IVY CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Pennsylvania
Rank #243
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Pennsylvania fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
Sleeper
Primary: 64% confidence
Quiet program outperforming expectations without attention.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Wait, they’re 9-2?”
MODIFIERS
· Emerging
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 11 · vs Cornell
Week 12 · @ Harvard
Week 8 · @ Columbia
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Week 12 vs Harvard
Cover by +21.00 against a closing line of +23.0.
Week 11 vs Cornell
No cover by -30.00. These are the losses bettors remember.
Week 12 vs Harvard
Over versus 51.5 by +36.50 points.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
76th pct
Defense
72nd pct
Adjusted values: +0.05 offense, +0.11 defense
Sample: 10 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
15th pct
Defense
50th pct
Adjusted values: -0.06 offense, -0.10 defense
Sample: 10 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
23rd pct
Defense
59th pct
Adjusted values: +0.27 offense, -0.30 defense
Sample: 10 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
68th pct
Defense
33rd pct
Adjusted values: +0.08 offense, -0.07 defense
Sample: 10 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power +5.9
Currently +5.9 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 76th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 61
Body of work: best signal lost to Harvard 43-45. Closest call lost to Cornell 17-39. 61st percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2-2 over the last 4 (W10 L11 L12 W13)
Last four games: 2-2 over the last 4 (W10 L11 L12 W13). Power is 2 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 6-4. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#243
Inside FCS#107 of 129
Inside Ivy#7 of 8
Power+5.9pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume6161st percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborCharlotte
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume -33
#242 North Alabama
FCS | UAC
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume -27
#244 Bryant
FCS | CAA
FCS Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume -33
#242 North Alabama
FCS | UAC
Ivy Ahead
Power +0.4 | Resume -24
#235 Brown
FCS | Ivy
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power +0.2 | Resume -45
#237 Charlotte
FBS | American Athletic
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 6-4 in 10 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 6-4 | 10 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 13
Regular Season
vs Princeton
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.74
Power
+0.36
Resume
+0.08
Postgame
-7.38
Week 12
Regular Season
@ Harvard
Result
Loss
Pregame
-8.36
Power
+0.62
Resume
+0.01
Postgame
-7.74
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Cornell
Result
Loss
Pregame
-7.65
Power
-0.71
Resume
-0.27
Postgame
-8.36
Week 10
Regular Season
vs Brown
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.70
Power
+0.05
Resume
+0.10
Postgame
-7.65
Week 9
Regular Season
@ Yale
Result
Loss
Pregame
-7.26
Power
-0.44
Resume
-0.51
Postgame
-7.70
Week 8
Regular Season
@ Columbia
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.82
Power
+0.56
Resume
+0.23
Postgame
-7.26
Week 7
Regular Season
vs Marist
Result
Win
Pregame
-8.37
Power
+0.55
Resume
+0.30
Postgame
-7.82
Week 6
Regular Season
vs Dartmouth
Result
Win
Pregame
-8.70
Power
+0.33
Resume
+0.57
Postgame
-8.37
Week 5
Regular Season
@ Lehigh
Result
Loss
Pregame
-9.06
Power
+0.36
Resume
-0.96
Postgame
-8.70
Week 4
Regular Season
@ Stonehill
Result
Win
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ Stonehill FCS | Regular Season | W 24-21 | -17.5 | No cover | 49.5 | Under | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | @ Lehigh FCS | Regular Season | L 30-44 | +9.5 | No cover | 47.5 | Over | -9.06 | +0.36 | -0.96 | -8.70 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | vs Dartmouth FCS | Regular Season | W 36-24 | +3.0 | Cover | 56.5 | Over | -8.70 | +0.33 | +0.57 | -8.37 |
| 7 | Oct 10, 2025 | vs Marist FCS | Regular Season | W 28-9 | -16.5 | Cover | 52.5 | Under | -8.37 | +0.55 | +0.30 | -7.82 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | @ Columbia FCS | Regular Season | W 35-21 | -7.5 | Cover | 46.5 | Over | -7.82 | +0.56 | +0.23 | -7.26 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | @ Yale FCS | Regular Season | L 13-35 | +6.5 | No cover | 53.5 | Under | -7.26 | -0.44 | -0.51 | -7.70 |
| 10 | Oct 31, 2025 | vs Brown FCS | Regular Season | W 28-21 | -11.5 | No cover | 50.5 | Under | -7.70 | +0.05 | +0.10 | -7.65 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs Cornell FCS | Regular Season | L 17-39 | -8.0 | No cover | 50.5 | Over | -7.65 | -0.71 | -0.27 | -8.36 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | @ Harvard FCS | Regular Season | L 43-45 | +23.0 | Cover | 51.5 | Over | -8.36 | +0.62 | +0.01 | -7.74 |
| 13 | Nov 22, 2025 | vs Princeton FCS | Regular Season | W 17-6 | -3.5 | Cover | 50.5 | Under | -7.74 | +0.36 | +0.08 | -7.38 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|