Programs / Pennsylvania / Ivy / 2026 Season

IVY CONFERENCE · 2026 SEASON

Pennsylvania

#227 in current rankings

Record3-4
Power+7.4pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume5252nd percentile season
Net Points-17
Rank #227

Team Mood Card

No conversation signal yet this week for Pennsylvania.

Fan Pulse, Respect Gap, Swing, Cohesion, Rival Heat, and Top Storylines all light up together when the weekly sample clears that bar. We publish once 12+ clean mentions from several distinct authors clear the gate.

Source: public conversation collected from Reddit & supplemental feeds.

Cohort Signal

Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›

Fanbase Archetype

How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).

Fanbase Archetype

Sleeper

Primary: 64% confidence

Quiet program outperforming expectations without attention.

SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Wait, they’re 9-2?”
MODIFIERS
· Emerging
5-Season Migration
20252026

Performance Narrative

Season Rating Journey

One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.

Rating rose Rating fell Little movement Ring shows opponent level
Season rating journey A single line chart of the team's rating path by game, with hoverable markers showing the swing from each result.
Biggest rise +1.34

Week 4 · vs Lehigh

Loss 7-20 · FCS
Swing #2 -0.51

Week 9 · @ Brown

Loss 17-36 · FCS
Swing #3 +0.36

Week 3 · @ Bucknell

Win 20-7 · FCS

Betting Lens

Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.

ATS3-4-042.9% cover rate
Totals3 over / 4 under0 pushes
Wins vs Market-0.473 actual wins vs 3.47 expected
As Favorite1-2-03 favorite spots
As Underdog2-2-04 underdog spots
Provider MixDraftKings7 lined games for Pennsylvania
Best Cover

Week 3 vs Bucknell

Cover by +9.50 against a closing line of -3.5.

Worst Burn

Week 9 vs Brown

No cover by -15.50. These are the losses bettors remember.

Biggest Total Miss

Week 5 vs Dartmouth

Under versus 45.5 by -21.50 points.

Efficiency Dashboard

Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.

Offensive Efficiency
Offense 18th pct
Defense 23rd pct

Adjusted values: -0.02 offense, +0.10 defense

Sample: 7 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Defensive Efficiency
Offense 79th pct
Defense 66th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, -0.11 defense

Sample: 7 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Explosiveness
Offense 78th pct
Defense 74th pct

Adjusted values: +0.40 offense, -0.32 defense

Sample: 7 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Field Position
Offense 64th pct
Defense 30th pct

Adjusted values: +9.09 offense, -9.21 defense

Sample: 7 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Finishing Drives
Offense 30th pct
Defense 69th pct

Adjusted values: +0.79 offense, -0.80 defense

Sample: 7 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Passing Edge
Offense 15th pct
Defense 55th pct

Adjusted values: -0.02 offense, -0.04 defense

Sample: 7 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Why The Model Has Them Here

A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.

Predictive Case

Power +7.4

Currently +7.4 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Defensive Efficiency currently grades around the 79th percentile.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Resume Case

Resume 52

Body of work: best signal lost to Lehigh 7-20. Closest call lost to Brown 17-36. 52nd percentile season.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Recent Form

2-2 over the last 4 (W6 L7 W8 L9)

Last four games: 2-2 over the last 4 (W6 L7 W8 L9). Power is 15 points ahead of resume right now — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Season Identity

2026 Season

Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 3-4. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2027, it still belongs to this season page.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Placement Context

This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.

Overall Board#227
Inside FCS#90 of 128
Inside Ivy#7 of 8
Power+7.4pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume5252nd percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborFerris State

Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.

Historical snapshot

Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.

Loaded Seasons 39

The number of fully modeled seasons currently attached to this program.

Program Baseline +8.7

A recent multi-year closing-power average. This is the kind of anchor that should matter in preseason priors.

Current Vs. Baseline −1.3

How the current season's closing power stacks up against the program's recent standard.

Gap To Peak 1.6

How far the current season finished below the strongest loaded team in program history.

Peak Loaded Season 2023 | +9.0

The strongest closing power this program has posted in the loaded archive.

Best Power Since Last beaten in 2025

The last season that closed stronger was 2025.

Best Resume Since Since 2025

This is the program's best resume season since 2025.

Best Finish 2010 | #152

The highest loaded all-level board finish currently attached to this program.

Best Resume Season 2023 | 81 / 100

The strongest body-of-work season currently attached to this program in the loaded archive.

