georgetown. Chance to win started at 73%, low 63%, high better than 99%.2-11-0Pass Bass-Sulpizio 279 · Rush Triplett 75 · Rec Musungu 91
6Oct 10HarvardL 29-41Cornell lost 29-41 vs Harvard. Chance to win started at 36%, low under 1%, high 68%.2-21-1Pass Bass-Sulpizio 158 · Rush Pope 91 · Rec Broussard 46
7Oct 17LehighW 48-38Cornell won 48-38 vs Lehigh. Chance to win started at 34%, low 26%, high better than 99%.3-21-1Pass Bass-Sulpizio 366 · Rush Bass-Sulpizio 103 · Rec Lee 92
8Oct 24@BrownL 31-38Cornell lost 31-38 at Brown. Chance to win started at 49%, low under 1%, high 96%.3-31-2Pass Bass-Sulpizio 277 · Rush Lee 47 · Rec Bowman 69
9Oct 31@PrincetonL 20-21Cornell lost 20-21 at Princeton. Chance to win started at 35%, low 9%, high 89%.3-41-3Pass Bass-Sulpizio 250 · Rush Triplett 94 · Rec Musungu 92
10Nov 7Pennsylvania1 pm ET79% to win
11Nov 14Dartmouth1 pm ET59% to win
12Nov 21@Columbia12 pm ET80% to win
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for Cornell Big Red, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 31@PrincetonL 20-21———+0.09445.8%1.02One-score loss
Oct 24@BrownL 31-38———−0.11039.5%1.14One-score loss
Oct 17LehighW 48-38———+0.36752.5%1.39Most explosive
Oct 10HarvardL 29-41———+0.07040.5%1.26
Oct 3@GeorgetownW 35-14———+0.45354.1%1.24Season-high EPA/play
Sep 26YaleW 38-25———+0.09333.3%1.34
Sep 19@ColgateL 7-20———−0.34128.6%1.19Season-low EPA/play
Season average (7 games)——+0.08942.0%1.23

Ahead

The forecast

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 7Next: Pennsylvaniavs Pennsylvania · at home

Recent form · last 10 games

Cornell Big Red has won two of its last five.

4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last two.

Streak L2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6

Range of outcomes · Cornell Big Red · 2026

Cornell Big Red’s most common regular-season record in our model is 5-5. Most outcomes (98%) land from 4-6 to 6-4.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

3 wins 2%; 4 wins 16%; 5 wins 45%; 6 wins 37%
What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor3-9Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
Base5-7Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
Ceiling8-4Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.

More in this tab

Worth watchingGames average 58 combined points, shootouts

What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-4

Game feel58shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 8 in the Ivy
Heart rate0-2rarely closein one-score games (2 of 7)7th most one-score games of 8 in the Ivy
Margin+1.6competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 8 in the Ivy
Big plays1.23some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)5th most explosive of 8 in the Ivy
Home crowd9,053avg attendance2nd biggest crowds of 8 in the Ivy

Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Ivy teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

Cornell Big Red is 3-4 and hosts Pennsylvania next.

2026 Record3-4
Read the full program story ↓
Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Cornell Big Red is 3-4 and hosts Pennsylvania next.

CFB Zeitgeist “Go Big Red.”
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site