The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Yale 51%, Dartmouth 64%
Win out 27% · expect 2.0 of 3 more wins
Princeton Tigers's chance to win each game left, from our model: Dartmouth 64%, Yale 51%, Pennsylvania 82%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Wyatt Becker 735 · Rushing Kai Honda 554 · Receiving Josh Smith 347 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sep 19 | @Bryant | L 14-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | Pass Becker 202 · Rush Clark 69 · Rec Smith 86 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | UAlbany | W 22-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Becker 99 · Rush Honda 61 · Rec Honda 49 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @Columbia | W 35-7 | 2-1 | 1-0 | Pass Ciongoli 112 · Rush Honda 219 · Rec Besselman 60 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @Wagner | W 28-13 | 3-1 | 1-0 | Pass Becker 106 · Rush Honda 103 · Rec Robinson 84 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Brown | W 16-10 | 4-1 | 2-0 | Pass Becker 128 · Rush Honda 84 · Rec Green 79 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @Harvard | L 7-35 | 4-2 | 2-1 | Pass Ciongoli 73 · Rush Honda 60 · Rec Smith 37 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | Cornell | W 21-20 | 5-2 | 3-1 | Pass Ciongoli 175 · Rush Clark 14 · Rec Robinson 122 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | Dartmouth | 12 pm ET64% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Yale | 12 pm ET51% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | Pennsylvania | 12 pm ET82% to win |
Win chances are our model for Princeton Tigers, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Cornell | W 21-20 | — | — | — | +0.118 | 31.5% | 1.96 | Most explosive |
| Oct 24 | @Harvard | L 7-35 | — | — | — | −0.099 | 34.9% | 1.07 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 17 | Brown | W 16-10 | — | — | — | +0.052 | 40.0% | 1.02 | One-score win |
| Oct 10 | @Wagner | W 28-13 | — | — | — | +0.088 | 38.9% | 1.55 | |
| Oct 3 | @Columbia | W 35-7 | — | — | — | +0.437 | 43.8% | 1.71 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 26 | UAlbany | W 22-0 | — | — | — | +0.283 | 41.5% | 1.38 | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 19 | @Bryant | L 14-21 | — | — | — | −0.011 | 42.2% | 0.98 | One-score loss |
| Season average (7 games) | — | — | +0.124 | 39.0% | 1.38 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Range of outcomes · Princeton Tigers · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 3%; 6 wins 23%; 7 wins 47%; 8 wins 27%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-2
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Ivy teams the same season
Princeton Tigers is 5-2 and hosts Dartmouth next.
Princeton Tigers is 5-2 and hosts Dartmouth next.
Range of outcomes · Princeton Tigers · 2026