Current Season Standing Resume #11 | Power #5

Where the current season sits inside this program's loaded history on the two main scales.

Program Percentile Resume 55th | Power 82th

A cleaner fan-facing answer to the question: is this near the top of the program's arc or just another solid year?

Best Record 2003 | 10-0

The cleanest results season in the loaded archive, regardless of whether it was also the strongest by power.

Program arc

Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.

Bars: win rate Line: public power vs average team
100% 50% 0% PWR +9.0 PWR −6.0 2016: 7-3, margin +64, power −3.1, resume 55 / 100, final rank #1972017: 5-4, margin +23, power −3.8, resume 41 / 100, final rank #2052018: 6-4, margin -23, power −5.5, resume 25 / 100, final rank #2292019: 5-5, margin -53, power −6.0, resume 21 / 100, final rank #2302021: 3-7, margin -24, power −2.6, resume 40 / 100, final rank #2412022: 8-2, margin +69, power +8.5, resume 77 / 100, final rank #2162023: 6-4, margin +45, power +9.0, resume 81 / 100, final rank #2102024: 4-6, margin +5, power +8.6, resume 61 / 100, final rank #2212025: 6-4, margin +6, power +8.3, resume 62 / 100, final rank #2192026: 3-4, margin -17, power +7.4, resume 52 / 100, final rank #227 2016: 7-3, margin +64, power −3.1, resume 55 / 100, final rank #197−3.12017: 5-4, margin +23, power −3.8, resume 41 / 100, final rank #205−3.82018: 6-4, margin -23, power −5.5, resume 25 / 100, final rank #229−5.52019: 5-5, margin -53, power −6.0, resume 21 / 100, final rank #230−6.02021: 3-7, margin -24, power −2.6, resume 40 / 100, final rank #241−2.62022: 8-2, margin +69, power +8.5, resume 77 / 100, final rank #216+8.52023: 6-4, margin +45, power +9.0, resume 81 / 100, final rank #210+9.02024: 4-6, margin +5, power +8.6, resume 61 / 100, final rank #221+8.62025: 6-4, margin +6, power +8.3, resume 62 / 100, final rank #219+8.32026: 3-4, margin -17, power +7.4, resume 52 / 100, final rank #227+7.4 20167-320175-420186-420195-520213-720228-220236-420244-620256-420263-4

Season Phase Split

How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.

Regular Season 3-4 in 10 games
Phase Record Games
Regular Season 3-4 10

Loaded History Signals

This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.

Strongest Loaded Team

2023 Season

Ended at power +9.0, record 6-4, and final loaded-board rank #210.

Best Loaded Resume

2023 Season

Resume 81 / 100 with 6 wins and a 60% win rate.

Best Record

10-0

The cleanest loaded season by results came in 2003, with a margin of +182.

Roughest Loaded Season

1979 Season

0-9 with power -- and margin -151.

Impact Cards

A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.

Week 12 Regular Season

@ Princeton

Nov 21, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Princeton

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 11 Regular Season

vs Harvard

Nov 14, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs Harvard

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 10 Regular Season

@ Cornell

Nov 7, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Cornell

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 9 Regular Season

@ Brown

Oct 31, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Brown 17-36

Result Loss
Pregame -10.04
Power -0.51
Resume -0.15
Postgame -10.55
Week 8 Regular Season

vs Yale

Oct 23, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs Yale 24-21

Result Win
Pregame -10.08
Power +0.04
Resume +0.04
Postgame -10.04
Week 7 Regular Season

vs Columbia

Oct 16, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs Columbia 27-28

Result Loss
Pregame -9.89
Power -0.19
Resume -0.07
Postgame -10.08
Week 6 Regular Season

vs Howard

Oct 10, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs Howard 24-20

Result Win
Pregame -10.04
Power +0.15
Resume +0.01
Postgame -9.89
Week 5 Regular Season

@ Dartmouth

Oct 3, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Dartmouth 10-14

Result Loss
Pregame -10.01
Power -0.03
Resume -0.12
Postgame -10.04
Week 4 Regular Season

vs Lehigh

Sep 26, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs Lehigh 7-20

Result Loss
Pregame -11.35
Power +1.34
Resume -0.62
Postgame -10.01
Week 3 Regular Season

@ Bucknell

Sep 19, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Bucknell 20-7

Result Win
Pregame -11.70
Power +0.36
Resume +0.72
Postgame -11.35

2026 Season Schedule And Rating Movement

Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.

Week Date Game Phase Result Close ATS Total Pregame Power Change Resume Change Postgame
3 Sep 19, 2026 @ Bucknell FCS Regular Season W 20-7 -3.5 Cover 46.5 | Under -11.70 +0.36 +0.72 -11.35
4 Sep 26, 2026 vs Lehigh FCS Regular Season L 7-20 +12.5 No cover 45.5 | Under -11.35 +1.34 -0.62 -10.01
5 Oct 3, 2026 @ Dartmouth FCS Regular Season L 10-14 +8.5 Cover 45.5 | Under -10.01 -0.03 -0.12 -10.04
6 Oct 10, 2026 vs Howard FCS Regular Season W 24-20 -11.5 No cover 42.5 | Over -10.04 +0.15 +0.01 -9.89
7 Oct 16, 2026 vs Columbia FCS Regular Season L 27-28 -6.5 No cover 46.5 | Over -9.89 -0.19 -0.07 -10.08
8 Oct 23, 2026 vs Yale FCS Regular Season W 24-21 +6.5 Cover 49.5 | Under -10.08 +0.04 +0.04 -10.04
9 Oct 31, 2026 @ Brown FCS Regular Season L 17-36 +3.5 No cover 40.5 | Over -10.04 -0.51 -0.15 -10.55
10 Nov 7, 2026 @ Cornell FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
11 Nov 14, 2026 vs Harvard FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
12 Nov 21, 2026 @ Princeton FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Year-By-Year Results

The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.

Season Lens Record Final Rank End Power End Resume Games Points For Points Against Margin
2026 CurrentThis season anchors the current board. 3-4 so far #227 +7.4 52 7 129 146 -17
2025 In range 6-4 #219 +8.3 62 10 271 265 +6
2024 In range 4-6 #221 +8.6 61 10 274 269 +5
2023 Peak powerStrongest loaded closing power for the program. 6-4 #210 +9.0 81 10 262 217 +45
2022 In range 8-2 #216 +8.5 77 10 266 197 +69
2021 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 3-7 #241 −2.6 40 10 191 215 -24
2019 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 5-5 #230 −6.0 21 10 245 298 -53
2018 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 6-4 #229 −5.5 25 10 186 209 -23
2017 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 5-4 #205 −3.8 41 9 256 233 +23
2016 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 7-3 #197 −3.1 55 10 277 213 +64
2015 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 7-3 #199 −3.3 64 10 329 268 +61
2014 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 2-8 #232 −6.1 10 10 213 319 -106
2013 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 4-6 #224 −4.2 20 10 230 283 -53
2012 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 6-4 #200 −4.1 34 10 235 241 -6
2011 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 5-5 #197 −2.4 25 10 249 252 -3
2010 Best finishHighest loaded final board finish. 9-1 #152 +1.2 76 10 290 145 +145
2009 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 8-2 #156 −0.1 71 10 214 95 +119
2008 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 6-4 #185 −1.2 50 10 190 151 +39
2007 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 4-6 #181 −1.2 27 10 231 193 +38
2006 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 5-4 #175 −0.9 53 9 214 174 +40
2005 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 5-5 #176 −2.1 30 10 269 204 +65
2004 Below recent levelClosed well below the program's recent baseline, which is not the same as a bad season. 8-2 #157 −1.4 63 10 238 145 +93
2003 Best recordCleanest win-loss season in the loaded archive. 10-0 #-- -- -- 10 346 164 +182
1987 In range 0-1 (1 loaded) #-- -- -- 1 28 38 -10
1986 In range 1-0 (1 loaded) #-- -- -- 1 30 26 +4
1985 In range 0-1 (1 loaded) #-- -- -- 1 3 41 -38
1984 In range 0-1 (1 loaded) #-- -- -- 1 13 48 -35
1981 In range 1-9 #-- -- -- 10 133 324 -191
1980 In range 1-9 #-- -- -- 10 109 262 -153
1979 In range 0-9 #-- -- -- 9 100 251 -151
1978 In range 2-6 #-- -- -- 9 139 187 -48
1977 In range 5-4 #-- -- -- 9 162 144 +18
1976 In range 3-6 #-- -- -- 9 90 159 -69
1975 In range 3-6 #-- -- -- 9 151 184 -33
1974 In range 6-2 #-- -- -- 9 187 179 +8
1973 In range 6-3 #-- -- -- 9 239 160 +79
1972 In range 6-3 #-- -- -- 9 263 203 +60
1971 In range 2-7 #-- -- -- 9 120 207 -87
1970 In range 4-5 #-- -- -- 9 185 195 -10